The New York Mets are 5-6 at home this season and are solid favorites to beat the Pittsburgh Pirates who are 8-5 on the road this season. The Mets have a better than 55% chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Mets starter Luis Severino is forecasted to have a better game than Pirates starter Bailey Falter. Luis Severino has a 42% chance of having a Quality Start (QS) while Bailey Falter has a 28% chance of a QS. If Luis Severino has a quality start the Mets has a 76% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 4.2 and he has a 30% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Mets win 61%. In Bailey Falter quality starts the Pirates win 63%. He has a 23% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio and if he does his team wins 63% of simulations. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the New York Mets is Luis Severino who averaged 2.9 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 62% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Mets have a 73% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the Pittsburgh Pirates is Bailey Falter who averaged 3.26 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 72% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Pirates have a 53% chance of winning.
CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 6 to 8 weeks of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Pittsburgh Pirates
| Pittsburgh Pirates | RECORD | New York Mets | RECORD | UNITS EDGE |
|---|
| Record on the Road | 8-5, 62% 410 | Record at Home | 5-6, 45% -181 | Pittsburgh Pirates |
| VS New York Mets | 0-2, 0% -200 | VS Pittsburgh Pirates | 2-0, 100% 160 | New York Mets |
| vs Team .500 or Better | 5-6, 45% -5 | vs Team .500 or Better | 9-8, 53% 144 | New York Mets |
| Record As Road Underdog | 7-4, 64% 434 | Record As Home Favorite | 4-4, 50% -79 | Pittsburgh Pirates |
| When Bailey Falter Starts | 3-0, 100% 368 | When Luis Severino Starts | 1-2, 33% -118 | Pittsburgh Pirates |
LAST SEASON: We advise focusing on these trends in the first month of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Pittsburgh Pirates
| Pittsburgh Pirates | RECORD | New York Mets | RECORD | UNITS EDGE |
|---|
| Record on the Road | 37-44, 46% 609 | Record at Home | 40-41, 49% -894 | Pittsburgh Pirates |
| VS New York Mets | 3-3, 50% -8 | VS Pittsburgh Pirates | 3-3, 50% -74 | Pittsburgh Pirates |
| vs Team Under .500 | 36-24, 60% 1415 | vs Team Under .500 | 30-30, 50% -925 | Pittsburgh Pirates |
| Record As Road Underdog | 31-42, 42% 322 | Record As Home Favorite | 28-26, 52% -701 | Pittsburgh Pirates |
| When Bailey Falter Starts | 6-8, 43% -175 | When Luis Severino Starts | 8-9, 47% -140 | New York Mets |
OVER-UNDER TRENDS
| Pittsburgh Pirates | RECORD | New York Mets | RECORD | O-U EDGE |
|---|
| OVER-UNDER ON ROAD | 8-5, 62% Over | OVER-UNDER AT HOME | 4-7, 36% Over | N/A |
| ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS | 8-5, 62% Over | ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS | 4-7, 36% Over | N/A |
| ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON | 41-37, 53% Over | ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON | 31-46, 40% Over | UNDER |
| OVER-UNDER IN Bailey Falter STARTS | 2-1, 67% Over | OVER-UNDER IN Luis Severino STARTS | 2-1, 67% Over | N/A |
ACCUSCORE ADVISOR: AccuScore simulates every game thousands of times one play at a time. We are the industry standard in sports forecasting and the only company to be paid for sports picks and predictions by the biggest sports companies in the world. Our newest product, the AccuScore Advisor, provides Side Value, Money Line and Over-Under picks for every MLB game and rates them as One, Two, Three or Four Star picks. Three and Four Star picks have delivered over +10,000 units of profit the past 2 seasons. Visit AccuScore.com to find out what AccuScore\'s Advisor recommends for this game. The following trends are AccuScore\'s RIGHT-WRONG records and units (+/-) when making picks involving these teams.
SIDE VALUE (Current Season) - Pittsburgh Pirates Road Games: 9-4, 69% +364 New York Mets Home Games: 9-2, 82% +695 SIDE VALUE (Last Season) - Pittsburgh Pirates Road Games: 37-44, 46% -610 New York Mets Home Games: 36-45, 44% -1271
MONEY LINE (Current Season) - Pittsburgh Pirates Road Games: 5-8, 38% -428 New York Mets Home Games: 8-3, 73% +461 MONEY LINE (Last Season) - Pittsburgh Pirates Road Games: 38-43, 47% -1892 New York Mets Home Games: 43-38, 53% -543
OVER-UNDER RECORD (Current Season) - Pittsburgh Pirates Road Games: 8-5, 62% + 250 New York Mets Home Games: 5-6, 45% -160 OVER-UNDER RECORD (LAST SEASON) - Pittsburgh Pirates Road Games: 33-33, 50% -330 New York Mets Home Games: 36-34, 51% -140
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