Understanding AccuScore’s Football Simulations

Been away for a while? AccuScore may looks a bit different. Take a deep breath. The simulations haven’t changed, but the look has over the years. It's been about a decade since we first start, so we’re going to walk you through how to find your football picks and also how to read the simulations.

There are two views: The Graph View and the Grid View (better for college football).

The Graph View

Side Value and Moneyline

As this was a pretty big change, it took us a moment to get everything into the graph view, but now we have it. Let’s take a look at an example from NCAA Football below.

Football Graph View

In the example above, there is a 4-star moneyline pick and 2-star side value pick. The Moneyline pick is clearly Arkansas, represented by the outside circle. Also, the 88.8% of simulations resulted in Arkansas winning, which written below the team’s symbol. This is the moneyline pick. AccuScore’s simulations are represented by the outside circle.

Football Graph View-2

The side value, however, is represented by the inside circle, and as you can see in the image above, the odds only give Louisiana Tech a 5.69% chance of winning versus AccuScore giving Louisiana Tech an 11% chance of winning, so there is side value on picking the underdog here.

Over/Under and Point Spread Picks

In the illustration below, you’ll find a green arrow and a red arrow. The green arrow is AccuScore’s Totals pick. In the example below, AccuScore is picking the Over in this game, which is a two-star pick. Below the stars, the “52” represents the line, so AccuScore is saying this game will go OVER 52. The 58.4% shows you what percentage of simulations went OVER 52. If you click on the “free picks” or “more info” box, you can play around with slider tools to adjust the lines if you’re getting a different line.

Football Graph View-2

The red arrow shows AccuScore’s pick against the spread. In this game, the pick is LA Tech +25, which is a two-star pick. Again, the 56% represents the percentage of simulations that saw LA Tech losing by 25 or fewer points or winning outright.

Grid View

To get to the grid view, take a look at the red arrow above and click on the three lines. The graph symbol allows you to switch back to the graph view. Due to the number of games in College Football, the grid view is now the default view. Also, you can type in team abbreviations in the search box (green arrow) and find any game you’re looking for faster. The graph view is the default view for most other sports, but switching to the grid view is the same process for every sport.

Understanding the Grid View

Football Grid View

Let’s use the same example we’ve been using and the same game that’s listed in the above illustration of the grid view: LATech vs Arkansas

Let’s go column by column to understand what everything means in the grid view. Acc Sim% simply lists AccuScore’s simulation calculations, which list Arkansas as an 88% favorite. Conversely, Louisiana Tech only won 11% of simulations. That’s easy enough.

Odds% is AccuScore converting the public odds into a percentage. Before you freak out and think something is wrong, the percentage is over 100% because bookies add a bit of juice to their end. While we removed that juice in the past and converted odds to be out of 100%, leaving the juice in actually allows for a clearer look at true side value because it doesn’t arbitrarily push down Vegas’ odds as a percentage.

In this case, Vegas oddsmakers are saying there is a 97.22% chance of Arkansas winning and only a 5.69% chance of LATech winning. Looking at it side-by-side with AccuScore’s Sim%, the side value is clearly on LATech.

The next column is “PS” and “ACC PS.” The top number is the point spread set by bookmakers, which is Arkansas -25. Below it, AccuScore lists the point spread line we believe it should be: Arkansas -21. Since Vegas is overinflating Arkansas, the point spread pick is Louisiana Tech.

Next, we have the “OU” and “Acc OU” column. Similar to the last column, the first number (52) is the Over/Under line set by Vegas oddsmakers. The number below it is the Over/Under line AccuScore calculated. Since AccuScore’s line is higher than the public odds, the pick is the OVER.

The final three columns are ML, SV, and Total, and all of them simply list the star-rated picks. As the season continues, we will have more trends and 3 and 4-star picks. Using the arrows, members can sort games by star-ratings and instantly find all games offering 4-star totals picks.

Note: AccuScore still offers the ability to change lines and change spreads by clicking on the team names in the grid view. Also, you can see written previews for every game, top trends and player projections.

Today’s Free Sports Predictions

Date Team Acc Sim% Odds% PS OU
Acc OU
ML SV Total
2024-07-13 13:10:00 13/07
13:10 AM
LAD
DET
63.8
36.2
36.2
63.8
LAD 0 N/A
8

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What is Accuscore?


Accuscore provides predictive analytics on sports, based on the company’s own algorithmic simulation engine which has been under constant development for almost two decades. Sports predictions are an outcome of simulations in which individual games are simulated for thousands of times in order to arrive to the most likely results. These results are then used to create analytical predictions, content and advice for bettors, pundits or any stakeholders in the industry or media field. For the individual US users, Accuscore’s predictions can be accessed through subscription to BetQL.

The Accuscore simulation engine uses the relevant historical data of the players, teams and leagues to predict the outcomes of the games before they have started. The simulation results are based on the individual player performances and weighted according to the teams’ form, opponent and other circumstances that have been proven relevant to the outcome of the match. We have managed to filter out the unnecessary data-points by determining which are important and which are not – this has taken several hundreds of thousands of simulations, cross-references and comparisons of simulation results to actual outcomes.

Accuscore aims to provide independent, unbiased and objective sports predictions for all the customers. We strive to be transparent and all our simulations results are available in the archives. Throughout the years Accuscore has worked with several betting companies, for example Pinnacle and Coolbet, media houses such as Telia and Sporing News, sports teams and leagues, and of course individuals through our subscription service.

Our capabilities include tailoring the sports predictions service to any B2B need with different licensing models, revenue sharing programs or affiliate markets. We can package content based on the simulations in several different ways, which can include automated widgets, unique articles, videos or pure numbers from a feed – whatever suits your needs!

Which sports does Accuscore cover?

Currently Accuscore provides detailed sports predictions for most of the popular sports and leagues in the World. The current offering includes:
  • American Football: NFL and College Football
  • Basketball: NBA and College Basketball
  • Baseball: MLB baseball
  • Ice Hockey: NHL, Finnish Liiga, Swedish SHL and World Championships
  • Football (soccer) leagues:
    • Champions League
    • English Premier League
    • Spanish La Liga
    • Italian Serie A
    • German Bundesliga
    • French Ligue 1
    • Scottish Premier League
    • Portuguese Liga
    • Netherlands Eredivisie
    • Mexican Liga MX
    • North-American MLS
    • Chinese Super League
    • English Championship, League One and League Two
    • Major international tournaments: World Cup, Euro, Copa America

Accuscore’s newly implemented model for eSports is currently in its testing phase and the CSGO (Counter Strike: Global Offensive) sports predictions can be found from our sister site.

We also have capability to add leagues on request and provide unique, tailor-made service.

How to use Accuscore sports predictions?

Accuscore’s simulations provide various advantages for both businesses and individuals. The simulations are based on a sovereign algorithmic system and all the simulations are always ran the exact same way. The only variables are the data inputs which the simulation engine then uses to create the sports predictions according to the algorithmic model. The model has a proven track record and for example the NFL picks have provided constant profit over the years.

The simulations provide probabilities for the outcomes of the games which include – depending of the sport – for example the most likely final result, the amount of goals or points and player performances. These sport predictions can be compared to odds in order to make a more educated betting decision or they can be used to support, oppose or adjust ones view on the betting market.

For businesses the sports predictions provide an opportunity to use original content in various forms which can be modified to suit any need, for example: providing more information to customers, attracting traffic or users, as unique content to publish or for other marketing purposes such as short videos for social media. We are happy to tailor our service for each B2B customer.

How to join Accuscore and secure the best sports predictions?

The best way to start using the Accuscore sports predictions is to subscribe to our service which includes a free seven-day trial period. Subscription allows access to all the sports predictions, historical archives and articles. If you are not happy with the service, you can cancel the subscription within the seven-day period with no cost.

We are also providing a daily free preview on the Accuscore site, so be sure to check back regularly to catch the prediction for the oncoming game. Occasionally we are also providing picks from our experts, based on the simulations. The picks can be found from our free expert picks page.

For any B2B needs, feel free to contact us through customer service or look us up at LinkedIn or Facebook!

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