The Atlanta Braves are 6-4 on the road this season and are heavy favorites to beat the Houston Astros who are 4-8 at home. The Braves have a better than 55% chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Braves starter Max Fried is forecasted to have a better game than Astros starter J.P. France. Max Fried has a 41% chance of having a Quality Start (QS) while J.P. France has a 29% chance of a QS. If Max Fried has a quality start the Braves has a 81% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 3.4 and he has a 30% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Braves win 64%. In J.P. France quality starts the Astros win 69%. He has a 31% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio and if he does his team wins 69% of simulations. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the Houston Astros is Jose Altuve who averaged 2.39 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 40% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Astros have a 52% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the Atlanta Braves is Marcell Ozuna who averaged 2.41 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 41% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Braves have a 73% chance of winning.
CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 6 to 8 weeks of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Atlanta Braves
| Atlanta Braves | RECORD | Houston Astros | RECORD | UNITS EDGE |
|---|
| Record on the Road | 6-4, 60% 15 | Record at Home | 4-8, 33% -514 | Atlanta Braves |
| VS Houston Astros | 2-0, 100% 182 | VS Atlanta Braves | 0-2, 0% -200 | Atlanta Braves |
| vs Team Under .500 | 5-2, 71% 140 | vs Team .500 or Better | 6-13, 32% -851 | Atlanta Braves |
| Record as Road Favorite | 5-4, 56% -78 | Record as Home Underdog | 0-1, 0% -100 | Atlanta Braves |
| When Max Fried Starts | 3-0, 100% 176 | When J.P. France Starts | 0-3, 0% -300 | Atlanta Braves |
LAST SEASON: We advise focusing on these trends in the first month of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Atlanta Braves
| Atlanta Braves | RECORD | Houston Astros | RECORD | UNITS EDGE |
|---|
| Record on the Road | 53-30, 64% 456 | Record at Home | 40-47, 46% -2263 | Atlanta Braves |
| VS Houston Astros | 0-3, 0% -300 | VS Atlanta Braves | 3-0, 100% 316 | Houston Astros |
| vs Team .500 or Better | 56-36, 61% -31 | vs Team .500 or Better | 48-48, 50% -419 | Atlanta Braves |
| Record as Road Favorite | 45-26, 63% 23 | Record as Home Underdog | 3-2, 60% 94 | Houston Astros |
| When Max Fried Starts | 12-3, 80% 360 | When J.P. France Starts | 14-9, 61% 216 | Atlanta Braves |
OVER-UNDER TRENDS
| Atlanta Braves | RECORD | Houston Astros | RECORD | O-U EDGE |
|---|
| OVER-UNDER ON ROAD | 5-5, 50% Over | OVER-UNDER AT HOME | 5-7, 42% Over | UNDER |
| ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS | 5-5, 50% Over | ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS | 5-7, 42% Over | UNDER |
| ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON | 47-35, 57% Over | ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON | 49-37, 57% Over | UNDER |
| OVER-UNDER IN Max Fried STARTS | 3-0, 100% Over | OVER-UNDER IN J.P. France STARTS | 1-2, 33% Over | N/A |
ACCUSCORE ADVISOR: AccuScore simulates every game thousands of times one play at a time. We are the industry standard in sports forecasting and the only company to be paid for sports picks and predictions by the biggest sports companies in the world. Our newest product, the AccuScore Advisor, provides Side Value, Money Line and Over-Under picks for every MLB game and rates them as One, Two, Three or Four Star picks. Three and Four Star picks have delivered over +10,000 units of profit the past 2 seasons. Visit AccuScore.com to find out what AccuScore\'s Advisor recommends for this game. The following trends are AccuScore\'s RIGHT-WRONG records and units (+/-) when making picks involving these teams.
SIDE VALUE (Current Season) - Atlanta Braves Road Games: 6-4, 60% -295 Houston Astros Home Games: 5-7, 42% -250 SIDE VALUE (Last Season) - Atlanta Braves Road Games: 42-41, 51% -1205 Houston Astros Home Games: 41-46, 47% -795
MONEY LINE (Current Season) - Atlanta Braves Road Games: 6-4, 60% +45 Houston Astros Home Games: 6-6, 50% -132 MONEY LINE (Last Season) - Atlanta Braves Road Games: 51-32, 61% +212 Houston Astros Home Games: 44-43, 51% -1331
OVER-UNDER RECORD (Current Season) - Atlanta Braves Road Games: 5-5, 50% -50 Houston Astros Home Games: 5-7, 42% -270 OVER-UNDER RECORD (LAST SEASON) - Atlanta Braves Road Games: 45-34, 57% + 760 Houston Astros Home Games: 43-29, 60% + 1110
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