July 09, 2025 10:00 AM EST

Seattle Mariners vs New York Yankees 7/9/2025

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The New York Yankees are 26-17 at home this season and are heavy favorites to beat the Seattle Mariners who are 23-21 on the road this season. The Yankees have a better than 60% chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Yankees starter Max Fried is forecasted to have a better game than Mariners starter Logan Evans. Max Fried has a 60% chance of having a Quality Start (QS) while Logan Evans has a 39% chance of a QS. If Max Fried has a quality start the Yankees has a 83% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 4.9 and he has a 37% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Yankees win 71%. In Logan Evans quality starts the Mariners win 57%. He has a 21% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio and if he does his team wins 57% of simulations. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the New York Yankees is Aaron Judge who averaged 2.97 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 54% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Yankees have a 73% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the Seattle Mariners is Cal Raleigh who averaged 2.14 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 34% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Mariners have a 46% chance of winning.

CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 6 to 8 weeks of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Seattle Mariners

Seattle MarinersRECORDNew York YankeesRECORDUNITS EDGE
Record on the Road23-21, 52% 79Record at Home26-17, 60% -183Seattle Mariners
VS New York Yankees1-2, 33% -86VS Seattle Mariners2-1, 67% 62New York Yankees
vs Team .500 or Better17-20, 46% -242vs Team .500 or Better21-26, 45% -1136Seattle Mariners
Record As Road Underdog10-11, 48% 86Record As Home Favorite25-17, 60% -276Seattle Mariners
When Logan Evans Starts3-2, 60% 69When Max Fried Starts14-6, 70% 108New York Yankees

PAST 30 DAYS: We advise incorporating these trends along with the current Season after the first 6 to 8 weeks. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Seattle Mariners

Seattle MarinersRECORDNew York YankeesRECORDUNITS EDGE
Record on the Road6-7, 46% -168Record at Home5-5, 50% -273Seattle Mariners
VS New York Yankees0-0 No GamesVS Seattle Mariners0-0 No GamesN/A
vs Team Under .50010-4, 71% 327vs Team .500 or Better4-13, 24% -1112Seattle Mariners
Record As Road Underdog2-4, 33% -199Record As Home Favorite5-5, 50% -273Seattle Mariners
When Logan Evans Starts0-0 No GamesWhen Max Fried Starts3-4, 43% -252Seattle Mariners

OVER-UNDER TRENDS

Seattle MarinersRECORDNew York YankeesRECORDO-U EDGE
OVER-UNDER ON ROAD25-18, 58% OverOVER-UNDER AT HOME17-26, 40% OverUNDER
ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS10-3, 77% OverROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS2-8, 20% OverOVER
ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON45-31, 59% OverROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON47-38, 55% OverUNDER
OVER-UNDER IN Logan Evans STARTS4-1, 80% OverOVER-UNDER IN Max Fried STARTS9-10, 47% OverN/A

ACCUSCORE ADVISOR: AccuScore simulates every game thousands of times one play at a time. We are the industry standard in sports forecasting and the only company to be paid for sports picks and predictions by the biggest sports companies in the world. Our newest product, the AccuScore Advisor, provides Side Value, Money Line and Over-Under picks for every MLB game and rates them as One, Two, Three or Four Star picks. Three and Four Star picks have delivered over +10,000 units of profit the past 2 seasons. Visit AccuScore.com to find out what AccuScore\'s Advisor recommends for this game. The following trends are AccuScore\'s RIGHT-WRONG records and units (+/-) when making picks involving these teams.

SIDE VALUE (Current Season) - Seattle Mariners Road Games: 18-26, 41% -812 New York Yankees Home Games: 21-22, 49% -521 SIDE VALUE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Seattle Mariners Road Games: 6-7, 46% -231 New York Yankees Home Games: 5-5, 50% -101

MONEY LINE (Current Season) - Seattle Mariners Road Games: 18-26, 41% -1182 New York Yankees Home Games: 26-17, 60% -124 MONEY LINE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Seattle Mariners Road Games: 6-7, 46% -231 New York Yankees Home Games: 5-5, 50% -273

OVER-UNDER RECORD (Current Season) - Seattle Mariners Road Games: 11-28, 28% -1980 New York Yankees Home Games: 19-15, 56% + 250 OVER-UNDER RECORD (PAST 30 DAYS) - Seattle Mariners Road Games: 3-8, 27% -580 New York Yankees Home Games: 6-3, 67% + 270

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