The Boston Red Sox are 2-6 at home this season and are solid favorites to beat the Cleveland Guardians who are 9-2 on the road this season. The Red Sox have a better than 55% chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Red Sox starter Tanner Houck is forecasted to have a better game than Guardians starter Ben Lively. Tanner Houck has a 55% chance of having a Quality Start (QS) while Ben Lively has a 41% chance of a QS. If Tanner Houck has a quality start the Red Sox has a 75% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 4.9 and he has a 47% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Red Sox win 62%. In Ben Lively quality starts the Guardians win 63%. He has a 37% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio and if he does his team wins 63% of simulations. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the Boston Red Sox is Tyler O\'Neill who averaged 2.51 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 43% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Red Sox have a 70% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the Cleveland Guardians is Josh Naylor who averaged 2.3 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 37% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Guardians have a 57% chance of winning.
CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 6 to 8 weeks of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Cleveland Guardians
| Cleveland Guardians | RECORD | Boston Red Sox | RECORD | UNITS EDGE |
|---|
| Record on the Road | 9-2, 82% 709 | Record at Home | 2-6, 25% -424 | Cleveland Guardians |
| VS Boston Red Sox | 2-0, 100% 210 | VS Cleveland Guardians | 0-2, 0% -200 | Cleveland Guardians |
| vs Team .500 or Better | 3-2, 60% 124 | vs Team .500 or Better | 0-5, 0% -500 | Cleveland Guardians |
| Record As Road Underdog | 6-0, 100% 706 | Record As Home Favorite | 1-4, 20% -323 | Cleveland Guardians |
| When Ben Lively Starts | 0-0 No Games | When Tanner Houck Starts | 2-1, 67% 63 | Boston Red Sox |
LAST SEASON: We advise focusing on these trends in the first month of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Boston Red Sox
| Cleveland Guardians | RECORD | Boston Red Sox | RECORD | UNITS EDGE |
|---|
| Record on the Road | 34-47, 42% -1167 | Record at Home | 39-42, 48% -905 | Boston Red Sox |
| VS Boston Red Sox | 3-3, 50% -79 | VS Cleveland Guardians | 3-3, 50% -52 | Boston Red Sox |
| vs Team Under .500 | 35-41, 46% -1484 | vs Team .500 or Better | 51-55, 48% 159 | Boston Red Sox |
| Record As Road Underdog | 20-29, 41% -421 | Record As Home Favorite | 26-24, 52% -627 | Cleveland Guardians |
| When Ben Lively Starts | 2-4, 33% -264 | When Tanner Houck Starts | 9-12, 43% -408 | Cleveland Guardians |
OVER-UNDER TRENDS
| Cleveland Guardians | RECORD | Boston Red Sox | RECORD | O-U EDGE |
|---|
| OVER-UNDER ON ROAD | 6-4, 60% Over | OVER-UNDER AT HOME | 3-5, 38% Over | N/A |
| ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS | 6-4, 60% Over | ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS | 3-5, 38% Over | N/A |
| ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON | 41-38, 52% Over | ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON | 38-39, 49% Over | UNDER |
| OVER-UNDER IN Ben Lively STARTS | 0-0 No Games | OVER-UNDER IN Tanner Houck STARTS | 2-1, 67% Over | N/A |
ACCUSCORE ADVISOR: AccuScore simulates every game thousands of times one play at a time. We are the industry standard in sports forecasting and the only company to be paid for sports picks and predictions by the biggest sports companies in the world. Our newest product, the AccuScore Advisor, provides Side Value, Money Line and Over-Under picks for every MLB game and rates them as One, Two, Three or Four Star picks. Three and Four Star picks have delivered over +10,000 units of profit the past 2 seasons. Visit AccuScore.com to find out what AccuScore\'s Advisor recommends for this game. The following trends are AccuScore\'s RIGHT-WRONG records and units (+/-) when making picks involving these teams.
SIDE VALUE (Current Season) - Cleveland Guardians Road Games: 4-7, 36% -260 Boston Red Sox Home Games: 2-6, 25% -385 SIDE VALUE (Last Season) - Cleveland Guardians Road Games: 43-38, 53% +267 Boston Red Sox Home Games: 34-47, 42% -1759
MONEY LINE (Current Season) - Cleveland Guardians Road Games: 3-8, 27% -550 Boston Red Sox Home Games: 0-8, 0% -800 MONEY LINE (Last Season) - Cleveland Guardians Road Games: 47-34, 58% +302 Boston Red Sox Home Games: 33-48, 41% -2384
OVER-UNDER RECORD (Current Season) - Cleveland Guardians Road Games: 4-5, 44% -150 Boston Red Sox Home Games: 5-3, 62% + 170 OVER-UNDER RECORD (LAST SEASON) - Cleveland Guardians Road Games: 40-34, 54% + 260 Boston Red Sox Home Games: 35-39, 47% -790
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