Written by Rohit Ghosh
Follow @rohitghosh on Twitter

2017 NBA Finals: Warriors in 5

AccuScore’s computer feels rather strongly that the Golden State Warriors will win the 2017 NBA Finals and win rather comfortably. The Warriors won 88.5% of the 10,000 series played out in the simulated environment, while Cleveland only won 11.5% of the time. It’s not impossible for LeBron James and company to win, but they face long odds. If it’s going to happen, Game 6 gives the Cavs their best chance to win. According to the computer, Warriors in 5 is the most likely outcome with 34.3% of simulations ending with the Warriors standing victorious after 5 games. However, there is a 21.3% chance that this series goes the full 7 games.

NBA Finals Game 1: Cavs at Warriors

Click Here for FREE NBA Finals Game 1 Forecast

The Golden State Warriors and Cleveland Cavaliers tip off their NBA Finals rematch Thursday at Oracle Arena. Anyone following the league this year knew this rematch was practically inevitable - two stacked teams that were clearly head and shoulders above the competition.

The Warriors are 7-point favorites with the total set at 225.

Vegas Odds vs AccuScore Sims

A day ahead of the game, wager tracking data suggested that the majority of the public is leaning towards a Cleveland moneyline pick, with close to 74% of ML dollars on the Cavs (+270) for Game 1.

AccuScore sim data, however, would go against the public trend in this case. The Warriors cover a -7 spread in over 82 percent of simulations, suggesting some value on an ATS pick that generally suggests 52-to-53 percent chance of happening (-110).

The biggest value in Game 1 seems to be on the total though, with AccuScore's simulated total about five points lower than that listed in Vegas.

Betting Trends
• The Cavs are 2-5 straight up (SU) in their last seven road games vs the Warriors.

• The Cavaliers are 1-6 SU and 2-5 ATS in their last seven games as an underdog of 7.0 points or less.

Limited Time NBA Finals Special Get access to expert picks, top trends and the best betting analysis for the NBA Finals, NHL Stanley Cup Finals, Major League Baseball and every other sport AccuScore covers when you Join Now using the coupon code NBAFINALS and get 30% off membership (monthly or annual). This is our best offer of the summer and is only available for a limited time: Become a Member Today!

What to Watch For: Game 1

Steph Curry has quietly had an incredible postseason. Even beyond the remarkable 12-0 start to the playoffs, Curry's numbers have been under-hyped. Currently, he's averaging 28.6 points per game on 43 percent shooting from beyond the arc and 50 percent overall from the field. Outside of someone like LeBron James, there's no one playing better ball than Curry. In the decisive fourth quarter of last year's Game 7 vs the Cavaliers in the NBA Finals, Curry was just 1-of-6 from the field. Let's just say he'll look to replace that memory with a better one this time around.

The Cavaliers' offense has been beyond comprehension in the postseason, putting up 120.7 points per 100 possessions. We're expecting them to be just fine on that end of the floor. What potentially could be a nightmare is their struggling defense. In the regular season, only eight teams had a worse defensive rating compared to Cleveland.

Today’s Free Sports Predictions

Date	Team	Acc Sim%	Odds%	PS Acc PS	OU Acc OU	PS	Total
2024-12-21 13:00:00 21/12 13:00 PM	HOU KC	35.7 64.2	0.00 0.00	KC 0 KC -7	N/A 45

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Date	Team	Acc Sim%	Odds%	PS	OU Acc OU	ML	Point Spread	Total
2024-12-22 19:00:00 22/12 19:00 PM	HOU TOR	77.2 22.7	75.79 28.17	HOU -8	224 222

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Date	Team	Acc Sim%	Odds%	PS	OU Acc OU	ML	SV	Total
2024-12-22 12:30:00 22/12 12:30 PM	CAR NYR	52.5 47.5	59.8 40.2	CAR 0	6 6

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Date	Team	Acc Sim%	Odds%	OU	ML	SV	Total
1734894000 22/12 13:00 PM	Wolverhampton Wanderers Leicester City Draw	28.8 42.5 28.7	36.6 34 29.3	3.25

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What is Accuscore?

Accuscore provides predictive analytics on sports, based on the company’s own algorithmic simulation engine which has been under constant development for almost two decades. Sports predictions are an outcome of simulations in which individual games are simulated for thousands of times in order to arrive to the most likely results. These results are then used to create analytical predictions, content and advice for bettors, pundits or any stakeholders in the industry or media field. For the individual US users, Accuscore’s predictions can be accessed through subscription to BetQL.

The Accuscore simulation engine uses the relevant historical data of the players, teams and leagues to predict the outcomes of the games before they have started. The simulation results are based on the individual player performances and weighted according to the teams’ form, opponent and other circumstances that have been proven relevant to the outcome of the match. We have managed to filter out the unnecessary data-points by determining which are important and which are not – this has taken several hundreds of thousands of simulations, cross-references and comparisons of simulation results to actual outcomes.

Accuscore aims to provide independent, unbiased and objective sports predictions for all the customers. We strive to be transparent and all our simulations results are available in the archives. Throughout the years Accuscore has worked with several betting companies, for example Pinnacle and Coolbet, media houses such as Telia and Sporing News, sports teams and leagues, and of course individuals through our subscription service.

Our capabilities include tailoring the sports predictions service to any B2B need with different licensing models, revenue sharing programs or affiliate markets. We can package content based on the simulations in several different ways, which can include automated widgets, unique articles, videos or pure numbers from a feed – whatever suits your needs!

Which sports does Accuscore cover?

Currently Accuscore provides detailed sports predictions for most of the popular sports and leagues in the World. The current offering includes:

American Football: NFL and College Football
Basketball: NBA and College Basketball
Baseball: MLB baseball
Ice Hockey: NHL, Finnish Liiga, Swedish SHL and World Championships
Football (soccer) leagues:
- Champions League
- English Premier League
- Spanish La Liga
- Italian Serie A
- German Bundesliga
- French Ligue 1
- Scottish Premier League
- Portuguese Liga
- Netherlands Eredivisie
- Mexican Liga MX
- North-American MLS
- Chinese Super League
- English Championship, League One and League Two
- Major international tournaments: World Cup, Euro, Copa America

Accuscore’s newly implemented model for eSports is currently in its testing phase and the CSGO (Counter Strike: Global Offensive) sports predictions can be found from our sister site.

We also have capability to add leagues on request and provide unique, tailor-made service.

How to use Accuscore sports predictions?

Accuscore’s simulations provide various advantages for both businesses and individuals. The simulations are based on a sovereign algorithmic system and all the simulations are always ran the exact same way. The only variables are the data inputs which the simulation engine then uses to create the sports predictions according to the algorithmic model. The model has a proven track record and for example the NFL picks have provided constant profit over the years.

The simulations provide probabilities for the outcomes of the games which include – depending of the sport – for example the most likely final result, the amount of goals or points and player performances. These sport predictions can be compared to odds in order to make a more educated betting decision or they can be used to support, oppose or adjust ones view on the betting market.

For businesses the sports predictions provide an opportunity to use original content in various forms which can be modified to suit any need, for example: providing more information to customers, attracting traffic or users, as unique content to publish or for other marketing purposes such as short videos for social media. We are happy to tailor our service for each B2B customer.

How to join Accuscore and secure the best sports predictions?

The best way to start using the Accuscore sports predictions is to subscribe to our service which includes a free seven-day trial period. Subscription allows access to all the sports predictions, historical archives and articles. If you are not happy with the service, you can cancel the subscription within the seven-day period with no cost.

We are also providing a daily free preview on the Accuscore site, so be sure to check back regularly to catch the prediction for the oncoming game. Occasionally we are also providing picks from our experts, based on the simulations. The picks can be found from our free expert picks page.

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