The Detroit Tigers are 3-5 at home this season and the Texas Rangers are 4-3 on the road this season. This is a close match-up with both teams having a 45 to 55 percent chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Both starters have a good chance of having a quality start. Casey Mize has a 47% chance of a QS and Jon Gray a 45% chance. If Casey Mize has a quality start the Tigers has a 73% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 2.1 and he has a 17% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Tigers win 63%. If Jon Gray has a quality start the Rangers has a 65% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 3.8 and he has a 22% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Rangers win 45%. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the Detroit Tigers is Riley Greene who averaged 2.3 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 39% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Tigers have a 64% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the Texas Rangers is Corey Seager who averaged 2.29 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 39% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Rangers have a 59% chance of winning.
CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 6 to 8 weeks of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Texas Rangers
| Texas Rangers | RECORD | Detroit Tigers | RECORD | UNITS EDGE |
|---|
| Record on the Road | 4-3, 57% 115 | Record at Home | 3-5, 38% -296 | Texas Rangers |
| VS Detroit Tigers | 1-0, 100% 86 | VS Texas Rangers | 0-1, 0% -100 | Texas Rangers |
| vs Team .500 or Better | 5-2, 71% 263 | vs Team .500 or Better | 3-3, 50% -8 | Texas Rangers |
| Record as Road Favorite | 1-0, 100% 86 | Record as Home Underdog | 0-2, 0% -200 | Texas Rangers |
| When Jon Gray Starts | 1-2, 33% -107 | When Casey Mize Starts | 2-0, 100% 176 | Detroit Tigers |
LAST SEASON: We advise focusing on these trends in the first month of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Texas Rangers
| Texas Rangers | RECORD | Detroit Tigers | RECORD | UNITS EDGE |
|---|
| Record on the Road | 51-41, 55% 848 | Record at Home | 37-44, 46% -366 | Texas Rangers |
| VS Detroit Tigers | 4-3, 57% -50 | VS Texas Rangers | 3-4, 43% 22 | Detroit Tigers |
| vs Team Under .500 | 48-27, 64% 392 | vs Team .500 or Better | 31-54, 36% -628 | Texas Rangers |
| Record as Road Favorite | 23-18, 56% -183 | Record as Home Underdog | 25-35, 42% -270 | Texas Rangers |
| When Jon Gray Starts | 18-13, 58% 147 | When Casey Mize Starts | 0-0 No Games | Texas Rangers |
OVER-UNDER TRENDS
| Texas Rangers | RECORD | Detroit Tigers | RECORD | O-U EDGE |
|---|
| OVER-UNDER ON ROAD | 4-3, 57% Over | OVER-UNDER AT HOME | 3-4, 43% Over | N/A |
| ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS | 4-3, 57% Over | ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS | 3-4, 43% Over | N/A |
| ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON | 42-47, 47% Over | ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON | 43-35, 55% Over | UNDER |
| OVER-UNDER IN Jon Gray STARTS | 1-2, 33% Over | OVER-UNDER IN Casey Mize STARTS | 1-1, 50% Over | N/A |
ACCUSCORE ADVISOR: AccuScore simulates every game thousands of times one play at a time. We are the industry standard in sports forecasting and the only company to be paid for sports picks and predictions by the biggest sports companies in the world. Our newest product, the AccuScore Advisor, provides Side Value, Money Line and Over-Under picks for every MLB game and rates them as One, Two, Three or Four Star picks. Three and Four Star picks have delivered over +10,000 units of profit the past 2 seasons. Visit AccuScore.com to find out what AccuScore\'s Advisor recommends for this game. The following trends are AccuScore\'s RIGHT-WRONG records and units (+/-) when making picks involving these teams.
SIDE VALUE (Current Season) - Texas Rangers Road Games: 5-2, 71% +259 Detroit Tigers Home Games: 5-3, 62% +202 SIDE VALUE (Last Season) - Texas Rangers Road Games: 53-39, 58% -97 Detroit Tigers Home Games: 42-39, 52% +23
MONEY LINE (Current Season) - Texas Rangers Road Games: 6-1, 86% +412 Detroit Tigers Home Games: 4-4, 50% -110 MONEY LINE (Last Season) - Texas Rangers Road Games: 46-46, 50% -987 Detroit Tigers Home Games: 41-40, 51% -942
OVER-UNDER RECORD (Current Season) - Texas Rangers Road Games: 2-4, 33% -240 Detroit Tigers Home Games: 5-2, 71% + 280 OVER-UNDER RECORD (LAST SEASON) - Texas Rangers Road Games: 40-40, 50% -400 Detroit Tigers Home Games: 34-37, 48% -670
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