NFL Analyst Pick: Miami Dolphins at Carolina Panthers

Written by Rohit Ghosh
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Miami Dolphins at Carolina Panthers: Analyst Pick

Week 10 of the NFL wraps up at Bank of America stadium as the Carolina Panthers host the Miami Dolphins. The Dolphins head into the matchup after two straight losses -- against the Ravens and Raiders -- while the Panthers enter MNF after two straight wins over the Buccaneers and Falcons.

Vegas Odds
Carolina opened up as 10-point favorites before settling at -9. The total dropped to 38/38.5 after opening at 39.5.

Betting Line: Carolina Panthers -9
Total: 38 / 38.5

At the time of publication, about 54 percent of the public was laying the points and taking the Dolphins. 61 percent of the wagers on the total have been on the OVER.

Betting Trends
-The Dolphins are 5-0 against the spread (ATS) in its last five games when playing Carolina.
-The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Miami's last 5 games when playing Carolina.

All of AccuScore's Monday Night Picks & Projections: All of AccuScore's NFL Picks

What to Watch For
Following RB Jay Ajayi's trade to Philadelphia, Kenyan Drake and Damien Williams shared the load to combined for 86 yards and no TDs in Week 9. Miami has yet to score a rushing TD this entire season.

Drake is projected to finish with 51 yards on 4 carries -- averaging 0.4 TDs per sim. Williams is projected to finish with 25 yards on 6 carries -- averaging 0.2 TDs per sim. Even both of them combined don't provide much confidence in the Dolphins scoring on the ground this week.

17 has been the magic number for Carolina over the past few weeks, with three straight opponents scoring exactly that.

The Dolphins are projected to score 16 points Monday night.

Analyst's Pick
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NFL MNF: Bears vs Vikings Analyst Preview & Picks

Written by Rohit Ghosh
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NFL Monday - Vikings at Bears: Analyst Preview

Week 5 in the NFL comes to a wrap with the Chicago Bears hosting the Minnesota Vikings as 2.5-point home underdogs and the total set at 39.5.

Vegas Odds

There hasn't been a whole lot of movement on the line or the total since they opened -- both dropping about a half point. Considering the lack of offensive talent in this matchup, expect the total to keep dropping through the weekend.

Against the spread, Over/Under and Moneyline picks + Player projections: NFL MNF Picks

The status of Vikings QB Sam Bradford is still up in the air -- listed as questionable at the start of the weekend. Bradford did say he was "feeling better" Friday, but the Vikings' coaching staff has yet to make an official decision on Bradford vs Case Keenum for Monday.

Betting on the Total
• The total has gone UNDER in eight of the Vikings' last 12 games on the road.
• The total has gone UNDER in four of the Vikings' last five games when playing on the road against the Bears.

What to Watch For

Rookie Mitchell Trubisky will make his first start for the Bears Monday night. The main issue for him will be a complete lack of weapons downfield -- losing multiple WRs to injuries already. Trubiski had a 30-to-6 TD-to-INT ratio at UNC last year, and he'll rely on the Bears' ground attack to help him transition properly. Chicago's ground attack is averaging 4.6 yards per carry this season, behind the likes of Jordan Howard and Tarik Cohen.

Trubisky is projected to finish with 132 passing yards. He averages almost as many INTs (0.5) as TDs (0.6) per simulated matchup.

Howard is projected to lead the Bears in rushing yards, but Cohen has a slightly higher probability of finding the end zone.

Keenum is in the sims for the Vikings, and the QB's matchup against Bears CB Kyle Fuller will determine much of the game. In three games this season, Keenum actually rankings No. 9 in the league in terms of passer rating. Fuller is the fifth-most targeted CB this season. He hasn't given up a TD yet, though.

Keenum averages 178 passing yards, and has the same probability of an INT as a TD.

Analyst's Pick

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NFL Sunday: New York Giants vs LA Rams - Analyst Pick

Written by Rohit Ghosh
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New York Giants vs LA Rams: Analyst Preview & Pick

The New York Giants (1-6) host the Los Angeles Rams (5-2) at MetLife Stadium as the offense finally gets some good news with the return of of WR Sterling Shepard. The Rams have been firing on all cylinders this season, but are 0-7 in their last seven matchups against the Giants.

Vegas Odds
This game saw a good amount of action earlier in the week, with the public already moving the spread and total. The Rams opened as 3-to-3.5-point favorites, but the spread quickly moved up to -4.5.

Spread Odds: Los Angeles Rams -4.5
Total Line: 42

At the time of publication, about 66 percent of the public was laying the points and taking the Rams. 61 percent of the wagers on the total have been on the OVER.

Betting Trends
-The total has gone UNDER in 14 of the Rams' last 21 games on the road.
-The Rams are 0-5 straight up (SU) and against the spread (ATS) in their last five games against the Giants.
-The Rams are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games on the road against the Giants.

What to Watch For

Top AccuScore Trends: Week 9
- All NFL Picks vs the Spread: 64-47-8 +1,240
- All Side Value Picks: 64-51 +2160
- All Totals Picks: 65-48-6 +1220
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AccuScore has picks for all of Sunday's games, including a free forecast with projections and picks:
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Giants QB Eli Manning has struggled all year, but it's tough to put all the blame on him given the injuries to his weapons. Still, the boo birds have been flying all season, some critics even pushing for his retirement. His numbers, though, have been about average compared to other QBs -- passing for 1600 yards, 10 TDs and 5 INTs heading into this week's matchup. Last week against the Seattle Seahawks Manning passed for 139 yards, completing 19 of 39 pass attempts, and 1 TD in a 24-7 loss.

Manning is projected to finish Sunday's game with 264 passing yards and 1 TD. He averages twice has many TDs per sim -- 1.3 -- as he does INTs -- 0.6.

On the opposite side of the 1-6 Giants, we've got a 5-2 Rams team that's been seemingly improving on a weekly basis. The team's only glaring weakness has been defending against the run, giving up 123 rushing yards per game.

NY running backs Paul Perkins, Orleans Darkwa, and Shane Vereen are projected to finish with a combined 109.3 yards and 1 TD against the Rams.

Analyst's Pick
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{plus} Analyst Pick:: Giants cover at home -- and have potential for a money line pick too.

The Rams are 0-5 ATS vs teams with a losing record; the Giants are 5-0 ATS in their last five home games vs a team with a winning road record.{/pluis}

NFL Thanksgiving 2017: Odds, Preview & Analyst Picks

Written by Rohit Ghosh
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NFL Thanksgiving 2017: Vikings at Lions

We've got a fun, competitive matchup to kick off Thanksgiving Thursday as the Minnesota Vikings -- fresh off a convincing 24-7 win over the LA Rams -- host the Detroit Lions in a matchup that has some direct implications to the playoff picture. The Lions, known for always playing on Thanksgiving day, have won their last four matchups on this holiday, including a 16-13 win over Minnesota last season.

Vegas Odds
The game actually opened as a pick 'em before the Vikings settled in as 3-point favorites. The total hasn't seen much movement since opening at 45.5.

All Thanksgiving Day NFL Picks: Click Here for All of AccuScore's Week 7 NFL Picks

Betting Line: Minnesota Vikings -3
Total: 45

At the time of publication, about 60 percent of the public were laying the points on the road and taking Minny.

65 percent of the wagers on the total have been on the OVER.

Betting Trends
• The total has gone UNDER in seven of the Vikings' last eight games vs the Lions.
• The Vikings are 2-5 straight up (SU) in their last seven games on the road vs the Lions.
• The total has gone UNDER in seven of the Vikings' last 10 games on the road vs the Lions.

What to Watch For

These two sides played back in Week 4 when the Lions won 14-7 in a matchup that featured some solid defense. The Vikings ended up turning the ball over three times in that game -- resulting in 11 points for Detroit.

The Lions are projected to have 1 takeaway Thursday, with a slightly higher probability of a pick than a recovered fumble.

We've got one team that's absolutely rolling, and another that's still in the thick of things. So why does AccuScore think the Lions have a good chance at pulling off the upset this week?

A lot of this comes down to some recent streaks. The Lions have beaten the Vikings three straight times and Detroit has won four straight on Thanksgiving. The Lions also have covered the spread in five straight Thanksgiving games. Add in the fact that they're on a three-game winning streak, and the momentum just adds more confidence to the pick.

Analyst's Pick
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Pittsburgh at Georgia Tech Expert Pick

Written by Rohit Ghosh
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College Football - Pittsburgh @ Georgia Tech

Free AccuScore Forecast of the Week

Georgia Tech hosts Pittsburgh this Saturday as 9.5-point favorites, with the total set at 56. The Yellow Jackets heads into the matchup well rested after last week's game at University of Central Florida was cancelled due to Hurricane Irma. Georgia Tech has come up short the last two times these two sides met.

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What to Watch For

Pittsburgh's No. 1 weapon in this matchup is Georgia Tech's proclivity to turn the ball over. Georgia Tech -- this season -- has recorded six fumbles in two games. They recover the majority of their own fumbles, but the lack of discipline leaves the door open for the opponent week in and week out.

The Pittsburgh defense averages fewer than one forced turnover per sim in this matchup.

Betting Trends
• Pittsburgh is 0-3-1 ATS in its last four games following a straight up (SU) loss of 20 points or more.
• The OVER is 8-0 in Pittsburgh's last eight conference games.
• Panthers are 0-4-1 ATS in their last 5 games overall.
• Georgia Tech is 6-0 ATS in its last 6 games on grass.
• Georgia Tech is 4-0 ATS in its last 4 games following a ATS win.

Analyst's Pick

The line opened a couple points lower at -7.5 for Georgia Tech. If you got it then, the data suggests laying the points and taking the home side. Georgia Tech covers a 7.5-point spread in about 52-to-53 percent of simulated matchups, on par with the odds offered in Vegas on them to cover.

Simply put, there's not a whole lot of value picking against the spread (ATS) this matchup.

The total opened at 59 before settling a few points lower at 56. The sim data actually had the total a whole 5 points above the total listed in Vegas, indicating a pick on the OVER. The OVER is a 1-star (out of four) AccuScore hot trend.

The total combined score goes OVER 56 in 60 percent of simulated matchups.

If you got the line when it opened, lay the points and take the OVER. If the line is closer to 9.5, stay away and just take the OVER.

USC vs Arizona: College Football Analyst Pick

Written by Rohit Ghosh
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USC at Arizona: Odds, Preview & Analyst Pick

ESPN features an intriguing Pac-12 matchup Saturday night in Los Angeles as the USC Trojans host the Arizona Wildcats. Arizona heads into the matchup with plenty of momentum, winning four in a row including a victory -- in which they put up 58 points -- last week over a ranked Washington State

Vegas Odds
The spread dropped a point since opening at -8, but it's the total that's seen some heavy action. The total shot up about 4-to-4.5 points since opening at 72.

Betting Line: USC -7
Total: 76.5

Betting Trends
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Arizona's last 6 games.
USC is 5-0 straight up (SU) in its last 5 games at home.
USC is 4-1 against the spread (ATS) in its last 5 games after allowing less than 100 yards rushing in their previous game.
USC is 4-1 ATS in its last five games following a straight up win of more than 20 points.

All Expert Picks for Saturday's big and small College Football games: AccuScore's College Football Picks

What to Watch For
-USC is coming off a 48-17 win over Arizona State -- a game in which they finished with 607 total yards. Sam Darnold finished with 266 passing yards, 3 TDs and 0 INTs.

-Darnold is projected to finish with 336 yards and 3 TDs. He averages 0.7 INTs per sim.

-Darnold's favorite target last week was WR Tyler Vaughns who finished with 126 receiving yards and two TDs.

-Vaughns is projected to finish with 69 yards on 5 receptions. He averages 0.6 TDs per sim.

Analyst's Pick

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