The Boston Red Sox are 25-20 at home this season and are heavy favorites to beat the Colorado Rockies who are 11-33 on the road this season. The Red Sox have a better than 60% chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Red Sox starter Lucas Giolito is forecasted to have a better game than Rockies starter Antonio Senzatela. Lucas Giolito has a 59% chance of having a Quality Start (QS) while Antonio Senzatela has a 19% chance of a QS. If Lucas Giolito has a quality start the Red Sox has a 87% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 5.1 and he has a 32% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Red Sox win 75%. In Antonio Senzatela quality starts the Rockies win 55%. He has a 23% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio and if he does his team wins 55% of simulations. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the Boston Red Sox is Carlos Narvaez who averaged 2.6 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 47% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Red Sox have a 82% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the Colorado Rockies is Thairo Estrada who averaged 1.91 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 31% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Rockies have a 39% chance of winning.
CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 6 to 8 weeks of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Boston Red Sox
| Colorado Rockies | RECORD | Boston Red Sox | RECORD | UNITS EDGE |
|---|
| Record on the Road | 11-33, 25% -1557 | Record at Home | 25-20, 56% 71 | Boston Red Sox |
| VS Boston Red Sox | 0-0 No Games | VS Colorado Rockies | 0-0 No Games | N/A |
| vs Team .500 or Better | 8-47, 15% -3194 | vs Team Under .500 | 23-22, 51% -390 | Boston Red Sox |
| Record As Road Underdog | 9-33, 21% -1670 | Record As Home Favorite | 18-17, 51% -444 | Boston Red Sox |
| When Antonio Senzatela Starts | 5-13, 28% -524 | When Lucas Giolito Starts | 8-4, 67% 451 | Boston Red Sox |
PAST 30 DAYS: We advise incorporating these trends along with the current Season after the first 6 to 8 weeks. NEITHER TEAM HAS UNITS EDGE
| Colorado Rockies | RECORD | Boston Red Sox | RECORD | UNITS EDGE |
|---|
| Record on the Road | 5-5, 50% 224 | Record at Home | 8-4, 67% 387 | Boston Red Sox |
| VS Boston Red Sox | 0-0 No Games | VS Colorado Rockies | 0-0 No Games | N/A |
| vs Team .500 or Better | 3-9, 25% -375 | vs Team Under .500 | 7-2, 78% 491 | Boston Red Sox |
| Record As Road Underdog | 4-5, 44% 171 | Record As Home Favorite | 4-3, 57% -9 | Colorado Rockies |
| When Antonio Senzatela Starts | 3-2, 60% 311 | When Lucas Giolito Starts | 3-1, 75% 258 | Colorado Rockies |
OVER-UNDER TRENDS
| Colorado Rockies | RECORD | Boston Red Sox | RECORD | O-U EDGE |
|---|
| OVER-UNDER ON ROAD | 15-29, 34% Over | OVER-UNDER AT HOME | 19-25, 43% Over | UNDER |
| ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS | 5-5, 50% Over | ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS | 5-7, 42% Over | UNDER |
| ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON | 40-38, 51% Over | ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON | 35-42, 45% Over | UNDER |
| OVER-UNDER IN Antonio Senzatela STARTS | 7-11, 39% Over | OVER-UNDER IN Lucas Giolito STARTS | 6-6, 50% Over | N/A |
ACCUSCORE ADVISOR: AccuScore simulates every game thousands of times one play at a time. We are the industry standard in sports forecasting and the only company to be paid for sports picks and predictions by the biggest sports companies in the world. Our newest product, the AccuScore Advisor, provides Side Value, Money Line and Over-Under picks for every MLB game and rates them as One, Two, Three or Four Star picks. Three and Four Star picks have delivered over +10,000 units of profit the past 2 seasons. Visit AccuScore.com to find out what AccuScore\'s Advisor recommends for this game. The following trends are AccuScore\'s RIGHT-WRONG records and units (+/-) when making picks involving these teams.
SIDE VALUE (Current Season) - Colorado Rockies Road Games: 30-14, 68% +1386 Boston Red Sox Home Games: 24-21, 53% +420 SIDE VALUE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Colorado Rockies Road Games: 5-5, 50% +161 Boston Red Sox Home Games: 8-4, 67% +482
MONEY LINE (Current Season) - Colorado Rockies Road Games: 35-9, 80% +437 Boston Red Sox Home Games: 24-21, 53% -188 MONEY LINE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Colorado Rockies Road Games: 6-4, 60% -136 Boston Red Sox Home Games: 7-5, 58% +140
OVER-UNDER RECORD (Current Season) - Colorado Rockies Road Games: 20-17, 54% + 130 Boston Red Sox Home Games: 21-18, 54% + 120 OVER-UNDER RECORD (PAST 30 DAYS) - Colorado Rockies Road Games: 5-3, 62% + 170 Boston Red Sox Home Games: 7-5, 58% + 150
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