NCAAF Picks and Football Game Predictions

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NCAAF Picks

NCAAF

Money Line
Side Value

31.6%

68.4%

Over

56.5

59.4%

Point Spread

GATECH -9.0

49.5%

Full Forecast

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Date	Team	Acc Sim%	Odds%	PS Acc PS	OU Acc OU
2017-09-23 23:00:00 23/09 23:00	PIT GATECH	31.6 68.4	25.64 77.53	GATECH -9.0 GATECH -9	56.5 62

NCAAF

College football point spread is one of the trickiest markets, especially with smaller schools in play. Since 2011 we have filtered games with home underdogs with Accuscore probability between 35 and 50% and bet all of those games – home team or away team. When the spread difference between Accuscore and betting market is at least 2 points, you will make money with your bets. Over 21% per year when bet size is Kelly 0.08.

NCAAF

College football was long time not as profitable as other markets. Recently we have found out that in totals market you need to select games very carefully and bet under only for those that are relatively low scoring affairs. We have manage to make 12% annual return since start of the 2011 season by betting under for NCAAF totals where total betting line is 49 or smaller. We have used bet size Kelly 0.18 in this.

NCAAF

NCAAF - Top Free Betting Trends

No data available

TREND	RECORD	UNITS
Total Betting Line 47 to 49.5 (Last Season)	33-22, 60%	880
BIG 10 NON-CONF Totals (Last Season)	25-15, 62.5%	850
ACC NON-CONF Totals (Last Season)	30-21, 58.8%	690
O/U: Sim vs Vegas Diff 5 to 5.5 (Last Season)	28-20, 58.3%	600
Total Betting Line 60 to 64.5 (Past 2 Weeks)	6-1, 85.7%	490
3 STAR O/U Past Month	12-7, 63.2%	430
TOTALS (Past 2 Weeks)	26-20, 56.5%	400
MWC NON-CONF Totals (Past 2 Weeks)	6-2, 75%	380
BIG 12 NON-CONF Totals (Past 2 Weeks)	7-3, 70%	370
PAC 12 NON-CONF Totals (Season)	10-6, 62.5%	340
Total Betting Line 57 to 59.5 (Season)	10-6, 62.5%	340
SUN BELT NON-CONF Totals (Past 2 Weeks)	4-1, 80%	290
CONF USA NON-CONF Totals (Past 2 Weeks)	6-3, 66.7%	270
AAC NON-CONF Totals (Season)	7-4, 63.6%	260
O/U: Sim vs Vegas Diff 6 or More (Past 2 Weeks)	7-4, 63.6%	260
O/U: Sim vs Vegas Diff 0.5 TO 1.5 (Last Season)	64-56, 53.3%	240
O/U: Sim vs Vegas Diff 3 to 3.5 (Past 2 Weeks)	9-6, 60%	240
SUN BELT CONF Totals (Last Season)	23-19, 54.8%	210
ACC CONF Totals (Past 2 Weeks)	2-0, 100%	200
Total Betting Line 41 to 43.5 (Last Season)	14-11, 56%	190
MAC CONF Totals (Last Season)	26-22, 54.2%	180
O/U: Sim vs Vegas Diff 4 to 4.5 (Past 2 Weeks)	5-3, 62.5%	170
Total Betting Line 54 to 56.5 (Past 2 Weeks)	5-3, 62.5%	170
Total Betting Line 65 or More (Past 2 Weeks)	6-4, 60%	160

No data available

TREND	RECORD	UNITS
SEC CONF PS (Last Season)	32-21, 60.4%	890
CONF USA CONF PS (Last Season)	31-22, 58.5%	680
SUN BELT NON-CONF PS (Last Season)	23-15, 60.5%	650
PS: Sim vs Vegas Diff 3 to 3.5 (Season)	15-8, 65.2%	620
SEC NON-CONF PS (Past 2 Weeks)	6-1, 85.7%	490
PS: Sim vs Vegas Diff 4 to 4.5 (Past 2 Weeks)	9-4, 69.2%	460
2 STAR PS Past Month	10-5, 66.7%	450
ACC NON-CONF PS (Past 2 Weeks)	6-2, 75%	380
Spread of -4 to +4 (Past 2 Weeks)	9-5, 64.3%	350
PS: Sim vs Vegas Diff 6 or More (Last Season)	7-4, 63.6%	260
BIG 10 NON-CONF PS (Past 2 Weeks)	8-5, 61.5%	250
PS: Sim vs Vegas Diff 5 to 5.5 (Last Season)	22-18, 55%	220
INDEPENDENT NON-CONF PS (Past 2 Weeks)	3-1, 75%	190
CONF USA NON-CONF PS (Past 2 Weeks)	6-4, 60%	160
Home Favored by 20 or More (Past 2 Weeks)	6-4, 60%	160
MAC NON-CONF PS (Last Season)	20-17, 54.1%	130

File Name	Sile Size	Creation Date	Download
NCAAF_ARCHIVE.xls	NCAAF_ARCH IVE.xls	1.73 MB	09.19.17

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