The Kansas City Royals are 20-24 at home this season and are solid favorites to beat the Pittsburgh Pirates who are 12-32 on the road this season. The Royals have a better than 55% chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Royals starter Kris Bubic is forecasted to have a better game than Pirates starter Bailey Falter. Kris Bubic has a 63% chance of having a Quality Start (QS) while Bailey Falter has a 46% chance of a QS. If Kris Bubic has a quality start the Royals has a 77% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 4.2 and he has a 28% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Royals win 63%. In Bailey Falter quality starts the Pirates win 57%. He has a 24% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio and if he does his team wins 57% of simulations. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the Kansas City Royals is Bobby Witt Jr. who averaged 2.26 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 38% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Royals have a 73% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the Pittsburgh Pirates is Andrew McCutchen who averaged 2.07 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 34% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Pirates have a 53% chance of winning.
CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 6 to 8 weeks of the season. NEITHER TEAM HAS UNITS EDGE
| Pittsburgh Pirates | RECORD | Kansas City Royals | RECORD | UNITS EDGE |
|---|
| Record on the Road | 12-32, 27% -1325 | Record at Home | 20-24, 45% -800 | Kansas City Royals |
| VS Kansas City Royals | 0-0 No Games | VS Pittsburgh Pirates | 0-0 No Games | N/A |
| vs Team Under .500 | 13-13, 50% 141 | vs Team .500 or Better | 20-32, 38% -760 | Pittsburgh Pirates |
| Record As Road Underdog | 10-26, 28% -873 | Record As Home Favorite | 13-15, 46% -689 | Kansas City Royals |
| When Bailey Falter Starts | 10-8, 56% 496 | When Kris Bubic Starts | 9-8, 53% -53 | Pittsburgh Pirates |
PAST 30 DAYS: We advise incorporating these trends along with the current Season after the first 6 to 8 weeks. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Pittsburgh Pirates
| Pittsburgh Pirates | RECORD | Kansas City Royals | RECORD | UNITS EDGE |
|---|
| Record on the Road | 3-10, 23% -488 | Record at Home | 1-11, 8% -961 | Pittsburgh Pirates |
| VS Kansas City Royals | 0-0 No Games | VS Pittsburgh Pirates | 0-0 No Games | N/A |
| vs Team Under .500 | 6-0, 100% 625 | vs Team .500 or Better | 8-8, 50% 77 | Pittsburgh Pirates |
| Record As Road Underdog | 3-9, 25% -388 | Record As Home Favorite | 0-4, 0% -400 | Pittsburgh Pirates |
| When Bailey Falter Starts | 3-2, 60% 80 | When Kris Bubic Starts | 2-3, 40% -123 | Pittsburgh Pirates |
OVER-UNDER TRENDS
| Pittsburgh Pirates | RECORD | Kansas City Royals | RECORD | O-U EDGE |
|---|
| OVER-UNDER ON ROAD | 15-27, 36% Over | OVER-UNDER AT HOME | 16-28, 36% Over | UNDER |
| ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS | 5-8, 38% Over | ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS | 4-8, 33% Over | UNDER |
| ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON | 38-43, 47% Over | ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON | 38-44, 46% Over | UNDER |
| OVER-UNDER IN Bailey Falter STARTS | 8-8, 50% Over | OVER-UNDER IN Kris Bubic STARTS | 6-10, 38% Over | N/A |
ACCUSCORE ADVISOR: AccuScore simulates every game thousands of times one play at a time. We are the industry standard in sports forecasting and the only company to be paid for sports picks and predictions by the biggest sports companies in the world. Our newest product, the AccuScore Advisor, provides Side Value, Money Line and Over-Under picks for every MLB game and rates them as One, Two, Three or Four Star picks. Three and Four Star picks have delivered over +10,000 units of profit the past 2 seasons. Visit AccuScore.com to find out what AccuScore\'s Advisor recommends for this game. The following trends are AccuScore\'s RIGHT-WRONG records and units (+/-) when making picks involving these teams.
SIDE VALUE (Current Season) - Pittsburgh Pirates Road Games: 30-14, 68% +1395 Kansas City Royals Home Games: 26-18, 59% +547 SIDE VALUE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Pittsburgh Pirates Road Games: 9-4, 69% +319 Kansas City Royals Home Games: 6-6, 50% -57
MONEY LINE (Current Season) - Pittsburgh Pirates Road Games: 30-14, 68% +480 Kansas City Royals Home Games: 27-17, 61% +334 MONEY LINE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Pittsburgh Pirates Road Games: 9-4, 69% +151 Kansas City Royals Home Games: 6-6, 50% -137
OVER-UNDER RECORD (Current Season) - Pittsburgh Pirates Road Games: 19-17, 53% + 30 Kansas City Royals Home Games: 30-14, 68% + 1460 OVER-UNDER RECORD (PAST 30 DAYS) - Pittsburgh Pirates Road Games: 4-7, 36% -370 Kansas City Royals Home Games: 8-4, 67% + 360
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