The Pittsburgh Pirates are 4-5 at home this season and the Milwaukee Brewers are 10-3 on the road this season. This is a close match-up with both teams having a 45 to 55 percent chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Both starters have a relatively low chance of having a quality start. Mitch Keller has a 42% chance of a QS and Freddy Peralta a 39% chance. If Mitch Keller has a quality start the Pirates has a 65% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 5 and he has a 42% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Pirates win 51%. If Freddy Peralta has a quality start the Brewers has a 70% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 5.8 and he has a 44% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Brewers win 55%. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the Pittsburgh Pirates is Mitch Keller who averaged 3.02 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 67% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Pirates have a 60% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the Milwaukee Brewers is Freddy Peralta who averaged 3.28 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 73% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Brewers have a 62% chance of winning.
CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 6 to 8 weeks of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Milwaukee Brewers
| Milwaukee Brewers | RECORD | Pittsburgh Pirates | RECORD | UNITS EDGE |
|---|
| Record on the Road | 10-3, 77% 801 | Record at Home | 4-5, 44% -134 | Milwaukee Brewers |
| VS Pittsburgh Pirates | 0-1, 0% -100 | VS Milwaukee Brewers | 1-0, 100% 69 | Pittsburgh Pirates |
| vs Team .500 or Better | 10-6, 62% 434 | vs Team .500 or Better | 6-10, 38% -336 | Milwaukee Brewers |
| Record as Road Favorite | 2-1, 67% 82 | Record as Home Underdog | 2-1, 67% 116 | Pittsburgh Pirates |
| When Freddy Peralta Starts | 5-0, 100% 459 | When Mitch Keller Starts | 3-2, 60% 153 | Milwaukee Brewers |
LAST SEASON: We advise focusing on these trends in the first month of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Milwaukee Brewers
| Milwaukee Brewers | RECORD | Pittsburgh Pirates | RECORD | UNITS EDGE |
|---|
| Record on the Road | 43-38, 53% 742 | Record at Home | 39-42, 48% 179 | Milwaukee Brewers |
| VS Pittsburgh Pirates | 8-5, 62% 69 | VS Milwaukee Brewers | 5-8, 38% -34 | Milwaukee Brewers |
| vs Team Under .500 | 40-33, 55% -139 | vs Team .500 or Better | 40-62, 39% -627 | Milwaukee Brewers |
| Record as Road Favorite | 14-16, 47% -630 | Record as Home Underdog | 24-33, 42% -6 | Pittsburgh Pirates |
| When Freddy Peralta Starts | 15-15, 50% -420 | When Mitch Keller Starts | 18-14, 56% 610 | Pittsburgh Pirates |
OVER-UNDER TRENDS
| Milwaukee Brewers | RECORD | Pittsburgh Pirates | RECORD | O-U EDGE |
|---|
| OVER-UNDER ON ROAD | 7-5, 58% Over | OVER-UNDER AT HOME | 4-5, 44% Over | OVER |
| ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS | 7-5, 58% Over | ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS | 4-5, 44% Over | OVER |
| ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON | 33-46, 42% Over | ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON | 44-33, 57% Over | UNDER |
| OVER-UNDER IN Freddy Peralta STARTS | 2-3, 40% Over | OVER-UNDER IN Mitch Keller STARTS | 4-1, 80% Over | N/A |
ACCUSCORE ADVISOR: AccuScore simulates every game thousands of times one play at a time. We are the industry standard in sports forecasting and the only company to be paid for sports picks and predictions by the biggest sports companies in the world. Our newest product, the AccuScore Advisor, provides Side Value, Money Line and Over-Under picks for every MLB game and rates them as One, Two, Three or Four Star picks. Three and Four Star picks have delivered over +10,000 units of profit the past 2 seasons. Visit AccuScore.com to find out what AccuScore\'s Advisor recommends for this game. The following trends are AccuScore\'s RIGHT-WRONG records and units (+/-) when making picks involving these teams.
SIDE VALUE (Current Season) - Milwaukee Brewers Road Games: 7-6, 54% +58 Pittsburgh Pirates Home Games: 5-4, 56% +60 SIDE VALUE (Last Season) - Milwaukee Brewers Road Games: 39-42, 48% -88 Pittsburgh Pirates Home Games: 35-46, 43% -733
MONEY LINE (Current Season) - Milwaukee Brewers Road Games: 7-6, 54% +39 Pittsburgh Pirates Home Games: 5-4, 56% +25 MONEY LINE (Last Season) - Milwaukee Brewers Road Games: 37-44, 46% -1690 Pittsburgh Pirates Home Games: 36-45, 44% -1657
OVER-UNDER RECORD (Current Season) - Milwaukee Brewers Road Games: 4-7, 36% -370 Pittsburgh Pirates Home Games: 5-4, 56% + 60 OVER-UNDER RECORD (LAST SEASON) - Milwaukee Brewers Road Games: 42-33, 56% + 570 Pittsburgh Pirates Home Games: 36-33, 52% -30
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