The Houston Astros are 32-14 at home this season and are heavy favorites to beat the Cleveland Guardians who are 20-25 on the road this season. The Astros have a better than 60% chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Astros starter Brandon Walter is forecasted to have a better game than Guardians starter Slade Cecconi. Brandon Walter has a 55% chance of having a Quality Start (QS) while Slade Cecconi has a 37% chance of a QS. If Brandon Walter has a quality start the Astros has a 81% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 6.8 and he has a 57% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Astros win 68%. In Slade Cecconi quality starts the Guardians win 57%. He has a 30% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio and if he does his team wins 57% of simulations. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the Houston Astros is Jose Altuve who averaged 2.23 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 37% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Astros have a 79% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the Cleveland Guardians is Jose Ramirez who averaged 2.28 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 38% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Guardians have a 48% chance of winning.
CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 6 to 8 weeks of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Houston Astros
| Cleveland Guardians | RECORD | Houston Astros | RECORD | UNITS EDGE |
|---|
| Record on the Road | 20-25, 44% -351 | Record at Home | 32-14, 70% 1059 | Houston Astros |
| VS Houston Astros | 1-2, 33% -137 | VS Cleveland Guardians | 2-1, 67% 50 | Houston Astros |
| vs Team .500 or Better | 18-37, 33% -1767 | vs Team Under .500 | 27-16, 63% 412 | Houston Astros |
| Record As Road Underdog | 14-19, 42% -246 | Record As Home Favorite | 27-13, 68% 587 | Houston Astros |
| When Slade Cecconi Starts | 4-4, 50% -14 | When Brandon Walter Starts | 2-3, 40% -143 | Cleveland Guardians |
PAST 30 DAYS: We advise incorporating these trends along with the current Season after the first 6 to 8 weeks. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Houston Astros
| Cleveland Guardians | RECORD | Houston Astros | RECORD | UNITS EDGE |
|---|
| Record on the Road | 4-8, 33% -386 | Record at Home | 10-2, 83% 560 | Houston Astros |
| VS Houston Astros | 0-0 No Games | VS Cleveland Guardians | 0-0 No Games | N/A |
| vs Team .500 or Better | 2-13, 13% -1122 | vs Team Under .500 | 9-4, 69% 174 | Houston Astros |
| Record As Road Underdog | 2-7, 22% -445 | Record As Home Favorite | 9-2, 82% 427 | Houston Astros |
| When Slade Cecconi Starts | 2-3, 40% -82 | When Brandon Walter Starts | 2-2, 50% -43 | Houston Astros |
OVER-UNDER TRENDS
| Cleveland Guardians | RECORD | Houston Astros | RECORD | O-U EDGE |
|---|
| OVER-UNDER ON ROAD | 17-25, 40% Over | OVER-UNDER AT HOME | 18-26, 41% Over | UNDER |
| ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS | 2-9, 18% Over | ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS | 4-8, 33% Over | UNDER |
| ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON | 31-49, 39% Over | ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON | 39-41, 49% Over | UNDER |
| OVER-UNDER IN Slade Cecconi STARTS | 2-6, 25% Over | OVER-UNDER IN Brandon Walter STARTS | 3-2, 60% Over | N/A |
ACCUSCORE ADVISOR: AccuScore simulates every game thousands of times one play at a time. We are the industry standard in sports forecasting and the only company to be paid for sports picks and predictions by the biggest sports companies in the world. Our newest product, the AccuScore Advisor, provides Side Value, Money Line and Over-Under picks for every MLB game and rates them as One, Two, Three or Four Star picks. Three and Four Star picks have delivered over +10,000 units of profit the past 2 seasons. Visit AccuScore.com to find out what AccuScore\'s Advisor recommends for this game. The following trends are AccuScore\'s RIGHT-WRONG records and units (+/-) when making picks involving these teams.
SIDE VALUE (Current Season) - Cleveland Guardians Road Games: 26-19, 58% +870 Houston Astros Home Games: 27-19, 59% +423 SIDE VALUE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Cleveland Guardians Road Games: 10-2, 83% +951 Houston Astros Home Games: 5-7, 42% -193
MONEY LINE (Current Season) - Cleveland Guardians Road Games: 28-17, 62% +443 Houston Astros Home Games: 27-19, 59% +69 MONEY LINE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Cleveland Guardians Road Games: 9-3, 75% +364 Houston Astros Home Games: 8-4, 67% +140
OVER-UNDER RECORD (Current Season) - Cleveland Guardians Road Games: 17-17, 50% -170 Houston Astros Home Games: 20-18, 53% + 20 OVER-UNDER RECORD (PAST 30 DAYS) - Cleveland Guardians Road Games: 4-4, 50% -40 Houston Astros Home Games: 3-4, 43% -140
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