April 26, 2024 7:33 AM CDT

Chicago Cubs vs Boston Red Sox 4/26/2024

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The Chicago Cubs are 6-6 on the road this season and are heavy favorites to beat the Boston Red Sox who are 3-7 at home. The Cubs have a better than 55% chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Cubs starter Shota Imanaga is forecasted to have a better game than Red Sox starter Kutter Crawford. Shota Imanaga has a 63% chance of having a Quality Start (QS) while Kutter Crawford has a 55% chance of a QS. If Shota Imanaga has a quality start the Cubs has a 71% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 6.9 and he has a 50% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Cubs win 61%. In Kutter Crawford quality starts the Red Sox win 58%. He has a 24% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio and if he does his team wins 58% of simulations. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the Boston Red Sox is Tyler O\'Neill who averaged 2.13 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 36% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Red Sox have a 53% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the Chicago Cubs is Michael Busch who averaged 2.39 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 40% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Cubs have a 73% chance of winning.

CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 6 to 8 weeks of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Chicago Cubs

Chicago CubsRECORDBoston Red SoxRECORDUNITS EDGE
Record on the Road6-6, 50% 88Record at Home3-7, 30% -448Chicago Cubs
VS Boston Red Sox0-0 No GamesVS Chicago Cubs0-0 No GamesN/A
vs Team .500 or Better6-6, 50% 112vs Team .500 or Better7-10, 41% -200Chicago Cubs
Record as Road Favorite1-0, 100% 77Record as Home Underdog1-2, 33% -101Chicago Cubs
When Shota Imanaga Starts4-0, 100% 330When Kutter Crawford Starts2-3, 40% -103Chicago Cubs

LAST SEASON: We advise focusing on these trends in the first month of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Chicago Cubs

Chicago CubsRECORDBoston Red SoxRECORDUNITS EDGE
Record on the Road38-43, 47% -674Record at Home39-42, 48% -905Chicago Cubs
VS Boston Red Sox1-2, 33% -118VS Chicago Cubs2-1, 67% 105Boston Red Sox
vs Team Under .50045-28, 62% 619vs Team .500 or Better51-55, 48% 159Chicago Cubs
Record as Road Favorite22-19, 54% -262Record as Home Underdog13-18, 42% -278Chicago Cubs
When Shota Imanaga Starts0-0 No GamesWhen Kutter Crawford Starts9-13, 41% -229Chicago Cubs

OVER-UNDER TRENDS

Chicago CubsRECORDBoston Red SoxRECORDO-U EDGE
OVER-UNDER ON ROAD5-7, 42% OverOVER-UNDER AT HOME3-7, 30% OverUNDER
ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS5-7, 42% OverROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS3-7, 30% OverUNDER
ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON39-40, 49% OverROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON38-39, 49% OverUNDER
OVER-UNDER IN Shota Imanaga STARTS1-2, 33% OverOVER-UNDER IN Kutter Crawford STARTS3-2, 60% OverN/A

ACCUSCORE ADVISOR: AccuScore simulates every game thousands of times one play at a time. We are the industry standard in sports forecasting and the only company to be paid for sports picks and predictions by the biggest sports companies in the world. Our newest product, the AccuScore Advisor, provides Side Value, Money Line and Over-Under picks for every MLB game and rates them as One, Two, Three or Four Star picks. Three and Four Star picks have delivered over +10,000 units of profit the past 2 seasons. Visit AccuScore.com to find out what AccuScore\'s Advisor recommends for this game. The following trends are AccuScore\'s RIGHT-WRONG records and units (+/-) when making picks involving these teams.

SIDE VALUE (Current Season) - Chicago Cubs Road Games: 7-5, 58% +16 Boston Red Sox Home Games: 3-7, 30% -409 SIDE VALUE (Last Season) - Chicago Cubs Road Games: 45-36, 56% -143 Boston Red Sox Home Games: 34-47, 42% -1759

MONEY LINE (Current Season) - Chicago Cubs Road Games: 7-5, 58% +93 Boston Red Sox Home Games: 1-9, 10% -824 MONEY LINE (Last Season) - Chicago Cubs Road Games: 42-39, 52% -484 Boston Red Sox Home Games: 33-48, 41% -2384

OVER-UNDER RECORD (Current Season) - Chicago Cubs Road Games: 7-3, 70% + 370 Boston Red Sox Home Games: 7-3, 70% + 370 OVER-UNDER RECORD (LAST SEASON) - Chicago Cubs Road Games: 37-33, 53% + 70 Boston Red Sox Home Games: 35-39, 47% -790

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