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2019 Baseball Season Futures - Win Totals & Picks

The 2019 MLB season is starting, which means the marathon season is upon us. That also means this is the best time to take a look at AccuScore's total win projections and compare them against Vegas win totals lines to find value. AccuScore's projections will adjust as the season progresses and you can always see adjusted win-loss projections at the bottom of the Expert Baseball Picks page.

So, without further delay, here are AccuScore's baseball season win projections side-by-side with Las Vegas win totals lines.

MLB - 2019 Baseball Win Totals Odds

As you can see, there are a number of teams where AccuScore and Vegas disagree on projections, and we've put the ones that are off by 5.0 games or more in red and the ones that have a difference of 4.0 games or more in yellow. Notably, the win total lines for the Toronto Blue Jays and New York Mets are just about identical for both Vegas and AccuScore.

On the opposite end, the greatest value comes via the San Francisco Giants. Vegas has set a line of 73.5 wins. AccuScore projects the Giants will win 79.9 games, which means there's a 6.4 game discrepancy. Only five teams have worse win total lines to start the season, and the odds of the Giants outperforming the low line are pretty good according to AccuScore.

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Baseball Futures Expert Picks: 2019

1. San Francisco Giants: OVER 73.5: The Giants are simply projected to win far more games according to AccuScore, and this is the greatest value pick on the board.

2.Tampa Bay Rays: UNDER 84.5: The Red Sox and the Yankees are stacked, and both teams are projected to win over 90 games. Add in that the Orioles are projected to win 65 games, according to AccuScore, and there just aren't all that many wins left for the Rays in the AL East. It'll be an interesting fight, but there are a lot of good reasons to pick the Under here.

3.Kansas City Royals: OVER 69.5:OK, the Royal are not projected to be good, but even the slightest of good runs and the Royals pay off big time. In this case, the Royals only need to get to 70 wins to pay off, and AccuScore projects a robust 73.4 wins. Take the Royals Over.

MLB Picks

MLB
  • Money Line
  • Side Value
49.4%
49.4%
50.6%
50.6%

Over

10.5
55.7%

Run Line

BAL +1.5
61.3%


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MLB
MLB - Top Free Betting Trends
TREND RECORD UNITS
MLB: SV-Home Wins 60 to 64.9% (Season) 78-53, 59.5% 1087
MLB: NL EAST DIV GAME SV (Season) 38-21, 64.4% 1060
MLB: SV-Home Wins 50 to 54.9% (Season) 61-63, 49.2% 881
MLB: NL GAME SV (Season) 222-175, 55.9% 712
MLB: SV-Home Line is -150 to -169 (Season) 60-48, 55.6% 551
MLB: AL EAST DIV GAME SV (Season) 34-21, 61.8% 535
MLB: SV-Home Line is +110 to +129 (Season) 54-44, 55.1% 482
MLB: AL CENTRAL DIV GAME SV (Season) 30-25, 54.5% 359
MLB: SV-Home Line is -130 to -149 (Season) 78-60, 56.5% 321
MLB: SV-Home Wins 65% or More (Past 7 Days) 10-5, 66.7% 200
MLB: SV-Home Line is -170 or Less (Past 7 Days) 7-4, 63.6% 108
TREND RECORD UNITS
MLB: OU-Betting Line 7.5 or Less (Season) 94-65, 59.1% 2250
MLB: 4 STAR Over/Unders Past 30 Days 75-52, 59.1% 1780
MLB: AL GAME O/U (Season) 185-155, 54.4% 1450
MLB: 3 STAR Over/Unders Past 30 Days 23-15, 60.5% 650
MLB: OU-Betting Line of 9 TO 9.5 (Past 7 Days) 9-5, 64.3% 350
MLB: AL EAST DIV GAME O/U (Season) 26-21, 55.3% 290
MLB: NL EAST DIV GAME O/U (Season) 31-26, 54.4% 240
MLB: AL CENTRAL DIV GAME O/U (Past 7 Days) 3-1, 75% 190
MLB: OU-Betting Line of 10 TO 10.5 (Past 7 Days) 3-1, 75% 190
MLB: OU-Picking Under (Past 7 Days) 5-3, 62.5% 170
TREND RECORD UNITS
MLB: AL GAME ML (Season) 241-155, 60.9% 1145
MLB: ML-Home Wins < 45% (Season) 120-73, 62.2% 1094
MLB: AL WEST DIV GAME ML (Season) 48-28, 63.2% 759
MLB: ML-Home Wins 65% or More (Season) 130-63, 67.4% 641
MLB: ML-Home Line is -130 to -149 (Season) 83-55, 60.1% 599
MLB: ML-Home Line is +130 or More (Season) 69-36, 65.7% 492
MLB: ML-Home Wins 45 to 49.9% (Past 7 Days) 5-0, 100% 325
MLB: AL CENTRAL DIV GAME ML (Season) 33-22, 60% 317
MLB: NL GAME ML (Past 7 Days) 14-6, 70% 295
MLB: ML-Home Line is +110 to +129 (Past 7 Days) 5-2, 71.4% 156
MLB: ML-Home Wins 60 to 64.9% (Past 7 Days) 4-1, 80% 154
MLB: 2 STAR ML Past 7 Days 9-4, 69.2% 152
MLB: ML-Home Line is -170 or Less (Past 7 Days) 8-3, 72.7% 103

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MLB Season Futures

AL SEASON-TO-DATE FORECAST POSTSEASON
WIN LOSS WIN LOSS WIN DIV PLAYOFF
Central
Minnesota Twins 45 22 97.8 64.3 86.55% 97.5%
Cleveland Indians 34 32 90.0 72.0 13.39% 65.65%
Chicago White Sox 32 34 76.5 85.5 0.06% 0.95%
Kansas City Royals 22 46 63.6 98.4 0% 0%
Detroit Tigers 24 42 57.8 104.2 0% 0%
East
New York Yankees 40 25 95.0 67.0 61.14% 90.73%
Tampa Bay Rays 41 27 91.5 70.6 26.56% 74.38%
Boston Red Sox 36 34 88.5 73.5 12.2% 50.76%
Toronto Blue Jays 25 43 68.5 93.5 0% 0%
Baltimore Orioles 20 47 56.2 105.8 0% 0%
West
Houston Astros 46 23 107.4 54.6 99.97% 99.99%
Oakland Athletics 35 33 82.7 79.3 0.01% 10.32%
Los Angeles Angels 34 35 81.8 80.2 0.02% 8.9%
Texas Rangers 35 32 73.6 88.4 0% 0.13%
Seattle Mariners 29 42 69.3 92.7 0% 0.02%

NL SEASON-TO-DATE FORECAST POSTSEASON
WIN LOSS WIN LOSS WIN DIV PLAYOFF
Central
Milwaukee Brewers 39 29 87.9 74.1 35.83% 60.4%
Chicago Cubs 38 30 87.8 74.2 36.57% 58.34%
St. Louis 33 33 86.8 75.2 26.52% 50.05%
Pittsburgh Pirates 30 37 76.3 85.7 0.63% 2.07%
Cincinnati Reds 29 36 75.4 86.6 0.37% 1.26%
East
Atlanta Braves 40 29 90.5 71.5 47.38% 77.67%
Philadelphia 39 29 89.8 72.2 39.64% 72.53%
New York Mets 32 34 83.8 78.2 7.42% 25.79%
Washington 31 37 83.0 79.0 5.44% 21.37%
Miami Marlins 25 41 56.8 105.2 0% 0%
West
Los Angeles 46 22 101.2 60.8 99.24% 99.84%
Arizona 36 33 82.9 79.1 0.6% 19.01%
Colorado Rockies 36 32 80.0 82.0 0.15% 7.86%
San Diego Padres 33 36 76.7 85.3 0.01% 1.87%
San Francisco 28 38 71.0 91.0 0% 0.07%

AL, Central

SEASON-TO-DATE    WIN     LOSS   |   FORECAST    WIN     LOSS   

AL, Central

POSTSEASON    WIN DIV     PLAYOFF

AL, East

SEASON-TO-DATE    WIN     LOSS   |   FORECAST    WIN     LOSS   

AL, East

POSTSEASON    WIN DIV     PLAYOFF

AL, West

SEASON-TO-DATE    WIN     LOSS   |   FORECAST    WIN     LOSS   

AL, West

POSTSEASON    WIN DIV     PLAYOFF

NL, Central

SEASON-TO-DATE    WIN     LOSS   |   FORECAST    WIN     LOSS   

NL, Central

POSTSEASON    WIN DIV     PLAYOFF

NL, East

SEASON-TO-DATE    WIN     LOSS   |   FORECAST    WIN     LOSS   

NL, East

POSTSEASON    WIN DIV     PLAYOFF

NL, West

SEASON-TO-DATE    WIN     LOSS   |   FORECAST    WIN     LOSS   

NL, West

POSTSEASON    WIN DIV     PLAYOFF

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