Written by Rohit Ghosh

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Thanksgiving Day Football 2016

Thanksgiving Day means two things: food and football. This year's slate of games features a few matchups that all have direct impact on the divisional races.

There are multiple four-star picks for Thursday's NFL action, here's a closer at one suggested wager:

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Minnesota Vikings @ Detroit Lions - The UNDER

The Vikings matchup with the Lions just weeks after Detroit defeated Minnesota 22-16 in Week 9. Detroit's ninth-ranked pass offense goes up against Minnesota's fourth-ranked pass defense - a matchup that should ultimately dictate who wins this week.

It comes down to pass protection and that means the o-line is a huge determinant in QB Matt Stafford's performance.

Vikings DE Everson Griffen did record a sack in Week 9 and will look to put even more pressure this week.

The Lions win 76 percent of the simulations in which they commit fewer turnovers.

Vegas Odds vs AccuScore Sims

Whereas Vegas odds have the total listed at 42.5, AccuScore simulation data has it a bit lower at 38, suggesting quite a bit of value on the UNDER.

The total combined score stays UNDER 42.5 in close to 59 percent of simulations.

- The total has gone UNDER in six of the Vikings' last nine games, and in 4 of the Lions' last five games.
- The total has gone UNDER in five of the Lions' last six games vs the Vikings.