April 17, 2024 10:52 AM CDT

Minnesota Twins vs Baltimore Orioles 4/17/2024

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The Baltimore Orioles are 8-3 at home this season and are solid favorites to beat the Minnesota Twins who are 5-6 on the road this season. The Orioles have a better than 55% chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Both starters have a good chance of having a quality start. Albert Suarez has a 55% chance of a QS and Pablo Lopez a 54% chance. If Albert Suarez has a quality start the Orioles has a 73% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 4.6 and he has a 38% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Orioles win 56%. If Pablo Lopez has a quality start the Twins has a 62% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 6.2 and he has a 49% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Twins win 47%. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the Baltimore Orioles is Colton Cowser who averaged 2.09 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 34% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Orioles have a 70% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the Minnesota Twins is Edouard Julien who averaged 1.83 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 29% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Twins have a 61% chance of winning.

CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 6 to 8 weeks of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Baltimore Orioles

Minnesota TwinsRECORDBaltimore OriolesRECORDUNITS EDGE
Record on the Road5-6, 45% -160Record at Home8-3, 73% 161Baltimore Orioles
VS Baltimore Orioles0-2, 0% -200VS Minnesota Twins2-0, 100% 126Baltimore Orioles
vs Team .500 or Better6-10, 38% -408vs Team Under .5005-0, 100% 290Baltimore Orioles
Record as Road Favorite3-1, 75% 142Record as Home Underdog0-0 No GamesMinnesota Twins
When Pablo Lopez Starts1-2, 33% -117When Albert Suarez Starts0-0 No GamesBaltimore Orioles

LAST SEASON: We advise focusing on these trends in the first month of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Baltimore Orioles

Minnesota TwinsRECORDBaltimore OriolesRECORDUNITS EDGE
Record on the Road41-42, 49% -491Record at Home49-34, 59% 239Baltimore Orioles
VS Baltimore Orioles2-4, 33% -197VS Minnesota Twins4-2, 67% 272Baltimore Orioles
vs Team .500 or Better40-39, 51% 81vs Team .500 or Better51-42, 55% 2759Baltimore Orioles
Record as Road Favorite24-19, 56% -267Record as Home Underdog13-10, 57% 405Baltimore Orioles
When Pablo Lopez Starts22-13, 63% 266When Albert Suarez Starts1-0, 100% 51Minnesota Twins

OVER-UNDER TRENDS

Minnesota TwinsRECORDBaltimore OriolesRECORDO-U EDGE
OVER-UNDER ON ROAD6-5, 55% OverOVER-UNDER AT HOME8-2, 80% OverOVER
ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS6-5, 55% OverROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS8-2, 80% OverOVER
ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON43-39, 52% OverROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON38-39, 49% OverOVER
OVER-UNDER IN Pablo Lopez STARTS1-2, 33% OverOVER-UNDER IN Albert Suarez STARTS0-0 No GamesN/A

ACCUSCORE ADVISOR: AccuScore simulates every game thousands of times one play at a time. We are the industry standard in sports forecasting and the only company to be paid for sports picks and predictions by the biggest sports companies in the world. Our newest product, the AccuScore Advisor, provides Side Value, Money Line and Over-Under picks for every MLB game and rates them as One, Two, Three or Four Star picks. Three and Four Star picks have delivered over +10,000 units of profit the past 2 seasons. Visit AccuScore.com to find out what AccuScore\'s Advisor recommends for this game. The following trends are AccuScore\'s RIGHT-WRONG records and units (+/-) when making picks involving these teams.

SIDE VALUE (Current Season) - Minnesota Twins Road Games: 7-4, 64% +133 Baltimore Orioles Home Games: 3-8, 27% -574 SIDE VALUE (Last Season) - Minnesota Twins Road Games: 46-37, 55% -69 Baltimore Orioles Home Games: 52-31, 63% +1072

MONEY LINE (Current Season) - Minnesota Twins Road Games: 6-5, 55% -38 Baltimore Orioles Home Games: 8-3, 73% +161 MONEY LINE (Last Season) - Minnesota Twins Road Games: 47-36, 57% -139 Baltimore Orioles Home Games: 50-33, 60% +444

OVER-UNDER RECORD (Current Season) - Minnesota Twins Road Games: 4-6, 40% -260 Baltimore Orioles Home Games: 2-8, 20% -680 OVER-UNDER RECORD (LAST SEASON) - Minnesota Twins Road Games: 34-37, 48% -670 Baltimore Orioles Home Games: 36-34, 51% -140

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