Accuscore: The Global Leader in Sports Forecasting - Profitable betting since 2004.

  • Dallas Cowboys vs Philadelphia Eagles: NFL Sunday Night Analyst Pick

    Written by Rohit Ghosh
    Follow @rohitghosh on Twitter

    Cowboys vs Eagles: Sunday Night NFL Pick

    Sunday night features an intriguing matchup on the NFL slate as the 5-4 Dallas Cowboys host the 8-1 Philadelphia Eagles at AT&T Stadium. Philly will look to avenge their OT loss the last time they were on the road against Dallas.

    Vegas Odds
    There has been very little movement on the total since it oped at 47, but the spread shifted two-to-three points depending on where you're looking. The Eagles opened as 3-point favorites before settling down at -5.5.

    Betting Line: Philadelphia Eagles -5.5/-6
    Total: 47.5/48

    At the time of publication, about 66 percent of the public were laying the points on the road and taking Philly.

    68 percent of the wagers on the total have been on the OVER.

    Betting Trends
    - The total has gone OVER in four of the Cowboys' last six games.
    - The Cowboys are 9-3 straight up (SU) in their last 12 games at home.
    - The total has gone OVER in four of the Cowboys' last six games at home.

    All of AccuScore's NFL Picks, including a free preview of the Lions vs the Bears... All of AccuScore's NFL Sunday Picks

    What to Watch For
    While the Eagles are heavy favorites in Vegas and in the public's eye, AccuScore sim data has the Cowboys actually winning over 50 percent of simulations. How could our data and Vegas differ so much in their projections?

    The Cowboys have the second-best rushing attack at home and the variables seem to be weighing that statistic heavily.

    Alfred Morris is projected to finish with 71 yards on 16 carries; Darren McFadden is projected to finish with 30 yards on 7 carries; Dak Prescott is projected to finish with close to 40 yards on 5 attempts. Prescott has the highest probability of all Cowboys to run it into the end zone.

    With the eye test, Philly looks unbeatable. On paper, though, things aren't as perfect. They only have a +6 turnover margin, with Carson Wentz holding a 23:5 TD:INT ratio.

    In AccuScore sims, turnovers play the biggest factor -- with Dallas actually winning 67 percent of sims in which they commit fewer turnovers.

    Analyst's Pick
    Members: Log in at the top right now to reveal AccuScore’s Analyst Pick

    ...Not a member? Try AccuScore Free for 7-days: first time members get a free 7-day trial of AccuScore’s full site when you register for a monthly membership. Join AccuScore Today!*

    *New NFL Special: Use code NFLseason and you'll get an all-sports membership for only $159 valid until the end of the NFL season, i.e. through the playoffs and until the day after the Super Bowl on Feb. 4, 2018 (All other sports are included too: NBA, NHL, NCAA Football, EPL, La Liga, etc.)... Join Now!

  • NFL Week 17: Cowboys at Eagles - Analyst Pick & Preview

    Written by Rohit Ghosh
    Follow @rohitghosh on Twitter

    Dallas Cowboys vs Philadelphia Eagles: NFL Week 17 Analyst Pick

    There might not be any Thursday night action in the NFL for Week 17, but Sunday's slate has plenty for bettors out there. The Cowboys and Eagles take center stage at 1 PM Eastern at Lincoln Financial Field . Let's take a closer look at where the value is in a matchup in which the two teams have nothing to play for.

    Vegas Odds
    There hasn't been much movement on the spread or total since the lines opened. The Cowboys opened as 2-point favorites before settling in a half-point higher; the total dropped a couple points since opening at 43.

    Betting Line: Philadelphia Eagles -2.5
    Total: 41

    At the time of publication, 54 percent of the public were laying the points and picking the Eagles.

    61 percent of the action on the total has been on the OVER.

    All of AccuScore's 2017 NFL Picks
    • Spreads/Totals/Moneyline Picks: +2583 profit

    Our computer has simulated every game 10,000 times like it does every week…Week 17 NFL picks

    Not a member? Get an All-Access All-Sports membership at 20% off using coupon code NFLPlayoffs20 - Join AccuScore Today!

    Betting Trends
    • The Cowboys are 4-1-1 against the spread (ATS) in their last six games on the road.
    • The Cowboys are 4-1 ATS in their last five games on the road vs the Eagles.

    What to Watch For
    Dak vs the Pass Rush: Dak Prescott finished Week 16 against the Seattle Seahawks with 182 yards and 2 INTs struggling to get into any sort of rhythm with a set of weapons that seem to be more bark than bite. Prescott lost left tackle Tyron Smith early in last week's matchup, and that doesn't bode well for him this week - regardless of how motivated the Eagles are to win this week. The Eagles rank No. 2 on the season in opponent incompletions per game.

    Prescott is projected to finish with 262 passing yards and 2 TDs, to go along with 21 rushing yards on 3 carries.

    Eagles on the Ground: Ajayi finished Week 16 with 52 rushing yards on 14 carries and caught two-of-three passes for 21 yards and 1 TD. He did have a fumble to go along with production, though, in the 19-10 win over Oakland. He started the game off with a bang, catching a 17-yard TD on just the Eagles' second drive. That was unfortunately marred by the fumble later on, but Ajayi has been more-than-satisfactory since putting on the Philly uniform. He's averaged nearly 15 touches over the last four games, but that sort of action could be in jeopardy given the team has nothing substantial to play for in Week 17.

    Ajayi is projected to finish with 68 yards on 13 carries, but it's teammate LeGarrette Blount that has a slightly higher probability at finding the end zone. Blount averages 0.6 TDs per simulated matchup, compared to Ajayi's 0.5.

    Analyst's Pick
    Members: Log in at the top right now to reveal AccuScore’s Analyst Pick

    ...Not a member? Try AccuScore Free for 7-days: first time members get a free 7-day trial of AccuScore’s full site when you register for a monthly membership. Join AccuScore Today!*

    *use code NFLplayoffs20 for 20% off All-Sports membership - Limited time special

Joomla SEF URLs by Artio