The Milwaukee Brewers are 3-4 at home this season and are solid favorites to beat the San Diego Padres who are 6-3 on the road this season. The Brewers have a better than 55% chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Brewers starter Freddy Peralta is forecasted to have a better game than Padres starter Michael King. Freddy Peralta has a 32% chance of having a Quality Start (QS) while Michael King has a 22% chance of a QS. If Freddy Peralta has a quality start the Brewers has a 81% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 6.3 and he has a 52% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Brewers win 64%. In Michael King quality starts the Padres win 65%. He has a 32% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio and if he does his team wins 65% of simulations. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the Milwaukee Brewers is Freddy Peralta who averaged 3.26 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 69% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Brewers have a 72% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the San Diego Padres is Michael King who averaged 3.08 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 65% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Padres have a 54% chance of winning.
CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 6 to 8 weeks of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: San Diego Padres
| San Diego Padres | RECORD | Milwaukee Brewers | RECORD | UNITS EDGE |
|---|
| Record on the Road | 6-3, 67% 398 | Record at Home | 3-4, 43% -145 | San Diego Padres |
| VS Milwaukee Brewers | 2-0, 100% 164 | VS San Diego Padres | 0-2, 0% -200 | San Diego Padres |
| vs Team .500 or Better | 8-5, 62% 311 | vs Team Under .500 | 3-2, 60% 55 | San Diego Padres |
| Record As Road Underdog | 4-3, 57% 234 | Record As Home Favorite | 3-2, 60% 55 | San Diego Padres |
| When Michael King Starts | 3-0, 100% 330 | When Freddy Peralta Starts | 3-0, 100% 280 | San Diego Padres |
LAST SEASON: We advise focusing on these trends in the first month of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Milwaukee Brewers
| San Diego Padres | RECORD | Milwaukee Brewers | RECORD | UNITS EDGE |
|---|
| Record on the Road | 38-43, 47% -1208 | Record at Home | 49-34, 59% 343 | Milwaukee Brewers |
| VS Milwaukee Brewers | 1-6, 14% -517 | VS San Diego Padres | 6-1, 86% 567 | Milwaukee Brewers |
| vs Team .500 or Better | 40-51, 44% -1738 | vs Team .500 or Better | 52-39, 57% 1224 | Milwaukee Brewers |
| Record As Road Underdog | 12-22, 35% -846 | Record As Home Favorite | 38-22, 63% 357 | Milwaukee Brewers |
| When Michael King Starts | 3-5, 38% -155 | When Freddy Peralta Starts | 15-15, 50% -420 | San Diego Padres |
OVER-UNDER TRENDS
| San Diego Padres | RECORD | Milwaukee Brewers | RECORD | O-U EDGE |
|---|
| OVER-UNDER ON ROAD | 5-4, 56% Over | OVER-UNDER AT HOME | 5-1, 83% Over | OVER |
| ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS | 5-4, 56% Over | ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS | 5-1, 83% Over | OVER |
| ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON | 36-39, 48% Over | ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON | 40-41, 49% Over | OVER |
| OVER-UNDER IN Michael King STARTS | 2-1, 67% Over | OVER-UNDER IN Freddy Peralta STARTS | 2-1, 67% Over | N/A |
ACCUSCORE ADVISOR: AccuScore simulates every game thousands of times one play at a time. We are the industry standard in sports forecasting and the only company to be paid for sports picks and predictions by the biggest sports companies in the world. Our newest product, the AccuScore Advisor, provides Side Value, Money Line and Over-Under picks for every MLB game and rates them as One, Two, Three or Four Star picks. Three and Four Star picks have delivered over +10,000 units of profit the past 2 seasons. Visit AccuScore.com to find out what AccuScore\'s Advisor recommends for this game. The following trends are AccuScore\'s RIGHT-WRONG records and units (+/-) when making picks involving these teams.
SIDE VALUE (Current Season) - San Diego Padres Road Games: 3-6, 33% -312 Milwaukee Brewers Home Games: 4-3, 57% +53 SIDE VALUE (Last Season) - San Diego Padres Road Games: 48-33, 59% +738 Milwaukee Brewers Home Games: 43-40, 52% -153
MONEY LINE (Current Season) - San Diego Padres Road Games: 3-6, 33% -406 Milwaukee Brewers Home Games: 4-3, 57% +53 MONEY LINE (Last Season) - San Diego Padres Road Games: 56-25, 69% +1894 Milwaukee Brewers Home Games: 45-38, 54% -487
OVER-UNDER RECORD (Current Season) - San Diego Padres Road Games: 3-5, 38% -250 Milwaukee Brewers Home Games: 3-2, 60% + 80 OVER-UNDER RECORD (LAST SEASON) - San Diego Padres Road Games: 31-32, 49% -420 Milwaukee Brewers Home Games: 45-26, 63% + 1640
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