April 17, 2024 10:52 AM CDT

Cincinnati Reds vs Seattle Mariners 4/17/2024

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The Seattle Mariners are 6-6 at home this season and the Cincinnati Reds are 5-3 on the road this season. This is a close match-up with both teams having a 45 to 55 percent chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Both starters have a good chance of having a quality start. Bryce Miller has a 60% chance of a QS and Andrew Abbott a 62% chance. If Bryce Miller has a quality start the Mariners has a 60% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 5.4 and he has a 39% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Mariners win 47%. If Andrew Abbott has a quality start the Reds has a 69% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 3.8 and he has a 29% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Reds win 56%. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the Seattle Mariners is Mitch Haniger who averaged 1.76 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 26% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Mariners have a 65% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the Cincinnati Reds is Jake Fraley who averaged 1.76 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 26% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Reds have a 69% chance of winning.

CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 6 to 8 weeks of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Cincinnati Reds

Cincinnati RedsRECORDSeattle MarinersRECORDUNITS EDGE
Record on the Road5-3, 62% 175Record at Home6-6, 50% -167Cincinnati Reds
VS Seattle Mariners0-2, 0% -200VS Cincinnati Reds2-0, 100% 137Seattle Mariners
vs Team Under .5005-3, 62% 16vs Team Under .5000-0 No GamesCincinnati Reds
Record As Road Underdog2-3, 40% -26Record As Home Favorite5-5, 50% -160Cincinnati Reds
When Andrew Abbott Starts2-1, 67% 85When Bryce Miller Starts2-1, 67% 79Cincinnati Reds

LAST SEASON: We advise focusing on these trends in the first month of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Cincinnati Reds

Cincinnati RedsRECORDSeattle MarinersRECORDUNITS EDGE
Record on the Road44-37, 54% 1607Record at Home45-36, 56% -721Cincinnati Reds
VS Seattle Mariners2-1, 67% 176VS Cincinnati Reds1-2, 33% -142Cincinnati Reds
vs Team .500 or Better41-47, 47% 414vs Team Under .50051-25, 67% 763Seattle Mariners
Record As Road Underdog36-32, 53% 1452Record As Home Favorite41-30, 58% -549Cincinnati Reds
When Andrew Abbott Starts12-7, 63% 476When Bryce Miller Starts7-9, 44% -346Cincinnati Reds

OVER-UNDER TRENDS

Cincinnati RedsRECORDSeattle MarinersRECORDO-U EDGE
OVER-UNDER ON ROAD5-3, 62% OverOVER-UNDER AT HOME4-7, 36% OverUNDER
ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS5-3, 62% OverROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS4-7, 36% OverUNDER
ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON42-36, 54% OverROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON41-37, 53% OverUNDER
OVER-UNDER IN Andrew Abbott STARTS2-1, 67% OverOVER-UNDER IN Bryce Miller STARTS0-2, 0% OverN/A

ACCUSCORE ADVISOR: AccuScore simulates every game thousands of times one play at a time. We are the industry standard in sports forecasting and the only company to be paid for sports picks and predictions by the biggest sports companies in the world. Our newest product, the AccuScore Advisor, provides Side Value, Money Line and Over-Under picks for every MLB game and rates them as One, Two, Three or Four Star picks. Three and Four Star picks have delivered over +10,000 units of profit the past 2 seasons. Visit AccuScore.com to find out what AccuScore\'s Advisor recommends for this game. The following trends are AccuScore\'s RIGHT-WRONG records and units (+/-) when making picks involving these teams.

SIDE VALUE (Current Season) - Cincinnati Reds Road Games: 3-5, 38% -372 Seattle Mariners Home Games: 6-6, 50% +57 SIDE VALUE (Last Season) - Cincinnati Reds Road Games: 43-38, 53% +90 Seattle Mariners Home Games: 49-32, 60% +2761

MONEY LINE (Current Season) - Cincinnati Reds Road Games: 3-5, 38% -311 Seattle Mariners Home Games: 6-6, 50% -107 MONEY LINE (Last Season) - Cincinnati Reds Road Games: 45-36, 56% +33 Seattle Mariners Home Games: 49-32, 60% +103

OVER-UNDER RECORD (Current Season) - Cincinnati Reds Road Games: 4-3, 57% + 70 Seattle Mariners Home Games: 7-1, 88% + 590 OVER-UNDER RECORD (LAST SEASON) - Cincinnati Reds Road Games: 45-26, 63% + 1640 Seattle Mariners Home Games: 33-32, 51% -220

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