Written by Rohit Ghosh
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Dallas Cowboys vs Philadelphia Eagles: NFL Week 17 Analyst Pick
There might not be any Thursday night action in the NFL for Week 17, but Sunday's slate has plenty for bettors out there. The Cowboys and Eagles take center stage at 1 PM Eastern at Lincoln Financial Field . Let's take a closer look at where the value is in a matchup in which the two teams have nothing to play for.
Vegas Odds
There hasn't been much movement on the spread or total since the lines opened. The Cowboys opened as 2-point favorites before settling in a half-point higher; the total dropped a couple points since opening at 43.
Betting Line: Philadelphia Eagles -2.5
Total: 41
At the time of publication, 54 percent of the public were laying the points and picking the Eagles.
61 percent of the action on the total has been on the OVER.
All of AccuScore's 2017 NFL Picks
• Spreads/Totals/Moneyline Picks: +2583 profit
Our computer has simulated every game 10,000 times like it does every week…Week 17 NFL picks
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Betting Trends
• The Cowboys are 4-1-1 against the spread (ATS) in their last six games on the road.
• The Cowboys are 4-1 ATS in their last five games on the road vs the Eagles.
What to Watch For
Dak vs the Pass Rush: Dak Prescott finished Week 16 against the Seattle Seahawks with 182 yards and 2 INTs struggling to get into any sort of rhythm with a set of weapons that seem to be more bark than bite. Prescott lost left tackle Tyron Smith early in last week's matchup, and that doesn't bode well for him this week - regardless of how motivated the Eagles are to win this week. The Eagles rank No. 2 on the season in opponent incompletions per game.
Prescott is projected to finish with 262 passing yards and 2 TDs, to go along with 21 rushing yards on 3 carries.
Eagles on the Ground: Ajayi finished Week 16 with 52 rushing yards on 14 carries and caught two-of-three passes for 21 yards and 1 TD. He did have a fumble to go along with production, though, in the 19-10 win over Oakland. He started the game off with a bang, catching a 17-yard TD on just the Eagles' second drive. That was unfortunately marred by the fumble later on, but Ajayi has been more-than-satisfactory since putting on the Philly uniform. He's averaged nearly 15 touches over the last four games, but that sort of action could be in jeopardy given the team has nothing substantial to play for in Week 17.
Ajayi is projected to finish with 68 yards on 13 carries, but it's teammate LeGarrette Blount that has a slightly higher probability at finding the end zone. Blount averages 0.6 TDs per simulated matchup, compared to Ajayi's 0.5.
Analyst's Pick
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