April 17, 2024 10:52 AM CDT

New York Yankees vs Toronto Blue Jays 4/17/2024

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The New York Yankees are 8-4 on the road this season and are heavy favorites to beat the Toronto Blue Jays who are 6-2 at home. The Yankees have a better than 55% chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Yankees starter Marcus Stroman is forecasted to have a better game than Blue Jays starter Kevin Gausman. Marcus Stroman has a 55% chance of having a Quality Start (QS) while Kevin Gausman has a 43% chance of a QS. If Marcus Stroman has a quality start the Yankees has a 75% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 3.1 and he has a 24% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Yankees win 61%. In Kevin Gausman quality starts the Blue Jays win 63%. He has a 30% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio and if he does his team wins 63% of simulations. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the Toronto Blue Jays is Justin Turner who averaged 2.11 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 34% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Blue Jays have a 54% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the New York Yankees is Juan Soto who averaged 2.39 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 42% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Yankees have a 70% chance of winning.

CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 6 to 8 weeks of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: New York Yankees

New York YankeesRECORDToronto Blue JaysRECORDUNITS EDGE
Record on the Road8-4, 67% 372Record at Home6-2, 75% 263New York Yankees
VS Toronto Blue Jays2-3, 40% -149VS New York Yankees3-2, 60% 122Toronto Blue Jays
vs Team .500 or Better6-5, 55% -44vs Team .500 or Better5-4, 56% 118Toronto Blue Jays
Record As Road Underdog4-2, 67% 267Record As Home Favorite5-1, 83% 261New York Yankees
When Marcus Stroman Starts1-2, 33% -87When Kevin Gausman Starts1-2, 33% -118New York Yankees

LAST SEASON: We advise focusing on these trends in the first month of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: New York Yankees

New York YankeesRECORDToronto Blue JaysRECORDUNITS EDGE
Record on the Road40-41, 49% -241Record at Home43-38, 53% -906New York Yankees
VS Toronto Blue Jays7-6, 54% 168VS New York Yankees6-7, 46% -178New York Yankees
vs Team .500 or Better47-46, 51% -148vs Team .500 or Better43-52, 45% -1498New York Yankees
Record As Road Underdog21-23, 48% 268Record As Home Favorite37-32, 54% -944New York Yankees
When Marcus Stroman Starts14-13, 52% -98When Kevin Gausman Starts17-17, 50% -738New York Yankees

OVER-UNDER TRENDS

New York YankeesRECORDToronto Blue JaysRECORDO-U EDGE
OVER-UNDER ON ROAD5-7, 42% OverOVER-UNDER AT HOME2-5, 29% OverUNDER
ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS5-7, 42% OverROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS2-5, 29% OverUNDER
ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON33-44, 43% OverROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON32-44, 42% OverUNDER
OVER-UNDER IN Marcus Stroman STARTS0-3, 0% OverOVER-UNDER IN Kevin Gausman STARTS3-0, 100% OverN/A

ACCUSCORE ADVISOR: AccuScore simulates every game thousands of times one play at a time. We are the industry standard in sports forecasting and the only company to be paid for sports picks and predictions by the biggest sports companies in the world. Our newest product, the AccuScore Advisor, provides Side Value, Money Line and Over-Under picks for every MLB game and rates them as One, Two, Three or Four Star picks. Three and Four Star picks have delivered over +10,000 units of profit the past 2 seasons. Visit AccuScore.com to find out what AccuScore\'s Advisor recommends for this game. The following trends are AccuScore\'s RIGHT-WRONG records and units (+/-) when making picks involving these teams.

SIDE VALUE (Current Season) - New York Yankees Road Games: 3-9, 25% -611 Toronto Blue Jays Home Games: 5-3, 62% +207 SIDE VALUE (Last Season) - New York Yankees Road Games: 41-40, 51% +762 Toronto Blue Jays Home Games: 47-34, 58% +871

MONEY LINE (Current Season) - New York Yankees Road Games: 3-9, 25% -656 Toronto Blue Jays Home Games: 5-3, 62% +61 MONEY LINE (Last Season) - New York Yankees Road Games: 44-37, 54% -126 Toronto Blue Jays Home Games: 41-40, 51% -1306

OVER-UNDER RECORD (Current Season) - New York Yankees Road Games: 6-5, 55% + 50 Toronto Blue Jays Home Games: 5-2, 71% + 280 OVER-UNDER RECORD (LAST SEASON) - New York Yankees Road Games: 38-36, 51% -160 Toronto Blue Jays Home Games: 30-31, 49% -410

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