Written by Rohit Ghosh
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College Football - Pittsburgh @ Georgia Tech
Free AccuScore Forecast of the Week
Georgia Tech hosts Pittsburgh this Saturday as 9.5-point favorites, with the total set at 56. The Yellow Jackets heads into the matchup well rested after last week's game at University of Central Florida was cancelled due to Hurricane Irma. Georgia Tech has come up short the last two times these two sides met.
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What to Watch For
Pittsburgh's No. 1 weapon in this matchup is Georgia Tech's proclivity to turn the ball over. Georgia Tech -- this season -- has recorded six fumbles in two games. They recover the majority of their own fumbles, but the lack of discipline leaves the door open for the opponent week in and week out.
The Pittsburgh defense averages fewer than one forced turnover per sim in this matchup.
Betting Trends
• Pittsburgh is 0-3-1 ATS in its last four games following a straight up (SU) loss of 20 points or more.
• The OVER is 8-0 in Pittsburgh's last eight conference games.
• Panthers are 0-4-1 ATS in their last 5 games overall.
• Georgia Tech is 6-0 ATS in its last 6 games on grass.
• Georgia Tech is 4-0 ATS in its last 4 games following a ATS win.
Analyst's Pick
The line opened a couple points lower at -7.5 for Georgia Tech. If you got it then, the data suggests laying the points and taking the home side. Georgia Tech covers a 7.5-point spread in about 52-to-53 percent of simulated matchups, on par with the odds offered in Vegas on them to cover.
Simply put, there's not a whole lot of value picking against the spread (ATS) this matchup.
The total opened at 59 before settling a few points lower at 56. The sim data actually had the total a whole 5 points above the total listed in Vegas, indicating a pick on the OVER. The OVER is a 1-star (out of four) AccuScore hot trend.
The total combined score goes OVER 56 in 60 percent of simulated matchups.
If you got the line when it opened, lay the points and take the OVER. If the line is closer to 9.5, stay away and just take the OVER.
