July 09, 2025 10:00 AM EST

Chicago Cubs vs Minnesota Twins 7/9/2025

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The Minnesota Twins are 24-18 at home this season and the Chicago Cubs are 24-20 on the road this season. This is a close match-up with both teams having a 45 to 55 percent chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Both starters have a relatively low chance of having a quality start. David Festa has a 41% chance of a QS and Cade Horton a 42% chance. If David Festa has a quality start the Twins has a 74% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 3.4 and he has a 25% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Twins win 55%. If Cade Horton has a quality start the Cubs has a 73% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 3.6 and he has a 33% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Cubs win 56%. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the Minnesota Twins is Byron Buxton who averaged 2.17 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 36% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Twins have a 60% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the Chicago Cubs is Kyle Tucker who averaged 2.34 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 39% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Cubs have a 65% chance of winning.

CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 6 to 8 weeks of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Chicago Cubs

Chicago CubsRECORDMinnesota TwinsRECORDUNITS EDGE
Record on the Road24-20, 55% 252Record at Home24-18, 57% 54Chicago Cubs
VS Minnesota Twins0-0 No GamesVS Chicago Cubs0-0 No GamesN/A
vs Team Under .50029-9, 76% 955vs Team .500 or Better20-29, 41% -1073Chicago Cubs
Record As Road Underdog9-13, 41% -180Record As Home Favorite20-17, 54% -299Chicago Cubs
When Cade Horton Starts3-3, 50% -112When David Festa Starts4-5, 44% -211Chicago Cubs

PAST 30 DAYS: We advise incorporating these trends along with the current Season after the first 6 to 8 weeks. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Chicago Cubs

Chicago CubsRECORDMinnesota TwinsRECORDUNITS EDGE
Record on the Road4-6, 40% -251Record at Home5-8, 38% -384Chicago Cubs
VS Minnesota Twins0-0 No GamesVS Chicago Cubs0-0 No GamesN/A
vs Team Under .50010-4, 71% 182vs Team .500 or Better8-17, 32% -1014Chicago Cubs
Record As Road Underdog2-4, 33% -197Record As Home Favorite4-7, 36% -387Chicago Cubs
When Cade Horton Starts2-2, 50% -77When David Festa Starts2-3, 40% -133Chicago Cubs

OVER-UNDER TRENDS

Chicago CubsRECORDMinnesota TwinsRECORDO-U EDGE
OVER-UNDER ON ROAD25-18, 58% OverOVER-UNDER AT HOME21-20, 51% OverOVER
ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS6-4, 60% OverROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS9-4, 69% OverOVER
ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON40-36, 53% OverROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON44-33, 57% OverOVER
OVER-UNDER IN Cade Horton STARTS3-3, 50% OverOVER-UNDER IN David Festa STARTS5-4, 56% OverN/A

ACCUSCORE ADVISOR: AccuScore simulates every game thousands of times one play at a time. We are the industry standard in sports forecasting and the only company to be paid for sports picks and predictions by the biggest sports companies in the world. Our newest product, the AccuScore Advisor, provides Side Value, Money Line and Over-Under picks for every MLB game and rates them as One, Two, Three or Four Star picks. Three and Four Star picks have delivered over +10,000 units of profit the past 2 seasons. Visit AccuScore.com to find out what AccuScore\'s Advisor recommends for this game. The following trends are AccuScore\'s RIGHT-WRONG records and units (+/-) when making picks involving these teams.

SIDE VALUE (Current Season) - Chicago Cubs Road Games: 22-22, 50% -729 Minnesota Twins Home Games: 24-18, 57% +477 SIDE VALUE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Chicago Cubs Road Games: 8-2, 80% +335 Minnesota Twins Home Games: 7-6, 54% +93

MONEY LINE (Current Season) - Chicago Cubs Road Games: 25-19, 57% +40 Minnesota Twins Home Games: 24-18, 57% +151 MONEY LINE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Chicago Cubs Road Games: 8-2, 80% +443 Minnesota Twins Home Games: 6-7, 46% -182

OVER-UNDER RECORD (Current Season) - Chicago Cubs Road Games: 27-14, 66% + 1160 Minnesota Twins Home Games: 19-16, 54% + 140 OVER-UNDER RECORD (PAST 30 DAYS) - Chicago Cubs Road Games: 5-3, 62% + 170 Minnesota Twins Home Games: 4-8, 33% -480

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