May 22, 2024 5:01 AM CDT

Minnesota Twins vs Washington Nationals 5/22/2024

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The Minnesota Twins are 13-12 on the road this season and are heavy favorites to beat the Washington Nationals who are 8-10 at home. The Twins have a better than 55% chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Both starters have a relatively low chance of having a quality start. Jake Irvin has a 35% chance of a QS and Simeon Woods Richardson a 31% chance. If Jake Irvin has a quality start the Nationals has a 63% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 5.1 and he has a 46% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Nationals win 47%. If Simeon Woods Richardson has a quality start the Twins has a 75% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 5.1 and he has a 43% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Twins win 65%. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the Washington Nationals is Jake Irvin who averaged 2.95 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 63% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Nationals have a 55% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the Minnesota Twins is Simeon Woods Richardson who averaged 3.43 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 77% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Twins have a 68% chance of winning.

CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 6 to 8 weeks of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Washington Nationals

Minnesota TwinsRECORDWashington NationalsRECORDUNITS EDGE
Record on the Road13-12, 52% -141Record at Home8-10, 44% 161Washington Nationals
VS Washington Nationals0-1, 0% -100VS Minnesota Twins1-0, 100% 146Washington Nationals
vs Team Under .50015-6, 71% 460vs Team .500 or Better8-13, 38% 163Minnesota Twins
Record as Road Favorite9-4, 69% 259Record as Home Underdog8-9, 47% 261Washington Nationals
When Simeon Woods Richardson Starts3-1, 75% 168When Jake Irvin Starts2-7, 22% -365Minnesota Twins

PAST 30 DAYS: We advise incorporating these trends along with the current Season after the first 6 to 8 weeks. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Minnesota Twins

Minnesota TwinsRECORDWashington NationalsRECORDUNITS EDGE
Record on the Road8-5, 62% 119Record at Home4-5, 44% 80Minnesota Twins
VS Washington Nationals0-1, 0% -100VS Minnesota Twins1-0, 100% 146Washington Nationals
vs Team Under .50014-3, 82% 643vs Team .500 or Better2-7, 22% -366Minnesota Twins
Record as Road Favorite6-2, 75% 217Record as Home Underdog4-5, 44% 80Minnesota Twins
When Simeon Woods Richardson Starts2-1, 67% 62When Jake Irvin Starts1-4, 20% -270Minnesota Twins

OVER-UNDER TRENDS

Minnesota TwinsRECORDWashington NationalsRECORDO-U EDGE
OVER-UNDER ON ROAD13-12, 52% OverOVER-UNDER AT HOME8-8, 50% OverOVER
ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS7-6, 54% OverROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS6-3, 67% OverOVER
ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON43-39, 52% OverROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON41-37, 53% OverOVER
OVER-UNDER IN Simeon Woods Richardson STARTS1-3, 25% OverOVER-UNDER IN Jake Irvin STARTS4-5, 44% OverN/A

ACCUSCORE ADVISOR: AccuScore simulates every game thousands of times one play at a time. We are the industry standard in sports forecasting and the only company to be paid for sports picks and predictions by the biggest sports companies in the world. Our newest product, the AccuScore Advisor, provides Side Value, Money Line and Over-Under picks for every MLB game and rates them as One, Two, Three or Four Star picks. Three and Four Star picks have delivered over +10,000 units of profit the past 2 seasons. Visit AccuScore.com to find out what AccuScore\'s Advisor recommends for this game. The following trends are AccuScore\'s RIGHT-WRONG records and units (+/-) when making picks involving these teams.

SIDE VALUE (Current Season) - Minnesota Twins Road Games: 10-15, 40% -615 Washington Nationals Home Games: 10-8, 56% +131 SIDE VALUE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Minnesota Twins Road Games: 2-11, 15% -940 Washington Nationals Home Games: 3-6, 33% -308

MONEY LINE (Current Season) - Minnesota Twins Road Games: 12-13, 48% -419 Washington Nationals Home Games: 9-9, 50% -390 MONEY LINE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Minnesota Twins Road Games: 5-8, 38% -479 Washington Nationals Home Games: 5-4, 56% -134

OVER-UNDER RECORD (Current Season) - Minnesota Twins Road Games: 11-13, 46% -330 Washington Nationals Home Games: 8-7, 53% + 30 OVER-UNDER RECORD (PAST 30 DAYS) - Minnesota Twins Road Games: 6-7, 46% -170 Washington Nationals Home Games: 4-4, 50% -40

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