July 09, 2025 10:00 AM EST

Atlanta Braves vs Athletics 7/9/2025

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The Athletics are 16-29 at home this season and the Atlanta Braves are 15-28 on the road this season. This is a close match-up with both teams having a 45 to 55 percent chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Both starters have a relatively low chance of having a quality start. JP Sears has a 40% chance of a QS and Bryce Elder a 38% chance. If JP Sears has a quality start the Athletics has a 76% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 2.8 and he has a 23% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Athletics win 55%. If Bryce Elder has a quality start the Braves has a 72% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 3.2 and he has a 26% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Braves win 52%. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the Athletics is Brent Rooker who averaged 2.4 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 41% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Athletics have a 59% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the Atlanta Braves is Ronald Acuna Jr. who averaged 3 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 56% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Braves have a 62% chance of winning.

CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 6 to 8 weeks of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Athletics

Atlanta BravesRECORDAthleticsRECORDUNITS EDGE
Record on the Road15-28, 35% -1654Record at Home16-29, 36% -1159Athletics
VS Athletics0-0 No GamesVS Atlanta Braves0-0 No GamesN/A
vs Team Under .50016-19, 46% -967vs Team .500 or Better16-37, 30% -1578Atlanta Braves
Record as Road Favorite11-17, 39% -958Record as Home Underdog14-19, 42% -244Athletics
When Bryce Elder Starts5-10, 33% -666When Mitch Spence Starts7-9, 44% -123Athletics

PAST 30 DAYS: We advise incorporating these trends along with the current Season after the first 6 to 8 weeks. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Athletics

Atlanta BravesRECORDAthleticsRECORDUNITS EDGE
Record on the Road5-5, 50% -168Record at Home4-6, 40% -168EVEN
VS Athletics0-0 No GamesVS Atlanta Braves0-0 No GamesN/A
vs Team Under .5007-3, 70% 100vs Team Under .5006-6, 50% 193Athletics
Record as Road Favorite5-3, 62% 32Record as Home Underdog4-5, 44% -68Atlanta Braves
When Bryce Elder Starts1-4, 20% -370When Mitch Spence Starts1-4, 20% -272Athletics

OVER-UNDER TRENDS

Atlanta BravesRECORDAthleticsRECORDO-U EDGE
OVER-UNDER ON ROAD18-22, 45% OverOVER-UNDER AT HOME25-18, 58% OverOVER
ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS3-6, 33% OverROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS3-5, 38% OverUNDER
ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON36-45, 44% OverROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON39-42, 48% OverOVER
OVER-UNDER IN Bryce Elder STARTS5-9, 36% OverOVER-UNDER IN Mitch Spence STARTS8-8, 50% OverN/A

ACCUSCORE ADVISOR: AccuScore simulates every game thousands of times one play at a time. We are the industry standard in sports forecasting and the only company to be paid for sports picks and predictions by the biggest sports companies in the world. Our newest product, the AccuScore Advisor, provides Side Value, Money Line and Over-Under picks for every MLB game and rates them as One, Two, Three or Four Star picks. Three and Four Star picks have delivered over +10,000 units of profit the past 2 seasons. Visit AccuScore.com to find out what AccuScore\'s Advisor recommends for this game. The following trends are AccuScore\'s RIGHT-WRONG records and units (+/-) when making picks involving these teams.

SIDE VALUE (Current Season) - Atlanta Braves Road Games: 15-28, 35% -1815 Athletics Home Games: 19-26, 42% -785 SIDE VALUE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Atlanta Braves Road Games: 5-5, 50% -349 Athletics Home Games: 5-5, 50% +16

MONEY LINE (Current Season) - Atlanta Braves Road Games: 21-22, 49% -687 Athletics Home Games: 24-21, 53% -317 MONEY LINE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Atlanta Braves Road Games: 7-3, 70% +183 Athletics Home Games: 7-3, 70% +332

OVER-UNDER RECORD (Current Season) - Atlanta Braves Road Games: 17-21, 45% -610 Athletics Home Games: 22-19, 54% + 110 OVER-UNDER RECORD (PAST 30 DAYS) - Atlanta Braves Road Games: 3-5, 38% -250 Athletics Home Games: 5-2, 71% + 280

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