The Tampa Bay Rays are 6-7 at home this season and are solid favorites to beat the Los Angeles Angels who are 6-6 on the road this season. The Rays have a better than 55% chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Rays starter Ryan Pepiot is forecasted to have a better game than Angels starter Griffin Canning. Ryan Pepiot has a 59% chance of having a Quality Start (QS) while Griffin Canning has a 36% chance of a QS. If Ryan Pepiot has a quality start the Rays has a 79% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 4.4 and he has a 29% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Rays win 68%. In Griffin Canning quality starts the Angels win 61%. He has a 47% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio and if he does his team wins 61% of simulations. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the Tampa Bay Rays is Isaac Paredes who averaged 2.14 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 35% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Rays have a 76% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the Los Angeles Angels is Mike Trout who averaged 2.2 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 37% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Angels have a 54% chance of winning.
CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 6 to 8 weeks of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Los Angeles Angels
| Los Angeles Angels | RECORD | Tampa Bay Rays | RECORD | UNITS EDGE |
|---|
| Record on the Road | 6-6, 50% 64 | Record at Home | 6-7, 46% -238 | Los Angeles Angels |
| VS Tampa Bay Rays | 3-3, 50% 70 | VS Los Angeles Angels | 3-3, 50% -83 | Los Angeles Angels |
| vs Team .500 or Better | 5-10, 33% -450 | vs Team Under .500 | 7-5, 58% 37 | Tampa Bay Rays |
| Record As Road Underdog | 6-5, 55% 164 | Record As Home Favorite | 5-5, 50% -132 | Los Angeles Angels |
| When Griffin Canning Starts | 0-3, 0% -300 | When Ryan Pepiot Starts | 1-2, 33% -137 | Tampa Bay Rays |
LAST SEASON: We advise focusing on these trends in the first month of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Tampa Bay Rays
| Los Angeles Angels | RECORD | Tampa Bay Rays | RECORD | UNITS EDGE |
|---|
| Record on the Road | 35-46, 43% -628 | Record at Home | 53-30, 64% 99 | Tampa Bay Rays |
| VS Tampa Bay Rays | 1-5, 17% -316 | VS Los Angeles Angels | 5-1, 83% 238 | Tampa Bay Rays |
| vs Team .500 or Better | 34-64, 35% -2478 | vs Team Under .500 | 52-18, 74% 1214 | Tampa Bay Rays |
| Record As Road Underdog | 23-34, 40% -273 | Record As Home Favorite | 51-28, 65% 97 | Tampa Bay Rays |
| When Griffin Canning Starts | 10-12, 45% -114 | When Ryan Pepiot Starts | 1-2, 33% -119 | Los Angeles Angels |
OVER-UNDER TRENDS
| Los Angeles Angels | RECORD | Tampa Bay Rays | RECORD | O-U EDGE |
|---|
| OVER-UNDER ON ROAD | 7-5, 58% Over | OVER-UNDER AT HOME | 9-4, 69% Over | OVER |
| ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS | 7-5, 58% Over | ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS | 9-4, 69% Over | OVER |
| ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON | 45-34, 57% Over | ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON | 51-29, 64% Over | OVER |
| OVER-UNDER IN Griffin Canning STARTS | 2-1, 67% Over | OVER-UNDER IN Ryan Pepiot STARTS | 2-1, 67% Over | N/A |
ACCUSCORE ADVISOR: AccuScore simulates every game thousands of times one play at a time. We are the industry standard in sports forecasting and the only company to be paid for sports picks and predictions by the biggest sports companies in the world. Our newest product, the AccuScore Advisor, provides Side Value, Money Line and Over-Under picks for every MLB game and rates them as One, Two, Three or Four Star picks. Three and Four Star picks have delivered over +10,000 units of profit the past 2 seasons. Visit AccuScore.com to find out what AccuScore\'s Advisor recommends for this game. The following trends are AccuScore\'s RIGHT-WRONG records and units (+/-) when making picks involving these teams.
SIDE VALUE (Current Season) - Los Angeles Angels Road Games: 3-9, 25% -710 Tampa Bay Rays Home Games: 4-9, 31% -532 SIDE VALUE (Last Season) - Los Angeles Angels Road Games: 38-43, 47% -952 Tampa Bay Rays Home Games: 52-31, 63% +658
MONEY LINE (Current Season) - Los Angeles Angels Road Games: 6-6, 50% -185 Tampa Bay Rays Home Games: 6-7, 46% -210 MONEY LINE (Last Season) - Los Angeles Angels Road Games: 45-36, 56% -531 Tampa Bay Rays Home Games: 53-30, 64% +99
OVER-UNDER RECORD (Current Season) - Los Angeles Angels Road Games: 7-5, 58% + 150 Tampa Bay Rays Home Games: 3-9, 25% -690 OVER-UNDER RECORD (LAST SEASON) - Los Angeles Angels Road Games: 36-33, 52% -30 Tampa Bay Rays Home Games: 40-34, 54% + 260
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