The San Diego Padres are 27-15 at home this season and the Arizona Diamondbacks are 21-20 on the road this season. This is a close match-up with both teams having a 45 to 55 percent chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Padres starter Dylan Cease is forecasted to have a better game than Diamondbacks starter Brandon Pfaadt. Dylan Cease has a 46% chance of having a Quality Start (QS) while Brandon Pfaadt has a 40% chance of a QS. If Dylan Cease has a quality start the Padres has a 73% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 3.5 and he has a 25% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Padres win 50%. In Brandon Pfaadt quality starts the Diamondbacks win 72%. He has a 33% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio and if he does his team wins 72% of simulations. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the San Diego Padres is Manny Machado who averaged 2.26 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 38% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Padres have a 62% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the Arizona Diamondbacks is Ketel Marte who averaged 2.5 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 43% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Diamondbacks have a 62% chance of winning.
CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 6 to 8 weeks of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Arizona Diamondbacks
Arizona Diamondbacks | RECORD | San Diego Padres | RECORD | UNITS EDGE |
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Record on the Road | 21-20, 51% -17 | Record at Home | 27-15, 64% 408 | San Diego Padres |
VS San Diego Padres | 2-1, 67% 31 | VS Arizona Diamondbacks | 1-2, 33% -88 | Arizona Diamondbacks |
vs Team .500 or Better | 25-28, 47% -462 | vs Team Under .500 | 32-11, 74% 1273 | San Diego Padres |
Record As Road Underdog | 12-10, 55% 391 | Record As Home Favorite | 22-11, 67% 292 | Arizona Diamondbacks |
When Brandon Pfaadt Starts | 9-10, 47% -161 | When Dylan Cease Starts | 8-8, 50% -231 | Arizona Diamondbacks |
PAST 30 DAYS: We advise incorporating these trends along with the current Season after the first 6 to 8 weeks. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: San Diego Padres
Arizona Diamondbacks | RECORD | San Diego Padres | RECORD | UNITS EDGE |
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Record on the Road | 5-4, 56% -43 | Record at Home | 7-5, 58% 27 | San Diego Padres |
VS San Diego Padres | 2-1, 67% 31 | VS Arizona Diamondbacks | 1-2, 33% -88 | Arizona Diamondbacks |
vs Team Under .500 | 9-7, 56% -59 | vs Team .500 or Better | 7-12, 37% -415 | Arizona Diamondbacks |
Record As Road Underdog | 1-2, 33% -83 | Record As Home Favorite | 5-3, 62% 41 | San Diego Padres |
When Brandon Pfaadt Starts | 1-5, 17% -405 | When Dylan Cease Starts | 2-2, 50% -46 | San Diego Padres |
OVER-UNDER TRENDS
Arizona Diamondbacks | RECORD | San Diego Padres | RECORD | O-U EDGE |
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OVER-UNDER ON ROAD | 21-18, 54% Over | OVER-UNDER AT HOME | 17-25, 40% Over | UNDER |
ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS | 4-3, 57% Over | ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS | 5-7, 42% Over | UNDER |
ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON | 44-34, 56% Over | ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON | 43-37, 54% Over | UNDER |
OVER-UNDER IN Brandon Pfaadt STARTS | 10-7, 59% Over | OVER-UNDER IN Dylan Cease STARTS | 6-8, 43% Over | N/A |
ACCUSCORE ADVISOR: AccuScore simulates every game thousands of times one play at a time. We are the industry standard in sports forecasting and the only company to be paid for sports picks and predictions by the biggest sports companies in the world. Our newest product, the AccuScore Advisor, provides Side Value, Money Line and Over-Under picks for every MLB game and rates them as One, Two, Three or Four Star picks. Three and Four Star picks have delivered over +10,000 units of profit the past 2 seasons. Visit AccuScore.com to find out what AccuScore\'s Advisor recommends for this game. The following trends are AccuScore\'s RIGHT-WRONG records and units (+/-) when making picks involving these teams.
SIDE VALUE (Current Season) - Arizona Diamondbacks Road Games: 22-19, 54% -306 San Diego Padres Home Games: 20-22, 48% -68 SIDE VALUE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Arizona Diamondbacks Road Games: 3-6, 33% -483 San Diego Padres Home Games: 9-3, 75% +565
MONEY LINE (Current Season) - Arizona Diamondbacks Road Games: 23-18, 56% +36 San Diego Padres Home Games: 25-17, 60% -7 MONEY LINE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Arizona Diamondbacks Road Games: 5-4, 56% -35 San Diego Padres Home Games: 7-5, 58% +12
OVER-UNDER RECORD (Current Season) - Arizona Diamondbacks Road Games: 15-18, 45% -480 San Diego Padres Home Games: 21-15, 58% + 450 OVER-UNDER RECORD (PAST 30 DAYS) - Arizona Diamondbacks Road Games: 3-2, 60% + 80 San Diego Padres Home Games: 6-5, 55% + 50
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