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Bundesliga predictions and probabilities

Each Bundesliga match is simulated 50,000 times for a home, draw and away probability, a projected scoreline, over/under goals probabilities and the chance of each player scoring.

The Bundesliga is the highest-scoring of the leagues we cover, which makes the goals lines the busiest market on the card — and the one where a simulated distribution says more than a season average does. Our numbers sit next to the live price on every fixture, and the picks we publish are graded at that price afterwards.

Bundesliga predictions: common questions

Do you cover 2. Bundesliga?
Not currently. Only competitions we simulate and price are published.
What is the projected scoreline?
The average of 50,000 simulated results, which is why it carries a decimal. The most likely single scoreline is shown beside it.
Can I see the record for this league alone?
Yes — filter the accuracy page by Bundesliga for the graded picks and the running profit or loss.

Probabilities and projections come from AccuScore simulations; prices come from the bookmakers named beside them and move. Nothing here is betting advice. See the graded record.

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AccuScore has priced 6 Bundesliga games for Saturday, October 24, the first at 9:30 AM ET. The most one-sided fixture on the board is Borussia Dortmund at 75% against Eintracht Frankfurt.

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Bundesliga • SAT, OCT 24 • 16:30● Live
SGE
EintrachtFrankfurt
Live0–1
BVB
BorussiaDortmund
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Bundesliga • SUN, OCT 25 • 14:30In 20h
B04
BayerLeverkusen
@
TSG
Hoffenheim
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Bundesliga • SUN, OCT 25 • 16:30In 22h
FCB
BayernMünchen
@
SCF
Freiburg
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Bundesliga • FRI, OCT 30 • 19:30In 6d
M05
Mainz 05
@
ELV
Elversberg
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Bundesliga • SAT, OCT 31 • 14:30In 6d
Silver✓ EV+○ Prob 37%○ Sharp $
TSG
Hoffenheim
49%
Draw27%
SVW
WerderBremen
25%
1X2
TSG ML (+122)
EV +4.2%
rising
Total
U 3.5 (-125)
EV +11.7%
fading
Record on picks like this · 1X2 · no qualifying pattern
40-50% chance to win · backing the away · 1y
37%+3.6%n=146

Hoffenheim travels to face Werder Bremen in a matchup where the simulation clearly favors the visitors.

Bundesliga • SAT, OCT 31 • 14:30In 6d
Silver✓ EV+○ Prob 47%○ Sharp $
SCF
Freiburg
39%
Draw24%
FCA
Augsburg
37%
1X2
FCA ML (+206)
EV +6.6%
Total
O 3.5 (+120)
EV +15.9%
rising
Record on picks like this · 1X2 · no qualifying pattern
4.5–7.5% edge · 1w
47%+62.5%n=15

Freiburg travels to face Augsburg in a fixture where the simulation leans slightly toward the visiting side.

Bundesliga • SAT, OCT 31 • 14:30In 6d
VFB
Stuttgart
@
B04
BayerLeverkusen
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Bundesliga • SAT, OCT 31 • 14:30In 6d
Silver✓ EV+○ Prob 48%○ Sharp $
PAD
Paderborn
21%
Draw27%
BOR
BorussiaM'gladbach
52%
1X2
Draw (+295)
EV +4.1%
rising
Total
U 3.5 (-147)
EV +13.1%
Record on picks like this · 1X2 · no qualifying pattern
3–4.5% edge · 1m
48%+63.8%n=23

Borussia M'gladbach hosts Paderborn in a fixture where the simulation clearly favours the home side.

Bundesliga • SAT, OCT 31 • 14:30In 6d
RBL
RBLeipzig
@
S04
Schalke04
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Bundesliga • SAT, OCT 31 • 17:30In 6d
BVB
BorussiaDortmund
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FCB
BayernMünchen
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