Written by Rohit Ghosh
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No. 17 Utah vs No. 4 Washington
The Pac-12 features one of, if not, the best matchup of the weekend when No. 17 Utah hosts No. 4 Washington. With a win, the Utes remain first place in the South and stay in position to knock Washington from the top of the Pac-12. For the Huskies, all eyes are on the College Football Playoff and a win Saturday makes that lofty goal a manageable reality.
Washington's listed as an 11-point road favorite, with the total set at 53. There's been practically no movement since these lines opened, with the total going up just a half point from where it opened.
What to Watch For
This matchup comes down to whether or not Utah can contain Washington QB Jake Browning. Based on how he's played recently, the forecast doesn't look so bright for the Utes defense.
Heading into Saturday's matchup, Browning has completed nearly 69 percent of his passes, recording just two INTs to go along with his 26 TDs.
In the past two weeks, he's put together some ridiculous performances - combining for 12 TDs and no INTs for a team that's averaging over 48 points per contest.
Utah RB Joe Williams came out of retirement two games ago, dominating UCLA last week with 332 yards. He'll be relied on heavily to keep this game within striking distance for the Utes.
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AccuScore simulation data actually has Washington listed as 13-point favorites, suggesting even more value on the road favorite.
The value pick on this matchup, though, is on the total. AccuScore's data has it listed about 3 points higher than Vegas does, indicating quite a bit of value on the OVER.
The total combined score goes OVER 53 in about 56 percent of simulated matchups, a four-star (out of four) AccuScore hot trend.
- Going back to last season, The Utes are 9-1 straight up (SU) in their last 10 games.
- The total has gone OVER in 4 of the Huskies' last 5 games on the road.
- The total has gone OVER in 9 of the Huskies' last 10 games going back to last season.
- Washington is 8-3 ATS in its last 11 games on the road.