• Kentucky vs. UCLA: Sweet 16 Pick

    Written by Rohit Ghosh

    Follow @rohitghosh on Twitter

    Kentucky vs UCLA: Sweet 16 Picks

    2017 NCAA Tournament - Kentucky vs UCLA
    Top Trend: All Totals Picks entering Sweet 16 - 33-15, 69% + 1650

    If there's one thing we're sure to get in Friday's marquee UCLA-Kentucky matchup, it's offense and plenty of it. Both teams will get up and down the floor, with UCLA and Kentucky rankings as the No. 1 and No. 8 best scoring offenses in the nation, respectively. On the other side, neither are even in the top-100 in scoring defense.

    At the time of publication, the line's moving back-and-forth between a pick 'em and the Bruins as a one-point favorite. The Bruins are getting the majority of the public bets, hovering around 65 percent. Also, bettors are saying this game will stay UNDER the posted total line of 168, with 52 percent of the public taking the UNDER.

    Betting Trends

    • Kentucky is on a 13-game winning streak but has covered just 5 spreads in that span.
    • UCLA is 12-1 overall in its 13 games, but has covered just 5 spreads in that span.
    • Kentucky is 9-3 SU in its last 12 games against the Pac-12.
    • The total has gone OVER in 6 of UCLA’s last 8 Friday games These two sides met earlier in the season when the Bruins ended the Wildcats' 42-game home winning streak with a 97-92 performance that saw UCLA guard Lonzo Ball finish with 14 points and seven assists. Big man TJ Leaf chipped in with 17 points and 13 rebounds as UCLA shot 53 percent from the field.

    AccuScore has a four-star picks against the spread and sees SIGNIFICANT value on the moneyline odds in this game. See AccuScore’s Picks for UCLA vs Kentucky

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    Final Word

    The fact of the matter is that UK won't miss another nine free throws like it did last time around. Calipari will have his team ready to stay within a possession, at the worst, in what's largely a revenge game.

    Either way, there's very little chance the total score doesn't get pushed up. The safest bet might be the OVER.

  • PAC 12 Football Predictions: College Football 2018 Previews

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    College Football Previews 2018: PAC 12 Predictions

    Written by Rohit Ghosh

    The Winner: : AccuScore sim data projects Washington to sit atop the Pac 12 this season, averaging 10-to-11 wins in simulations. They have a tough opener vs Auburn and some potentially problematic road matchups with Utah, UCLA, Oregon and Washington State, but they should still play well enough to win the conference easily.

    The OVER: : No one is expecting Herm Edwards to turn things around right away for the Sun Devils, but AccuScore sims do suggest Arizona State finish with more than five wins this season. They average 5.5 wins in AccuScore sims.

    All of AccuScore's College Football Expert Picks
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    The UNDER:: The best bet for the UNDER in the Pac-12 is Stanford (8.5 wins). AccuScore sim data projects the Cardinal win fewer than eight games this year. They have a tough conference, hit the road for a matchup with Notre Dame, not to mention an opener with the under-rated San Diego State.

    Stay Away:: Most media outlets are expecting UCLA to hit the OVER on 5/5.5 wins, considering Chip Kelly's track record. He's not returning to the spotlight to lose seven-plus games, right? It will probably come down to the games vs Utah and Oregon, but AccuScore sim data suggests a lean on the UNDER for the Bruins. The road matchup vs Oklahoma doesn't help either, at least in the simulations.

    Other Previews:
    ACC Football Preview
    Big 10 Football Preview
    Big 12 Football Preview
    SEC Football Preview

  • South Region: NCAA Tournament Bracketology 2017

    Written by Rohit Ghosh

    Follow @rohitghosh on Twitter

    2017 NCAA Tournament Bracketology: South Region

    Odds to Win South Region

    North Carolina 5/4
    Kentucky 11/4
    UCLA 5/1
    Butler 10/1
    Wichita State 10/1
    Cincinnati 14/1
    Dayton 28/1
    Minnesota U 28/1
    Middle Tennessee St 40/1
    Arkansas 50/1
    Seton Hall 50/1
    Wake Forest 75/1
    Kansas State 100/1
    Kent State 200/1
    Northern Kentucky 200/1
    Texas Southern 200/1
    Winthrop 200/1

    2017 NCAA Tournament  - South Region
    Click on the image above to simulate your own bracket

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    Deserving of the Nod?

    Not everyone agrees on UNC getting the No. 1 seed, having lost to Duke two-of-three times this season. With 11 top-50 wins this season tho, it was tough for voters to shy away.

    If you don't agree with AccuScore's upset pick of Middle Tenn. over UNC in the Elite 8, the Tar Heels just might deserve a lot more Final Four-related discussion than the sim data suggests.

    Upset Alert, or Not

    When the bracket was set, there was some notable action on No. 13 Winthrop taking it over No. 4 Butler. It's the highest the Bulldogs have ever been seeded and the public seems to disagree. AccuScore sim data, however, would go with the seeded-favorite in this first-round matchup.

    Players to Watch

    With UCLA in the field, we already know Lonzo Ball will garner more than enough attention. At 6'6", the freshman guard has made a name for himself and will look to catapult that legacy to the pro level with his play in the tourney.

    Beyond the hype, though, most hoops fans know not to overlook Kentucky's Malik Monk in this region. Averaging nearly 21 points per game, watch for Monk to try and lead his No. 2-seeded UK squad to the Final Four.

    Value Pick & Final Word

    If you're scowering the bracket looking for value picks -- either to reach the Final Four or win the tourney -- look no further than the South region.

    At 40:1 odds, Middle Tennessee provides some hidden value -- a lot for a little. What's hidden though is the fact that while it has a 40:1 chance to win the region, it -- by far -- has the best odds for a No. 12 seed to win the tourney at 250:1. Nevada and Princeton are at 500:1, while NC Wilmington is at 1000:1.

    AccuScore data has Middle Tennessee reaching the Elite 8 for a matchup against the UCLA Bruins.

    AccuScore’s Bracketology Previews
    West Region
    Midwest Region

  • USC vs UCLA: Odds, Preview, Pick

    Written by Rohit Ghosh
    Follow @rohitghosh on Twitter

    USC vs UCLA: Rivalry Week Analyst Pick

    It's rivalry week and we've got a fun Pac-12 matchup in LA featuring two of the best QBs in the nation as USC hosts UCLA at the LA Memorial Coliseum. The Trojans dominated last year's matchup 36-14 as they dominated the time of possession (43:47).

    USC vs UCLA 2017

    Vegas Odds
    There has been very little movement on the spread or total since they opened earlier this week. The Trojans opened at 15-point favorites before settling in a half-point higher.

    Betting Line: USC -15.5
    Total: 71.5

    At the time of publication, about 61 percent of the public was laying the points at home and taking USC. 73 percent of the wagers on the total have been on the OVER.

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    Betting Trends


    • The total has gone OVER in seven of UCLA's last 10 games.
    • The total has gone OVER in four of USC's last five games.
    • USC is 2-4 against the spread (ATS) in its last six games at home.

    What to Watch For
    Since putting up just 14 points against Notre Dame, the USC offense has gotten back on track averaging 45 points and 590 yards of offense over their last three matchups. The Trojans' offense goes as QB Sam Darnold does and he'll look to make a statement against a rival who features a QB that just might be picked ahead of himself in next year's NFL Draft.

    Darnold is projected to finish with 320 yards, 3 TDs and 1 INT.

    UCLA heads into this matchup coming off a 44-37 win over Arizona State. Although their defense giving up 37 points is somewhat concerning, the offense was firing on all cylinders with QB Josh Rosen. He has been great at home this year, but on-and-off on the road. This is in LA, but still a road game. He enters this matchup with 8 TDs and 7 INTs on the road this year (four games).

    Rosen is projected to finish with 308 yards, 2 TDs and 1 INT.

    Analyst's Pick

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