• 2017 NBA Finals Predictions

    Written by Rohit Ghosh
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    2017 NBA Finals: Warriors in 5

    AccuScore’s computer feels rather strongly that the Golden State Warriors will win the 2017 NBA Finals and win rather comfortably. The Warriors won 88.5% of the 10,000 series played out in the simulated environment, while Cleveland only won 11.5% of the time. It’s not impossible for LeBron James and company to win, but they face long odds. If it’s going to happen, Game 6 gives the Cavs their best chance to win. According to the computer, Warriors in 5 is the most likely outcome with 34.3% of simulations ending with the Warriors standing victorious after 5 games. However, there is a 21.3% chance that this series goes the full 7 games.

    NBA Finals Game 1: Cavs at Warriors

    NBA Finals 2017 - Game 1 prediction
    Click Here for FREE NBA Finals Game 1 Forecast

    The Golden State Warriors and Cleveland Cavaliers tip off their NBA Finals rematch Thursday at Oracle Arena. Anyone following the league this year knew this rematch was practically inevitable - two stacked teams that were clearly head and shoulders above the competition.

    The Warriors are 7-point favorites with the total set at 225.

    Vegas Odds vs AccuScore Sims

    A day ahead of the game, wager tracking data suggested that the majority of the public is leaning towards a Cleveland moneyline pick, with close to 74% of ML dollars on the Cavs (+270) for Game 1.

    AccuScore sim data, however, would go against the public trend in this case. The Warriors cover a -7 spread in over 82 percent of simulations, suggesting some value on an ATS pick that generally suggests 52-to-53 percent chance of happening (-110).

    The biggest value in Game 1 seems to be on the total though, with AccuScore's simulated total about five points lower than that listed in Vegas.

    Betting Trends
    • The Cavs are 2-5 straight up (SU) in their last seven road games vs the Warriors.

    • The Cavaliers are 1-6 SU and 2-5 ATS in their last seven games as an underdog of 7.0 points or less.

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    What to Watch For: Game 1

    Steph Curry has quietly had an incredible postseason. Even beyond the remarkable 12-0 start to the playoffs, Curry's numbers have been under-hyped. Currently, he's averaging 28.6 points per game on 43 percent shooting from beyond the arc and 50 percent overall from the field. Outside of someone like LeBron James, there's no one playing better ball than Curry. In the decisive fourth quarter of last year's Game 7 vs the Cavaliers in the NBA Finals, Curry was just 1-of-6 from the field. Let's just say he'll look to replace that memory with a better one this time around.

    The Cavaliers' offense has been beyond comprehension in the postseason, putting up 120.7 points per 100 possessions. We're expecting them to be just fine on that end of the floor. What potentially could be a nightmare is their struggling defense. In the regular season, only eight teams had a worse defensive rating compared to Cleveland.

  • 2018-19 NBA Season Preview, Last Season +6314 Profit

    Written by AccuScore Staff
    Follow @AccuScore on Twitter

    2018-19 NBA Season Preview: Last Season NBA Picks +6314 profit

    A new season has finally arrived for the NBA, and so, we took a quick peek back at last season. The 2017-18 NBA season was incredibly profitable, so let's just get to the numbers.

    AccuScore's 2017-18 NBA Betting Trends
    All Side Value Picks: +4590
    All Spread Picks: +3460
    All Total Picks: 0 (no, this is not a typo. All Totals picks were a net zero on the season, somehow.)
    All Moneyline Picks: -1736
    2017/18 Season: +6314 Profit

    NBA Expert Picks - Every Game

    In taking a closer look, AccuScore's computer is designed to find value, so the overall moneyline picks being down -1736 is not something we consider a troubling trend. If you look at value picks, whether they be side value, spreads or totals, AccuScore's computer was actually +8050 profit. Before you freak out and think we're being selective, side value picks are literally AccuScore's picks on the moneyline, based on when the computer identifies value. So, that +8050 profit number for the 2017-18 season is more representative of AccuScore's picks than the +6314 number, but we'll take it either way. AccuScore's NBA picks make money.

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  • NBA: Pistons at Magic - Trends & Picks

    Written by AccuScore Staff
    Follow @AccuScore on Twitter

    NBA Friday: Detroit Pistons at Orlando Magic - Free Preview

    AccuScore simulates every game 10,000 times based on historical data and compares its results to the public odds to derive value and make picks

    On Friday night in Orlando, the Detroit Pistons are the slightest of favorites at 50.1% to win, according to AccuScore's simulations. While that still makes the Pistons the moneyline favorites, the odds makers have the Pistons at 58.2% to win, so there's side value on picking the Orlando Magic to pull the upset in this game. AccuScore is +1211 on side value picks when the Pistons are on the road this season, so the trends suggest you take notice.

    While picking the Magic on the moneyline may be a bit adventurous, the close nature of this game suggests that Orlando +2.5 may be the better play, and it is a 4-star trends pick from AccuScore, with 55.9% of simulations resulting in the Magic either winning outright or losing by 2 or fewer points.

    Magic vs Pistons predictions
    Click here for full free forecast + All of Today's NBA picks

    On the Totals pick, AccuScore again has a 4-star pick for Friday's game with 61% of simulations going UNDER the 214.5 combined points. Our forecast also allows you to adjust the line if you're getting different odds.

    Hot Trends
    -Detroit Pistons: AccuScore is 21-7, 75% +1330 on picking Totals in away games for the Pistons this season.
    -Orlando Magic: AccuScore is 18-11, 62% +590 on picking Totals in home games for the Magic this season.
    -Detroit Pistons: AccuScore is 17-11, 61% +1211 on side value picks on all Pistons road games this season
    -Orlando Magic: AccuScore is 16-13, 55% +417 on side value picks on all Magic home games this season.

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    Player Projections:

    Blake Griffin projects to lead Detroit in scoring, averaging 18.4 points and 7.2 rebounds per simulation. Andre Drummond is next on the Pistons with 13.4 points and 13.4 rebounds in the game.

    Even Fournier leads the Magic with 15.6 points per simulation, but five different Orlando players averaged double figures in scoring in simulations.

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