The St. Louis Cardinals are 25-17 at home this season and are solid favorites to beat the Washington Nationals who are 19-25 on the road this season. The Cardinals have a better than 55% chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Both starters have a good chance of having a quality start. Andre Pallante has a 51% chance of a QS and MacKenzie Gore a 50% chance. If Andre Pallante has a quality start the Cardinals has a 75% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 2.9 and he has a 25% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Cardinals win 64%. If MacKenzie Gore has a quality start the Nationals has a 61% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 3.7 and he has a 27% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Nationals win 42%. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the St. Louis Cardinals is Ivan Herrera who averaged 2.24 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 37% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Cardinals have a 71% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the Washington Nationals is James Wood who averaged 2.27 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 39% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Nationals have a 61% chance of winning.
CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 6 to 8 weeks of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: St. Louis Cardinals
| Washington Nationals | RECORD | St. Louis Cardinals | RECORD | UNITS EDGE |
|---|
| Record on the Road | 19-25, 43% 38 | Record at Home | 25-17, 60% 618 | St. Louis Cardinals |
| VS St. Louis Cardinals | 0-3, 0% -300 | VS Washington Nationals | 3-0, 100% 290 | St. Louis Cardinals |
| vs Team .500 or Better | 16-30, 35% -772 | vs Team Under .500 | 26-15, 63% 857 | St. Louis Cardinals |
| Record As Road Underdog | 17-22, 44% 184 | Record As Home Favorite | 12-7, 63% 164 | Washington Nationals |
| When MacKenzie Gore Starts | 6-11, 35% -451 | When Andre Pallante Starts | 9-8, 53% 110 | St. Louis Cardinals |
PAST 30 DAYS: We advise incorporating these trends along with the current Season after the first 6 to 8 weeks. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: St. Louis Cardinals
| Washington Nationals | RECORD | St. Louis Cardinals | RECORD | UNITS EDGE |
|---|
| Record on the Road | 4-8, 33% -190 | Record at Home | 4-6, 40% -285 | Washington Nationals |
| VS St. Louis Cardinals | 0-0 No Games | VS Washington Nationals | 0-0 No Games | N/A |
| vs Team Under .500 | 2-8, 20% -595 | vs Team Under .500 | 6-3, 67% 158 | St. Louis Cardinals |
| Record As Road Underdog | 4-8, 33% -190 | Record As Home Favorite | 2-1, 67% 24 | St. Louis Cardinals |
| When MacKenzie Gore Starts | 0-4, 0% -400 | When Andre Pallante Starts | 2-3, 40% -126 | St. Louis Cardinals |
OVER-UNDER TRENDS
| Washington Nationals | RECORD | St. Louis Cardinals | RECORD | O-U EDGE |
|---|
| OVER-UNDER ON ROAD | 24-20, 55% Over | OVER-UNDER AT HOME | 22-19, 54% Over | OVER |
| ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS | 8-4, 67% Over | ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS | 5-5, 50% Over | OVER |
| ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON | 39-39, 50% Over | ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON | 38-43, 47% Over | OVER |
| OVER-UNDER IN MacKenzie Gore STARTS | 8-9, 47% Over | OVER-UNDER IN Andre Pallante STARTS | 7-9, 44% Over | N/A |
ACCUSCORE ADVISOR: AccuScore simulates every game thousands of times one play at a time. We are the industry standard in sports forecasting and the only company to be paid for sports picks and predictions by the biggest sports companies in the world. Our newest product, the AccuScore Advisor, provides Side Value, Money Line and Over-Under picks for every MLB game and rates them as One, Two, Three or Four Star picks. Three and Four Star picks have delivered over +10,000 units of profit the past 2 seasons. Visit AccuScore.com to find out what AccuScore\'s Advisor recommends for this game. The following trends are AccuScore\'s RIGHT-WRONG records and units (+/-) when making picks involving these teams.
SIDE VALUE (Current Season) - Washington Nationals Road Games: 25-19, 57% +181 St. Louis Cardinals Home Games: 23-19, 55% +209 SIDE VALUE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Washington Nationals Road Games: 8-4, 67% +292 St. Louis Cardinals Home Games: 5-5, 50% -77
MONEY LINE (Current Season) - Washington Nationals Road Games: 26-18, 59% -164 St. Louis Cardinals Home Games: 26-16, 62% +538 MONEY LINE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Washington Nationals Road Games: 8-4, 67% +22 St. Louis Cardinals Home Games: 6-4, 60% +74
OVER-UNDER RECORD (Current Season) - Washington Nationals Road Games: 17-24, 41% -940 St. Louis Cardinals Home Games: 21-16, 57% + 340 OVER-UNDER RECORD (PAST 30 DAYS) - Washington Nationals Road Games: 4-7, 36% -370 St. Louis Cardinals Home Games: 5-3, 62% + 170
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