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College Football Previews 2018: ACC
For the 2018 College Football season, AccuScore has a series of quick-hit conference previews that will be released daily. The series starts with the ACC
The Winner: Does anyone really expect anyone other than Clemson to sit atop the ACC when it's all said and done? They've lost just two regular games in the last three years. They do have a few tough road matchups this year vs Florida State and Texas A&M, so AccuScore data would suggest staying away from an OVER/UNDER pick here. Sim data has Clemson winning 10.5 games.
The OVER: Louisville averages close to 8.5 wins on average in AccuScore sims, suggesting an pick on the OVER (7). They have a tough start to the season with Alabama early, and a trip to Clemson, but they get the favorable schedule of getting both NC State and Florida State at home.
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The UNDER: There's a fairly large discrepancy between the projected win total for NC State (7.5) and AccuScore simulations. The Wolfpack average just 4.6 wins, suggesting quite a bit of value on the pick. They don't have too difficult of a start to the season, but the September 15 matchup vs West Virginia should help to dictate how their season pans out. AccuScore sims project a 43-23 loss for NC State that day.
All of AccuScore's College Football Picks
Stay Away: With the total set at 5.5 for Pittsburgh, the OVER seems like the gut reaction. They should be able to get 6 wins, right? Their schedule worries us this year, with road matchups vs Central Florida and Penn State that can go either way. They're 8-8 in ACC play in the last two years, and with games vs Syracuse and Wake Forest this year, there's just no guarantee. Pitt wins closer to five or six games according to AccuScore simulations.