USC vs Arizona: College Football Analyst Pick

Written by Rohit Ghosh
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USC at Arizona: Odds, Preview & Analyst Pick

ESPN features an intriguing Pac-12 matchup Saturday night in Los Angeles as the USC Trojans host the Arizona Wildcats. Arizona heads into the matchup with plenty of momentum, winning four in a row including a victory -- in which they put up 58 points -- last week over a ranked Washington State

Vegas Odds
The spread dropped a point since opening at -8, but it's the total that's seen some heavy action. The total shot up about 4-to-4.5 points since opening at 72.

Betting Line: USC -7
Total: 76.5

Betting Trends
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Arizona's last 6 games.
USC is 5-0 straight up (SU) in its last 5 games at home.
USC is 4-1 against the spread (ATS) in its last 5 games after allowing less than 100 yards rushing in their previous game.
USC is 4-1 ATS in its last five games following a straight up win of more than 20 points.

All Expert Picks for Saturday's big and small College Football games: AccuScore's College Football Picks

What to Watch For
-USC is coming off a 48-17 win over Arizona State -- a game in which they finished with 607 total yards. Sam Darnold finished with 266 passing yards, 3 TDs and 0 INTs.

-Darnold is projected to finish with 336 yards and 3 TDs. He averages 0.7 INTs per sim.

-Darnold's favorite target last week was WR Tyler Vaughns who finished with 126 receiving yards and two TDs.

-Vaughns is projected to finish with 69 yards on 5 receptions. He averages 0.6 TDs per sim.

Analyst's Pick

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USC vs Stanford: Analyst Preview/Pick

Written by Rohit Ghosh
Follow @rohitghosh on Twitter

AccuScore is 4-0 on ranted teams facing off in Week 1 picks ATS & Totals...All of AccuScore’s latest College Football picks

USC vs Stanford: Pac-12 Analyst Pick

No. 6 USC hosts the no. 14 Stanford Cardinal this Saturday with the Trojans listed as 6.5-point favorites and the total at 54.5.

Stanford has competed well against USC in recent momeory, having won seven of the last nine meetings between the two sides. Stanford's also covered the spread in six of the last seven matchups at the Coliseum.

What to Watch For

Keep an eye on Cardinal RB Bryce Love. He averaged over five yards a carry in last year's matchup with USC, and will have the backfield to himself this time around with Christian McCaffrey in the NFL. Love finished with 180 yards on just 13 carries against Rice in Week 1.

Love is projected to finish with 144 yards on 19 carries and 1 TD. He averages 0.7 TDs per sim. In simulated matchups where Love finished with better-than-average rushing yards and 1 or more rushing TDs, Stanford improves its winning probability from 44 percent to 59 percent.

Vegas Odds vs AccuScore Data

No hot trend alerts here, but AccuScore sim data definitely provides a whole lot more value on the road team than do Vegas odds. At the time of publication, the Trojans are laying 6.5 points; AccuScore sim data, however, has USC favored by just 3 points, a 3.5-point differential between the Vegas odds and sim data.

Stanford's listed at +210 on the money line, indicating a 32 percent chance of happening. AccuScore sim data has Stanford winning about 44 percent of sims; the data would have listed the Cardinal at about +125 on the money line, indicating quite a bit of value on the +210.

Betting Trends
• The OVER is 4-1 in Cardinal last 5 games overall.
• Stanford is 6-1 against the spread (ATS) in its last seven games in September.
• Stanford is 5-1 ATS in its last six road games.
• USC is 2-6 ATS in its last eight games after accumulating more than 450 total yards in their previous game.

Analyst's Pick

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USC vs UCLA: Odds, Preview, Pick

Written by Rohit Ghosh
Follow @rohitghosh on Twitter

USC vs UCLA: Rivalry Week Analyst Pick

It's rivalry week and we've got a fun Pac-12 matchup in LA featuring two of the best QBs in the nation as USC hosts UCLA at the LA Memorial Coliseum. The Trojans dominated last year's matchup 36-14 as they dominated the time of possession (43:47).

Vegas Odds
There has been very little movement on the spread or total since they opened earlier this week. The Trojans opened at 15-point favorites before settling in a half-point higher.

Betting Line: USC -15.5
Total: 71.5

At the time of publication, about 61 percent of the public was laying the points at home and taking USC. 73 percent of the wagers on the total have been on the OVER.

Projections, previews and expert picks for every big and medium sized game during rivalry week: AccuScore's College Football picks

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Betting Trends

• The total has gone OVER in seven of UCLA's last 10 games.
• The total has gone OVER in four of USC's last five games.
• USC is 2-4 against the spread (ATS) in its last six games at home.

What to Watch For
Since putting up just 14 points against Notre Dame, the USC offense has gotten back on track averaging 45 points and 590 yards of offense over their last three matchups. The Trojans' offense goes as QB Sam Darnold does and he'll look to make a statement against a rival who features a QB that just might be picked ahead of himself in next year's NFL Draft.

Darnold is projected to finish with 320 yards, 3 TDs and 1 INT.

UCLA heads into this matchup coming off a 44-37 win over Arizona State. Although their defense giving up 37 points is somewhat concerning, the offense was firing on all cylinders with QB Josh Rosen. He has been great at home this year, but on-and-off on the road. This is in LA, but still a road game. He enters this matchup with 8 TDs and 7 INTs on the road this year (four games).

Rosen is projected to finish with 308 yards, 2 TDs and 1 INT.

Analyst's Pick

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