The San Francisco Giants are 25-17 at home this season and the Philadelphia Phillies are 23-21 on the road this season. This is a close match-up with both teams having a 45 to 55 percent chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Both starters have a good chance of having a quality start. Justin Verlander has a 50% chance of a QS and Jesus Luzardo a 48% chance. If Justin Verlander has a quality start the Giants has a 74% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 3.4 and he has a 27% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Giants win 56%. If Jesus Luzardo has a quality start the Phillies has a 66% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 3.9 and he has a 24% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Phillies win 49%. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the San Francisco Giants is Rafael Devers who averaged 2.29 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 39% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Giants have a 65% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the Philadelphia Phillies is Kyle Schwarber who averaged 2.25 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 38% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Phillies have a 63% chance of winning.
CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 6 to 8 weeks of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: San Francisco Giants
| Philadelphia Phillies | RECORD | San Francisco Giants | RECORD | UNITS EDGE |
|---|
| Record on the Road | 23-21, 52% -481 | Record at Home | 25-17, 60% 52 | San Francisco Giants |
| VS San Francisco Giants | 2-2, 50% -91 | VS Philadelphia Phillies | 2-2, 50% 22 | San Francisco Giants |
| vs Team .500 or Better | 23-23, 50% -700 | vs Team .500 or Better | 23-18, 56% 365 | San Francisco Giants |
| Record as Road Favorite | 19-13, 59% -155 | Record as Home Underdog | 4-0, 100% 400 | San Francisco Giants |
| When Jesus Luzardo Starts | 10-8, 56% -90 | When Justin Verlander Starts | 4-10, 29% -672 | Philadelphia Phillies |
PAST 30 DAYS: We advise incorporating these trends along with the current Season after the first 6 to 8 weeks. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Philadelphia Phillies
| Philadelphia Phillies | RECORD | San Francisco Giants | RECORD | UNITS EDGE |
|---|
| Record on the Road | 5-5, 50% -39 | Record at Home | 3-6, 33% -402 | Philadelphia Phillies |
| VS San Francisco Giants | 0-0 No Games | VS Philadelphia Phillies | 0-0 No Games | N/A |
| vs Team Under .500 | 6-3, 67% 200 | vs Team .500 or Better | 5-8, 38% -298 | Philadelphia Phillies |
| Record as Road Favorite | 3-2, 60% -6 | Record as Home Underdog | 0-0 No Games | San Francisco Giants |
| When Jesus Luzardo Starts | 2-3, 40% -130 | When Justin Verlander Starts | 0-4, 0% -400 | Philadelphia Phillies |
OVER-UNDER TRENDS
| Philadelphia Phillies | RECORD | San Francisco Giants | RECORD | O-U EDGE |
|---|
| OVER-UNDER ON ROAD | 16-27, 37% Over | OVER-UNDER AT HOME | 17-25, 40% Over | UNDER |
| ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS | 2-8, 20% Over | ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS | 4-5, 44% Over | UNDER |
| ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON | 43-37, 54% Over | ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON | 38-41, 48% Over | UNDER |
| OVER-UNDER IN Jesus Luzardo STARTS | 11-7, 61% Over | OVER-UNDER IN Justin Verlander STARTS | 5-8, 38% Over | N/A |
ACCUSCORE ADVISOR: AccuScore simulates every game thousands of times one play at a time. We are the industry standard in sports forecasting and the only company to be paid for sports picks and predictions by the biggest sports companies in the world. Our newest product, the AccuScore Advisor, provides Side Value, Money Line and Over-Under picks for every MLB game and rates them as One, Two, Three or Four Star picks. Three and Four Star picks have delivered over +10,000 units of profit the past 2 seasons. Visit AccuScore.com to find out what AccuScore\'s Advisor recommends for this game. The following trends are AccuScore\'s RIGHT-WRONG records and units (+/-) when making picks involving these teams.
SIDE VALUE (Current Season) - Philadelphia Phillies Road Games: 23-21, 52% -549 San Francisco Giants Home Games: 23-19, 55% +236 SIDE VALUE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Philadelphia Phillies Road Games: 5-5, 50% -135 San Francisco Giants Home Games: 6-3, 67% +371
MONEY LINE (Current Season) - Philadelphia Phillies Road Games: 26-18, 59% -131 San Francisco Giants Home Games: 21-21, 50% -654 MONEY LINE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Philadelphia Phillies Road Games: 6-4, 60% -6 San Francisco Giants Home Games: 3-6, 33% -402
OVER-UNDER RECORD (Current Season) - Philadelphia Phillies Road Games: 21-16, 57% + 340 San Francisco Giants Home Games: 19-16, 54% + 140 OVER-UNDER RECORD (PAST 30 DAYS) - Philadelphia Phillies Road Games: 4-3, 57% + 70 San Francisco Giants Home Games: 3-3, 50% -30
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