The Detroit Tigers are 30-14 at home this season and are solid favorites to beat the Tampa Bay Rays who are 21-16 on the road this season. The Tigers have a better than 55% chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Both starters have a good chance of having a quality start. Reese Olson has a 48% chance of a QS and Zack Littell a 44% chance. If Reese Olson has a quality start the Tigers has a 76% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 3.9 and he has a 32% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Tigers win 61%. If Zack Littell has a quality start the Rays has a 66% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 4.8 and he has a 44% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Rays win 48%. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the Detroit Tigers is Gleyber Torres who averaged 2.05 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 33% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Tigers have a 67% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the Tampa Bay Rays is Yandy Diaz who averaged 2.1 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 35% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Rays have a 59% chance of winning.
CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 6 to 8 weeks of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Tampa Bay Rays
| Tampa Bay Rays | RECORD | Detroit Tigers | RECORD | UNITS EDGE |
|---|
| Record on the Road | 21-16, 57% 773 | Record at Home | 30-14, 68% 684 | Tampa Bay Rays |
| VS Detroit Tigers | 2-1, 67% 63 | VS Tampa Bay Rays | 1-2, 33% -105 | Tampa Bay Rays |
| vs Team .500 or Better | 24-17, 59% 831 | vs Team .500 or Better | 22-17, 56% 184 | Tampa Bay Rays |
| Record As Road Underdog | 18-10, 64% 1147 | Record As Home Favorite | 25-12, 68% 301 | Tampa Bay Rays |
| When Zack Littell Starts | 8-9, 47% -38 | When Reese Olson Starts | 8-4, 67% 158 | Detroit Tigers |
PAST 30 DAYS: We advise incorporating these trends along with the current Season after the first 6 to 8 weeks. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Tampa Bay Rays
| Tampa Bay Rays | RECORD | Detroit Tigers | RECORD | UNITS EDGE |
|---|
| Record on the Road | 9-6, 60% 360 | Record at Home | 7-5, 58% -64 | Tampa Bay Rays |
| VS Detroit Tigers | 2-1, 67% 63 | VS Tampa Bay Rays | 1-2, 33% -105 | Tampa Bay Rays |
| vs Team .500 or Better | 6-7, 46% -193 | vs Team .500 or Better | 4-5, 44% -175 | Detroit Tigers |
| Record As Road Underdog | 7-2, 78% 602 | Record As Home Favorite | 6-5, 55% -179 | Tampa Bay Rays |
| When Zack Littell Starts | 1-4, 20% -307 | When Reese Olson Starts | 2-0, 100% 187 | Detroit Tigers |
OVER-UNDER TRENDS
| Tampa Bay Rays | RECORD | Detroit Tigers | RECORD | O-U EDGE |
|---|
| OVER-UNDER ON ROAD | 17-20, 46% Over | OVER-UNDER AT HOME | 16-26, 38% Over | UNDER |
| ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS | 8-7, 53% Over | ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS | 7-5, 58% Over | OVER |
| ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON | 32-46, 41% Over | ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON | 37-43, 46% Over | UNDER |
| OVER-UNDER IN Zack Littell STARTS | 5-11, 31% Over | OVER-UNDER IN Reese Olson STARTS | 6-6, 50% Over | N/A |
ACCUSCORE ADVISOR: AccuScore simulates every game thousands of times one play at a time. We are the industry standard in sports forecasting and the only company to be paid for sports picks and predictions by the biggest sports companies in the world. Our newest product, the AccuScore Advisor, provides Side Value, Money Line and Over-Under picks for every MLB game and rates them as One, Two, Three or Four Star picks. Three and Four Star picks have delivered over +10,000 units of profit the past 2 seasons. Visit AccuScore.com to find out what AccuScore\'s Advisor recommends for this game. The following trends are AccuScore\'s RIGHT-WRONG records and units (+/-) when making picks involving these teams.
SIDE VALUE (Current Season) - Tampa Bay Rays Road Games: 25-12, 68% +1149 Detroit Tigers Home Games: 23-21, 52% +7 SIDE VALUE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Tampa Bay Rays Road Games: 10-5, 67% +201 Detroit Tigers Home Games: 6-6, 50% -4
MONEY LINE (Current Season) - Tampa Bay Rays Road Games: 19-18, 51% -259 Detroit Tigers Home Games: 29-15, 66% +425 MONEY LINE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Tampa Bay Rays Road Games: 8-7, 53% +35 Detroit Tigers Home Games: 6-6, 50% -240
OVER-UNDER RECORD (Current Season) - Tampa Bay Rays Road Games: 17-17, 50% -170 Detroit Tigers Home Games: 20-19, 51% -90 OVER-UNDER RECORD (PAST 30 DAYS) - Tampa Bay Rays Road Games: 8-6, 57% + 140 Detroit Tigers Home Games: 6-5, 55% + 50
Click here to see AccuScore's pick for this game
