The Miami Marlins are 2-10 at home this season and are solid favorites to beat the San Francisco Giants who are 4-8 on the road this season. The Marlins have a better than 55% chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Giants starter Keaton Winn is forecasted to have a better game than Marlins starter Trevor Rogers. Keaton Winn has a 45% chance of having a Quality Start (QS) while Trevor Rogers has a 34% chance of a QS. If Keaton Winn has a quality start the Giants has a 68% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 4.8 and he has a 42% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Giants win 46%. In Trevor Rogers quality starts the Marlins win 74%. He has a 28% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio and if he does his team wins 74% of simulations. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the Miami Marlins is Jhonny Pereda who averaged 4.41 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 100% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Marlins have a 56% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the San Francisco Giants is Keaton Winn who averaged 3.74 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 82% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Giants have a 52% chance of winning.
CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 6 to 8 weeks of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: San Francisco Giants
| San Francisco Giants | RECORD | Miami Marlins | RECORD | UNITS EDGE |
|---|
| Record on the Road | 4-8, 33% -385 | Record at Home | 2-10, 17% -714 | San Francisco Giants |
| VS Miami Marlins | 1-1, 50% -18 | VS San Francisco Giants | 1-1, 50% 20 | Miami Marlins |
| vs Team Under .500 | 2-3, 40% -167 | vs Team .500 or Better | 3-10, 23% -542 | San Francisco Giants |
| Record As Road Underdog | 2-6, 25% -353 | Record As Home Favorite | 0-7, 0% -700 | San Francisco Giants |
| When Keaton Winn Starts | 0-3, 0% -300 | When Trevor Rogers Starts | 0-3, 0% -300 | EVEN |
LAST SEASON: We advise focusing on these trends in the first month of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: San Francisco Giants
| San Francisco Giants | RECORD | Miami Marlins | RECORD | UNITS EDGE |
|---|
| Record on the Road | 34-47, 42% -1168 | Record at Home | 45-36, 56% 242 | Miami Marlins |
| VS Miami Marlins | 4-2, 67% 168 | VS San Francisco Giants | 2-4, 33% -154 | San Francisco Giants |
| vs Team .500 or Better | 46-55, 46% -880 | vs Team .500 or Better | 38-52, 42% -891 | San Francisco Giants |
| Record As Road Underdog | 21-29, 42% -280 | Record As Home Favorite | 27-21, 56% -336 | San Francisco Giants |
| When Keaton Winn Starts | 2-4, 33% -259 | When Trevor Rogers Starts | 1-3, 25% -231 | Miami Marlins |
OVER-UNDER TRENDS
| San Francisco Giants | RECORD | Miami Marlins | RECORD | O-U EDGE |
|---|
| OVER-UNDER ON ROAD | 10-2, 83% Over | OVER-UNDER AT HOME | 9-3, 75% Over | OVER |
| ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS | 10-2, 83% Over | ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS | 9-3, 75% Over | OVER |
| ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON | 38-41, 48% Over | ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON | 39-40, 49% Over | OVER |
| OVER-UNDER IN Keaton Winn STARTS | 1-2, 33% Over | OVER-UNDER IN Trevor Rogers STARTS | 2-1, 67% Over | N/A |
ACCUSCORE ADVISOR: AccuScore simulates every game thousands of times one play at a time. We are the industry standard in sports forecasting and the only company to be paid for sports picks and predictions by the biggest sports companies in the world. Our newest product, the AccuScore Advisor, provides Side Value, Money Line and Over-Under picks for every MLB game and rates them as One, Two, Three or Four Star picks. Three and Four Star picks have delivered over +10,000 units of profit the past 2 seasons. Visit AccuScore.com to find out what AccuScore\'s Advisor recommends for this game. The following trends are AccuScore\'s RIGHT-WRONG records and units (+/-) when making picks involving these teams.
SIDE VALUE (Current Season) - San Francisco Giants Road Games: 5-7, 42% -172 Miami Marlins Home Games: 6-6, 50% -52 SIDE VALUE (Last Season) - San Francisco Giants Road Games: 39-42, 48% +37 Miami Marlins Home Games: 49-32, 60% +1583
MONEY LINE (Current Season) - San Francisco Giants Road Games: 5-7, 42% -331 Miami Marlins Home Games: 5-7, 42% -270 MONEY LINE (Last Season) - San Francisco Giants Road Games: 41-40, 51% -874 Miami Marlins Home Games: 49-32, 60% +718
OVER-UNDER RECORD (Current Season) - San Francisco Giants Road Games: 9-3, 75% + 570 Miami Marlins Home Games: 9-3, 75% + 570 OVER-UNDER RECORD (LAST SEASON) - San Francisco Giants Road Games: 34-37, 48% -670 Miami Marlins Home Games: 39-29, 57% + 710
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