The Arizona Diamondbacks are 7-5 at home this season and are solid favorites to beat the Chicago Cubs who are 5-6 on the road this season. The Diamondbacks have a better than 55% chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Diamondbacks starter Brandon Pfaadt is forecasted to have a better game than Cubs starter Jordan Wicks. Brandon Pfaadt has a 29% chance of having a Quality Start (QS) while Jordan Wicks has a 17% chance of a QS. If Brandon Pfaadt has a quality start the Diamondbacks has a 79% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 5 and he has a 45% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Diamondbacks win 63%. In Jordan Wicks quality starts the Cubs win 70%. He has a 28% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio and if he does his team wins 70% of simulations. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the Arizona Diamondbacks is Brandon Pfaadt who averaged 3.27 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 71% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Diamondbacks have a 69% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the Chicago Cubs is Jordan Wicks who averaged 3.2 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 69% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Cubs have a 53% chance of winning.
CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 6 to 8 weeks of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Chicago Cubs
| Chicago Cubs | RECORD | Arizona Diamondbacks | RECORD | UNITS EDGE |
|---|
| Record on the Road | 5-6, 45% -18 | Record at Home | 7-5, 58% -67 | Chicago Cubs |
| VS Arizona Diamondbacks | 1-1, 50% 28 | VS Chicago Cubs | 1-1, 50% -21 | Chicago Cubs |
| vs Team .500 or Better | 5-6, 45% 43 | vs Team .500 or Better | 4-7, 36% -388 | Chicago Cubs |
| Record As Road Underdog | 4-6, 40% -95 | Record As Home Favorite | 7-3, 70% 133 | Arizona Diamondbacks |
| When Jordan Wicks Starts | 1-2, 33% -79 | When Brandon Pfaadt Starts | 1-2, 33% -156 | Chicago Cubs |
LAST SEASON: We advise focusing on these trends in the first month of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Arizona Diamondbacks
| Chicago Cubs | RECORD | Arizona Diamondbacks | RECORD | UNITS EDGE |
|---|
| Record on the Road | 38-43, 47% -674 | Record at Home | 46-42, 52% -327 | Arizona Diamondbacks |
| VS Arizona Diamondbacks | 1-6, 14% -534 | VS Chicago Cubs | 6-1, 86% 563 | Arizona Diamondbacks |
| vs Team .500 or Better | 38-51, 43% -1193 | vs Team .500 or Better | 49-58, 46% -163 | Arizona Diamondbacks |
| Record As Road Underdog | 16-24, 40% -412 | Record As Home Favorite | 28-20, 58% -181 | Arizona Diamondbacks |
| When Jordan Wicks Starts | 4-1, 80% 152 | When Brandon Pfaadt Starts | 12-10, 55% 333 | Arizona Diamondbacks |
OVER-UNDER TRENDS
| Chicago Cubs | RECORD | Arizona Diamondbacks | RECORD | O-U EDGE |
|---|
| OVER-UNDER ON ROAD | 5-6, 45% Over | OVER-UNDER AT HOME | 5-7, 42% Over | UNDER |
| ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS | 5-6, 45% Over | ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS | 5-7, 42% Over | UNDER |
| ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON | 39-40, 49% Over | ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON | 35-48, 42% Over | UNDER |
| OVER-UNDER IN Jordan Wicks STARTS | 1-2, 33% Over | OVER-UNDER IN Brandon Pfaadt STARTS | 2-1, 67% Over | N/A |
ACCUSCORE ADVISOR: AccuScore simulates every game thousands of times one play at a time. We are the industry standard in sports forecasting and the only company to be paid for sports picks and predictions by the biggest sports companies in the world. Our newest product, the AccuScore Advisor, provides Side Value, Money Line and Over-Under picks for every MLB game and rates them as One, Two, Three or Four Star picks. Three and Four Star picks have delivered over +10,000 units of profit the past 2 seasons. Visit AccuScore.com to find out what AccuScore\'s Advisor recommends for this game. The following trends are AccuScore\'s RIGHT-WRONG records and units (+/-) when making picks involving these teams.
SIDE VALUE (Current Season) - Chicago Cubs Road Games: 7-4, 64% +116 Arizona Diamondbacks Home Games: 3-9, 25% -636 SIDE VALUE (Last Season) - Chicago Cubs Road Games: 45-36, 56% -143 Arizona Diamondbacks Home Games: 44-44, 50% -431
MONEY LINE (Current Season) - Chicago Cubs Road Games: 7-4, 64% +193 Arizona Diamondbacks Home Games: 6-6, 50% -253 MONEY LINE (Last Season) - Chicago Cubs Road Games: 42-39, 52% -484 Arizona Diamondbacks Home Games: 47-41, 53% -659
OVER-UNDER RECORD (Current Season) - Chicago Cubs Road Games: 7-3, 70% + 370 Arizona Diamondbacks Home Games: 5-5, 50% -50 OVER-UNDER RECORD (LAST SEASON) - Chicago Cubs Road Games: 37-33, 53% + 70 Arizona Diamondbacks Home Games: 37-33, 53% + 70
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