The Baltimore Orioles are 19-22 at home this season and the New York Mets are 19-25 on the road this season. This is a close match-up with both teams having a 45 to 55 percent chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Mets starter David Peterson is forecasted to have a better game than Orioles starter Tomoyuki Sugano. David Peterson has a 46% chance of having a Quality Start (QS) while Tomoyuki Sugano has a 41% chance of a QS. If David Peterson has a quality start the Mets has a 75% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 3.1 and he has a 22% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Mets win 55%. In Tomoyuki Sugano quality starts the Orioles win 70%. He has a 32% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio and if he does his team wins 70% of simulations. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the Baltimore Orioles is Ryan O\'Hearn who averaged 2.18 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 36% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Orioles have a 59% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the New York Mets is Juan Soto who averaged 2.55 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 45% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Mets have a 67% chance of winning.
CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 6 to 8 weeks of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Baltimore Orioles
| New York Mets | RECORD | Baltimore Orioles | RECORD | UNITS EDGE |
|---|
| Record on the Road | 19-25, 43% -962 | Record at Home | 19-22, 46% -694 | Baltimore Orioles |
| VS Baltimore Orioles | 0-0 No Games | VS New York Mets | 0-0 No Games | N/A |
| vs Team Under .500 | 27-20, 57% -557 | vs Team .500 or Better | 20-24, 45% -289 | Baltimore Orioles |
| Record as Road Favorite | 11-12, 48% -556 | Record as Home Underdog | 7-5, 58% 202 | Baltimore Orioles |
| When David Peterson Starts | 10-7, 59% -59 | When Tomoyuki Sugano Starts | 9-6, 60% 329 | Baltimore Orioles |
PAST 30 DAYS: We advise incorporating these trends along with the current Season after the first 6 to 8 weeks. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Baltimore Orioles
| New York Mets | RECORD | Baltimore Orioles | RECORD | UNITS EDGE |
|---|
| Record on the Road | 1-8, 11% -706 | Record at Home | 7-5, 58% 66 | Baltimore Orioles |
| VS Baltimore Orioles | 0-0 No Games | VS New York Mets | 0-0 No Games | N/A |
| vs Team .500 or Better | 3-6, 33% -337 | vs Team .500 or Better | 10-9, 53% -29 | Baltimore Orioles |
| Record as Road Favorite | 0-3, 0% -300 | Record as Home Underdog | 3-2, 60% 94 | Baltimore Orioles |
| When David Peterson Starts | 2-3, 40% -202 | When Tomoyuki Sugano Starts | 3-1, 75% 261 | Baltimore Orioles |
OVER-UNDER TRENDS
| New York Mets | RECORD | Baltimore Orioles | RECORD | O-U EDGE |
|---|
| OVER-UNDER ON ROAD | 20-23, 47% Over | OVER-UNDER AT HOME | 22-18, 55% Over | OVER |
| ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS | 6-3, 67% Over | ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS | 6-6, 50% Over | OVER |
| ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON | 47-38, 55% Over | ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON | 42-37, 53% Over | OVER |
| OVER-UNDER IN David Peterson STARTS | 7-9, 44% Over | OVER-UNDER IN Tomoyuki Sugano STARTS | 5-10, 33% Over | N/A |
ACCUSCORE ADVISOR: AccuScore simulates every game thousands of times one play at a time. We are the industry standard in sports forecasting and the only company to be paid for sports picks and predictions by the biggest sports companies in the world. Our newest product, the AccuScore Advisor, provides Side Value, Money Line and Over-Under picks for every MLB game and rates them as One, Two, Three or Four Star picks. Three and Four Star picks have delivered over +10,000 units of profit the past 2 seasons. Visit AccuScore.com to find out what AccuScore\'s Advisor recommends for this game. The following trends are AccuScore\'s RIGHT-WRONG records and units (+/-) when making picks involving these teams.
SIDE VALUE (Current Season) - New York Mets Road Games: 29-15, 66% +880 Baltimore Orioles Home Games: 25-16, 61% +920 SIDE VALUE (PAST 30 DAYS) - New York Mets Road Games: 7-2, 78% +450 Baltimore Orioles Home Games: 8-4, 67% +328
MONEY LINE (Current Season) - New York Mets Road Games: 27-17, 61% +313 Baltimore Orioles Home Games: 24-17, 59% +326 MONEY LINE (PAST 30 DAYS) - New York Mets Road Games: 6-3, 67% +153 Baltimore Orioles Home Games: 10-2, 83% +587
OVER-UNDER RECORD (Current Season) - New York Mets Road Games: 19-18, 51% -80 Baltimore Orioles Home Games: 17-20, 46% -500 OVER-UNDER RECORD (PAST 30 DAYS) - New York Mets Road Games: 2-6, 25% -460 Baltimore Orioles Home Games: 5-6, 45% -160
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