April 17, 2024 10:52 AM CDT

St. Louis Cardinals vs Oakland Athletics 4/17/2024

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The Oakland Athletics are 3-9 at home this season and the St. Louis Cardinals are 6-6 on the road this season. This is a close match-up with both teams having a 45 to 55 percent chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Both starters have a good chance of having a quality start. Paul Blackburn has a 57% chance of a QS and Steven Matz a 53% chance. If Paul Blackburn has a quality start the Athletics has a 64% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 3.4 and he has a 30% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Athletics win 51%. If Steven Matz has a quality start the Cardinals has a 71% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 5 and he has a 45% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Cardinals win 57%. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the Oakland Athletics is Esteury Ruiz who averaged 2.21 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 38% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Athletics have a 60% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the St. Louis Cardinals is Lars Nootbaar who averaged 2.02 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 32% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Cardinals have a 68% chance of winning.

CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 6 to 8 weeks of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: St. Louis Cardinals

St. Louis CardinalsRECORDOakland AthleticsRECORDUNITS EDGE
Record on the Road6-6, 50% 26Record at Home3-9, 25% -652St. Louis Cardinals
VS Oakland Athletics2-0, 100% 128VS St. Louis Cardinals0-2, 0% -200St. Louis Cardinals
vs Team Under .5004-1, 80% 163vs Team .500 or Better5-10, 33% -257St. Louis Cardinals
Record as Road Favorite3-0, 100% 217Record as Home Underdog1-9, 10% -803St. Louis Cardinals
When Steven Matz Starts2-1, 67% 70When Paul Blackburn Starts3-0, 100% 315Oakland Athletics

LAST SEASON: We advise focusing on these trends in the first month of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: St. Louis Cardinals

St. Louis CardinalsRECORDOakland AthleticsRECORDUNITS EDGE
Record on the Road36-45, 44% -529Record at Home26-55, 32% -1528St. Louis Cardinals
VS Oakland Athletics2-1, 67% -7VS St. Louis Cardinals1-2, 33% -46St. Louis Cardinals
vs Team Under .50027-34, 44% -1418vs Team Under .50028-36, 44% 386Oakland Athletics
Record as Road Favorite14-17, 45% -691Record as Home Underdog25-54, 32% -1502St. Louis Cardinals
When Steven Matz Starts8-9, 47% -294When Paul Blackburn Starts11-11, 50% 500Oakland Athletics

OVER-UNDER TRENDS

St. Louis CardinalsRECORDOakland AthleticsRECORDO-U EDGE
OVER-UNDER ON ROAD3-7, 30% OverOVER-UNDER AT HOME6-6, 50% OverUNDER
ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS3-7, 30% OverROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS6-6, 50% OverUNDER
ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON36-43, 46% OverROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON41-38, 52% OverUNDER
OVER-UNDER IN Steven Matz STARTS1-1, 50% OverOVER-UNDER IN Paul Blackburn STARTS0-3, 0% OverN/A

ACCUSCORE ADVISOR: AccuScore simulates every game thousands of times one play at a time. We are the industry standard in sports forecasting and the only company to be paid for sports picks and predictions by the biggest sports companies in the world. Our newest product, the AccuScore Advisor, provides Side Value, Money Line and Over-Under picks for every MLB game and rates them as One, Two, Three or Four Star picks. Three and Four Star picks have delivered over +10,000 units of profit the past 2 seasons. Visit AccuScore.com to find out what AccuScore\'s Advisor recommends for this game. The following trends are AccuScore\'s RIGHT-WRONG records and units (+/-) when making picks involving these teams.

SIDE VALUE (Current Season) - St. Louis Cardinals Road Games: 4-8, 33% -218 Oakland Athletics Home Games: 5-7, 42% -320 SIDE VALUE (Last Season) - St. Louis Cardinals Road Games: 43-38, 53% +662 Oakland Athletics Home Games: 38-43, 47% -676

MONEY LINE (Current Season) - St. Louis Cardinals Road Games: 6-6, 50% -210 Oakland Athletics Home Games: 7-5, 58% +8 MONEY LINE (Last Season) - St. Louis Cardinals Road Games: 48-33, 59% +500 Oakland Athletics Home Games: 53-28, 65% +227

OVER-UNDER RECORD (Current Season) - St. Louis Cardinals Road Games: 6-4, 60% + 160 Oakland Athletics Home Games: 5-6, 45% -160 OVER-UNDER RECORD (LAST SEASON) - St. Louis Cardinals Road Games: 33-35, 49% -550 Oakland Athletics Home Games: 29-38, 43% -1280

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