• Green Bay Packers Season Preview

    - By Brandon Barbour

    After a controversial draft that saw the Green Bay Packers spend their top draft selection on Aaron Rodgers’ replacement, many are wondering what to expect from the Wisconsin team in 2020. They made a run to the NFC Championship game and were whacked by the San Francisco 49ers (37-20) for the second time over the entire season.

    Green Bay’s defense was above-average in 2019. They allowed the ninth-fewest points per contest (19.6), despite allowing the 15th-most yards per game (352.6). Their 25 takeaways tied for the seventh-most in the league. The defense wasn’t an issue last season and they won’t be in 2020, as the majority of this defense is returning. The Packers played pretty well on both sides of the ball which made them one of top NFL picks ATS for last year. The Pack finished the season 11-7 against the spread, which made them #6 overall at covering NFL point spreads.

    The Packers lost Geronimo Allison to the Detroit Lions in the offseason and added Devin Funchess from the Carolina Panthers. It’s unclear where Funchess stacks up on their depth chart, but he will run with Davante Adams, Marquez Valdez-Scantling, and Allen Lazard. This is an area that most thought the Packers would spend a draft pick on upgrading, but instead, they added a tight end and a running back.

    The Packers selected A.J. Dillon in the second round of the draft, a nice compliment to Aaron Jones. Dillon should take over as the goal line and between the tackle rusher and kick Jamaal Williams down a notch. This is an indication that the team is ready to pound the rock in 2020. Green Bay was in the middle of the pack in pass percentage last year (59.81 percent of plays), so expect that number to decline a bit. Jones posted the fourth-best DYAR among running backs last season.

    The Green Bay offense posted 23.5 points per game last season, good for 15th-most in the NFL. This is why fans expected the club to spend on a wide out in a draft that was wealthy in that department. Sure, the Packers won 13 games and their division last season; however, they won eight of those games by one score or less.

    Rodgers can only do so much. He still managed the eighth-best DYAR among quarterbacks last season. He only threw four interceptions on 569 pass attempts, partly because he throws it away often and doesn’t take unnecessary risks. The offense may need to take more of those risks in 2020.

    The Packers draw a schedule that’s smack dab in the middle as far as strength of schedule goes. They’ll play the entire NFC South this season, the Houston Texans, Indianapolis Colts, San Francisco 49ers, Philadelphia Eagles, Tennessee Titans, etc. Unfortunately, it just seems implausible that the Packers will reach 13 wins again. The Packers swept their division last season, so don’t expect a repeat 6-0 against the NFC North again.

    The Minnesota Vikings are hot on their tail and looking for a rebound season. They’ll compete for the division in a major way with the Packers. As mentioned, the Packers won a ton of close games in 2019. Can this possibly continue moving forward? The challenges that await the Packers are the same ones from last season. How will they put up enough points to make a Super Bowl run? Will their offense be enough to get them back into the postseason?

    There aren’t many teams in 2020 that have as many question marks as the Packers do. It’s unclear what their end result will be, but we can think of a few possibilities, all varying from one extreme to the other. The uncertainty revolving around the Packers is alarming. We’ll have to wait and see what coach Matt LaFleur and company have in store for 2020.

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  • NFL MNF: Falcons at Buccaneers - Analyst Preview & Picks

    Written by Rohit Ghosh
    Follow @rohitghosh on Twitter

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    NFL Monday Night Picks: Falcons vs Bucs

    Week 15 in the NFL wraps up Monday night in Tampa Bay as the Buccaneers host the Atlanta Falcons in a matchup that's projecting to be fairly high-scoring, with only one other game on the week's slate having a higher total listed in Vegas (Patriots-Steelers with a total set at 54.5).

    Vegas Odds

    The Falcons opened up at 4-point favorites before some heavy public action pushed it up to -6.5 in most books; the total creeped up from 47.5 to 49.

    Betting Line: Atlanta Falcons -6.5
    Total: 49

    At the time of publication, 65 percent of the public were laying the points and taking the Falcons.

    63-plus percent of the action on the total has been on the OVER.

    Betting Trends

    - The Falcons are 4-1 against the spread (ATS) in their last five games.
    The Falcons are 6-2 straight up (SU) in their last eight road games.
    -The total has gone OVER in six of the Falcons' last nine games vs the Bucs.

    What to Watch For

    NFC South: The fate of the NFC South is yet to be decided with three teams still having a chance at the playoffs. The Falcons, heading into the matchup having won four of their last five, will treat this as a must-win. Tevin Coleman suffered a concussion last week and he's the only big-name player that'll be potentially out Monday night. QB Matt Ryan finished with 221 yards, 1 TD and 3 INTs in last week's 20-17 win over New Orleans.

    Ryan is projected to finish this week's matchup with 284 yards, 2 TDs and 1 INT.

    Struggling Buccaneers: Tampa Bay has dropped three straight heading into this matchup. They've been a major disappointment this year after a nine-win season last year. In Jameis Winston's 42 career games, he has turned the ball over 53 times – second-most in the league since his 2015 rookie season.

    Winston is projected to finish with 267 passing yards, 2 TDs and 1 INT.

    Analyst's Pick
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  • NFL Playoffs Predictions, Wild Card Picks

    Written by AccuScore Staff
    Follow @AccuScore on Twitter

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    Final NFL Playoff Spots Up for Grabs: AccuScore's Predictions

    There are only three weeks left in the 2019 NFL regular season, with several teams already securing their postseason berths. In a few divisions, along with the Wild Card spots of course, the playoff picture is still wide open.

    Accuscore simulated the remainder of the NFL season and updated its season predictions to predict which teams will get in and which teams will be on the outside looking in.

    So, who's going to the playoffs?


    San Francisco and New Orleans are the top teams in the NFC, and it looks like both will earn the highly coveted bye on Wildcard Weekend. Seattle still has 40% chance to win the NFC West over San Francisco, so the 49ers aren't exactly guaranteed to win the division. This NFC West may well be decided in the final game of the season, when the Seahawks and 49ers face-off in Seattle.

    Right now, it looks like Green Bay and Dallas are the two other divisional winners in the NFC. Winning the division is the only way for Dallas gets into the postseason, seeing as the Cowboys have a losing record with three weeks to go. The probability for Dallas to sneak in is 53% with the Philadelphia Eagles 47% to make the playoffs. It's just about a coinflip, with Dallas edging it.

    Minnesota’s divisional win probability is 42%, while Green Bay has the upper hand right with a probability of 58% to win the NFC North. The Vikings, however, still have a solid shot to make the playoffs via the Wild Card. At the moment, Minnesota is 72% to play in January. Regardless of whether the Vikings win the division or grab a playoff spot, they will be playing on Wild Card Weekend.

    The rather important question is: Will it be home or away game for the Vikings?

    If Green Bay loses the division to MInnesota, the Packers' chances of snatching a Wild Card slot are even better than the Vikings. Right now, Aaron Rodgers and company are over 86% to reach the playoffs. The only team with a realistic chance to knock out Green Bay/Minnesota from a Wild Card spot is the Los Angeles Rams.

    The Rams' current percentage to make the playoffs is 43%, with last year's Super Bowl runner-ups facing two tough road games against Dallas and San Francisco.

    With three weeks to go, here's how AccuScore sees the NFC playoff picture developing:

    1. San Francisco 49ers
    2. New Orleans Saints
    3. Green Bay Packers
    4. Dallas Cowboys
    5. Seattle Seahawks
    6. Minnesota Vikings

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    Note: AccuScore's Spread and Totals Picks are +4600 profit this season. With AccuScore only gaining in accuracy as the season progresses, don't miss out on money time.


    The Baltimore Ravens, led by Lamar Jackson, have been the story of this season. They have already secured the playoffs spot and, most probably, will have the home field advantage throughout the playoffs. That would mean no trip to New England or Kansas City in January for the Ravens, along with the bye.

    The Kansas City Chiefs have also secured a playoff spot. However, the Chiefs may not get the first round bye, as New England is projected to finish the season witha slighlty better record.

    With the Ravens, Chiefs and Patriots all but guaranteed to with their respective divisions, the AFC South is wide open between Houston and Tennessee. With three weeks to go, it looks like Houston has a 54%-46% edge to win the division and take home field advantage for the first round of playoffs.

    Winning the division is likely the only chance the Titans and Texans have to make the postseason.

    Buffalo and Pittsburgh have the inside track on the AFC Wild Card spots based on season simulations. Their playoffs probabilities are 87% and 83%, respectively. Pittsburgh's performance has been quite remarkable considering star quarterback Ben Roethlisberger was injured in the second game of the season, along with thee Steelers' starting running back and top wide receiver have missed extensive time due the injuries.

    Houston’s and Tennessee’s playoff probabilities are about 10% higher than their chances to win the AFC South. Both teams control their own destinies, as they face each other twice during the last three weeks. Tennessee will also have the unenviable task of facing New Orleans. Houston, on the other hand, will have much easier trip to Tampa Bay in two weeks. The winner of the AFC South is a coinflip -- again.

    With three weeks to go, here's how AccuScore sees the AFC playoff picture developing:

    1. Baltimore Ravens
    2. New England Patriots
    3. Kansas City Chiefs
    4. Houston Texans
    5. Buffalo Bills
    6. Pittsburgh Steelers

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  • NFL Sunday: New York Giants vs LA Rams - Analyst Pick

    Written by Rohit Ghosh
    Follow @rohitghosh on Twitter

    New York Giants vs LA Rams: Analyst Preview & Pick

    The New York Giants (1-6) host the Los Angeles Rams (5-2) at MetLife Stadium as the offense finally gets some good news with the return of of WR Sterling Shepard. The Rams have been firing on all cylinders this season, but are 0-7 in their last seven matchups against the Giants.

    Vegas Odds
    This game saw a good amount of action earlier in the week, with the public already moving the spread and total. The Rams opened as 3-to-3.5-point favorites, but the spread quickly moved up to -4.5.

    Spread Odds: Los Angeles Rams -4.5
    Total Line: 42

    At the time of publication, about 66 percent of the public was laying the points and taking the Rams. 61 percent of the wagers on the total have been on the OVER.

    Betting Trends
    -The total has gone UNDER in 14 of the Rams' last 21 games on the road.
    -The Rams are 0-5 straight up (SU) and against the spread (ATS) in their last five games against the Giants.
    -The Rams are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games on the road against the Giants.

    What to Watch For

    Top AccuScore Trends: Week 9
    - All NFL Picks vs the Spread: 64-47-8 +1,240
    - All Side Value Picks: 64-51 +2160
    - All Totals Picks: 65-48-6 +1220
    All NFL Spread, Totals & Side Value Picks: +4620 profit!

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    AccuScore has picks for all of Sunday's games, including a free forecast with projections and picks:
    All of AccuScore's NFL Picks

    Giants QB Eli Manning has struggled all year, but it's tough to put all the blame on him given the injuries to his weapons. Still, the boo birds have been flying all season, some critics even pushing for his retirement. His numbers, though, have been about average compared to other QBs -- passing for 1600 yards, 10 TDs and 5 INTs heading into this week's matchup. Last week against the Seattle Seahawks Manning passed for 139 yards, completing 19 of 39 pass attempts, and 1 TD in a 24-7 loss.

    Manning is projected to finish Sunday's game with 264 passing yards and 1 TD. He averages twice has many TDs per sim -- 1.3 -- as he does INTs -- 0.6.

    On the opposite side of the 1-6 Giants, we've got a 5-2 Rams team that's been seemingly improving on a weekly basis. The team's only glaring weakness has been defending against the run, giving up 123 rushing yards per game.

    NY running backs Paul Perkins, Orleans Darkwa, and Shane Vereen are projected to finish with a combined 109.3 yards and 1 TD against the Rams.

    Analyst's Pick
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    {plus} Analyst Pick:: Giants cover at home -- and have potential for a money line pick too.

    The Rams are 0-5 ATS vs teams with a losing record; the Giants are 5-0 ATS in their last five home games vs a team with a winning road record.{/pluis}

  • NFL TNF Analyst Pick: Eagles at Panthers - Week 6

    Written by Rohit Ghosh
    Follow @rohitghosh on Twitter

    NFL Thursday - Panthers vs Eagles

    Thursday night NFL action in this week's slate features a pair of 4-1 teams looking to keep momentum trending the right way. The Panthers are slight 3-to-3.5-point favorites, getting the nod as the home side in what's projected as a tight matchup.

    Date/Time: Thursday, 10/12 at Bank of America Stadium, Charlotte, North Carolina
    Spread: Panthers -3.5
    Total: 45.5

    Vegas Odds
    There really hasn't been a whole lot of movement on the line, Vegas and the public expecting a close matchup Thursday night.

    The line opened at -3 for Carolina, moving up just a half-point in some books across Vegas. Same for the total, up a half-point to 45.5.

    Betting Trends
    • The Eagles are 6-2 against the spread (ATS) in their last eight games.
    • The Eagles are 6-1 straight up (SU) in their last seven games.
    • The Eagles 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games on the road.
    • The total has gone OVER seven of the Eagles' last 10 games.
    • The Panthers are 1-3-2 in their last six games at home.

    Top AccuScore Trends: After Week 5
    - All NFL Picks vs the Spread: 43-30-4, 58.9% +1,000
    - All Side Value Picks: 44-31, 58.7% +1800
    - All Totals Picks: 44-29-4, 60.3% +1210
    All NFL Spread, Totals & Side Value Picks: +4010 profit!

    All of AccuScore's Week 6 NFL Picks

    What to Watch For
    Trouble on the O-line: As John Breech of CBS Sports first pointed out, the absence of offensive lineman Lane Johnson has the potential to be a huge game changer this week; Johnson suffered a concussion in Sunday's game against the Arizona Cardinals and is projected to be out Thursday night on a short week.

    Why's that such a big deal? Johnson has been in the lineup for 11 of Wentz's 21 career starts.

    In those 11 games, Wentz has a 9-2 record, 65.7 completion percentage, 2,766 yards, 20 TDs, 5 INTs, and a 99.9 passer rating.

    He went 2-8 in the games without Johnson, looking like a completely different product on the field. In those 10 games, he went 2-8 and threw twice as many INTs (12) as TDs (6).

    Wentz is projected to finish Thursday's game with 261 yards, averaging 1.3 TDs to 0.8 INTs in sims.

    Ground Game: Philly's run defense has actually been solid this year -- containing the likes of Melvin Gordon and Kareem Hunt so far this season. The Eagles gave up some late yardage on the ground to the Chiefs and Chargers, but for the most part have been consistently above average in that category.

    The Panthers are projected to finish with at least 1 rushing TD.

    Analyst's Pick
    Members: Log in at the top right now to reveal AccuScore’s Analyst Pick

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  • NFL Week 1 Recap

    Week 1 in the NFL is in the books and we are happy to finally have the NFL back. Below is a recap of some of our favorite games from the weekend, and some advice for what to do for week 2.

    Miami Dolphins 11 - 21 New England Patriots

    The Patriots played their first game without Tom Brady in nearly two decades and found themselves on the winning end of the contest -- a stellar rushing performance from Cam Newton carried New England to a 21-11 win over the Dolphins. The Patriots led 7-3 at halftime but pulled away in the second half with two more touchdowns. Newton completed 15 of his 19 passes for 155 yards, but the former Panthers star made his biggest impact on the ground with 75 yards and two touchdowns in 15 rushes -- Newton led the Patriots in both passing and rushing yards. Julian Edelman was New England’s biggest receiving threat, as the speedy wideout recorded 57 yards in five receptions. Ryan Fitzpatrick completed 20 of his 30 passes for 191 yards, but the turnovers killed him -- he tossed three interceptions. DeVante Parker was Miami’s top offensive performer with 47 yards on four receptions. The Patriots edged the Dolphins in total yards by a sizable margin (357 to 269) despite the fact the Dolphins led in passing yards 182 to 140. New England won this game on the ground.

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    Green Bay Packers 43 - 34 Minnesota Vikings

    The Packers and the Vikings played one of the most intense, scoring-free games in Week 1 of the 2020 NFL regular season, as both teams combined for 77 points -- 38 of those in the fourth quarter alone -- and 904 total yards, including both teams surpassing the 240-yard mark when it came to passing yards. The Packers pulled away in the second quarter when they outscored the Vikings 19-3 and, even though Minnesota attempted a late comeback when they won the second quarter by a 24-14 score, they didn’t have enough time to turn things around. Aaron Rodgers, who made one of the most dazzling plays of Week 1 with an epic TD pass to Davante Adams, completed 32 of his 44 passes for 364 yards and four touchdowns, while Adams himself had quite a night -- 14 receptions, 156 yards, and two scores. Kirk Cousins completed 19 of his 25 passes for 259 yards, two touchdowns, and one interception. Dalvin Cook recorded 50 yards and two touchdowns on 12 carries, and Adam Thielen registered 110 yards and two touchdowns on six receptions.

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    Cleveland Browns 6 - 38 Baltimore Ravens

    The Ravens delivered a statement performance in Week 1 against their division-rival Browns, scoring 38 points on them while allowing just six points -- despite the fact that the Browns racked up 306 total yards. The Ravens, however, finished with 377 total yards and were particularly effective in key situations -- they converted 54 percent of their third-down opportunities. The game was close during the first quarter, as the Ravens edged Cleveland 10-6, but they pulled away for good in the second quarter onwards, scoring 28 unanswered points. Lamar Jackson completed 20 of 25 passes for 275 yards and three touchdowns, and the star quarterback also added 45 yards on the ground. Mark Andrews recorded 58 yards and two scores on five receptions. Baker Mayfield only completed 21 of his 39 passes for one touchdown and one interception. Kareem Hunt racked up 72 yards on 13 carries, while Jarvis Landry had 61 yards on five receptions.

    The experts nailed the Ravens pick on the head for week 1, and if you want to find out who the experts are betting for week 2 you can take a look atBetQL’s NFL picks against the spread to see which way the experts are betting for every game. 

  • NFL Week 2 Recap

    Week 2 in the NFL did not disappoint we had a ton of great games, and a lot of big wins. We hope you are following ourpicks against the spread, but don’t worry we have another week coming up here soon which is another opportunity to build your bank roll. Check out some of our favorite games from week 2 below, and click around to get ready for week 3. 


    Atlanta Falcons 39 - 40 Dallas Cowboys

    The Falcons have produced another epic meltdown, as they had a 99.9 percent probability to win this game but ended losing it late in the final quarter. The Falcons raced out to a 20-0 lead in the first quarter and were up 29-10 by halftime, as they controlled the flow of the game during the first three quarters with ease -- they held a 15-point lead (39-24) in the fourth quarter as well. The Cowboys then produced three unanswered scoring drives and came away with the victory with a 46-yard field goal from Greg Zuerlein with only four seconds left on the clock. Dak Prescott completed 34 of 47 passes for 450 yards and one touchdown while adding 18 yards and three scores through the ground. Ezekiel Elliott recorded 89 yards and a score on 22 carries, while CeeDee Lamb and Amari Cooper each reached the 100-yard plateau when it came to receiving yards. Matt Ryan tossed four touchdown passes and racked up 273 aerial yards, but it wasn’t enough -- Calvin Ridley was the biggest beneficiary of Ryan’s performance since he ended with 109 yards and two scores in seven receptions.

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    Detroit Lions 21 - 42 Green Bay Packers

    The Lions got off to an impressive start against the Packers and held a 14-3 lead following the first quarter, but Green Bay would outscore Detroit 39-7 in the remaining three quarters to secure a comfortable win at Lambeau Field. Lions’ receiver Marvin Jones completed 84 straight games with a catch and produced a score on four receptions, while Adrian Peterson notched 41 yards on seven rushing attempts. Matthew Stafford was far from his best, though, completing “only” 20 of his 33 passes for 244 yards, two touchdowns and an interception. At the other end, Aaron Rodgers wasn’t that much better -- completed 18 of 30 passes for 240 yards and two scores -- but the real star of the game was Aaron Jones, who racked up 168 yards and two touchdowns in just 18 carries, averaging an impressive 9.3 yards per attempt. Jones also added four receptions for 68 yards and another touchdown.

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    Carolina Panthers 17 - 31 Tampa Bay Buccaneers

    Tom Brady tossed a first-quarter touchdown pass to Mike Evans and Leonard Fournette added two rushing scores as the Buccaneers secured their first win of the season with a 31-17 victory over the Panthers on Sunday afternoon. The biggest story of the game wasn’t Brady’s first win as Tampa Bay’s starting quarterback, however, because star running back Christian McCaffrey limped out of the game after scoring a touchdown in the fourth quarter and is expected to be out for “multiple weeks”. Brady was sharp, completing 23 of 35 passes for 217 yards, a touchdown and an interception, but Fournette carried the Buccaneers in this one with 103 yards and two touchdowns in only 12 carries. Mike Evans racked up 104 yards and a touchdown on seven receptions. As for the Panthers, Bridgewater completed 33 of 42 passes for 367 yards with no touchdowns and two interceptions, while McCaffrey had 18 carries for 59 yards and two scores. D.J. Moore (120 yards on eight receptions) and Robby Anderson (109 yards on nine grabs) each topped the 100-yard plateau for the Panthers.

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  • San Francisco 49ers: Over/Under 10.5 Wins?

    June 2nd, 2020 - By Brandon Barbour

    After going 13-3 in 2019, the San Francisco 49ers are hopeful of making another Super Bowl run. With regular-season NFL over unders as one of the main futures bets to focus on in the sport, bettors are breaking down schedules and offseason moves to figure out where they can make some cash. The 49ers have a 10.5 line for their win total in 2020. Which side of this bet should you hammer?


    Offseason Moves

    It was a fairly quiet offseason for San Francisco. They traded away DeForest Buckner, Marquise Goodwin, and Matt Breida. For Buckner, they received the Indianapolis Colts first-round selection, and replaced their defensive-lineman with a younger, cheaper lineman in Javon Kinlaw. Late round picks were swapped in the deals involving Goodwin and Breida.

    The 49ers also let Emmanuel Sanders walk in free agency to the New Orleans Saints. They spent a late first-round pick on a new wide out in Brandon Aiyuk to fill the hole. Longtime offensive lineman, Joe Staley, decided to hang it up and call it a career. This prompted the 49ers to swoop in and pull off a trade with the Washington Redskins to acquire Trent Williams, a terrific offensive tackle. Despite losing some offensive weapons, the 49ers return with a very similar squad and starting cast.


    Schedule And Outlook

    Now, let’s break down the schedule. It wouldn’t be shocking if San Francisco got off to a raging start. Last year the Niners were one of the top NFL picks against the spread, they covered the spread in 61% of their games, so you have to think they will be close to this mark this upcoming year. They’ll host the Arizona Cardinals, visit the New York Jets, visit the New York Giants, host the Philadelphia Eagles, host the Miami Dolphins, and host the Los Angeles Rams. Clearly, the Eagles are the challenge in the first six weeks. It wouldn’t be a surprise if the team started 6-0 or 5-1.

    This is where the schedule gets rough. They’ll visit the New England Patriots, visit the Seattle Seahawks, host the Green Bay Packers (Thursday Night Football), and visit the New Orleans Saints before a week 11 bye. That’s a ton of travel and a battle with the Packers on short rest. Let’s say San Francisco splits the four games. Worst case scenario, they’ve started out 7-3 and finished off the worst part of their schedule in 2020. Not bad! As a bettor you also have to be keeping your eye on the NFL spreads to make sure you are getting value on the bets. Against these other top tier NFL teams even the smallest point spread can make a difference.

    After the rough patch, the 49ers will visit the Rams, host the Buffalo Bills, host the Washington Redskins, visit the Dallas Cowboys, visit the Cardinals, and host the Seahawks. Conservatively, San Francisco would end up with at least 11 wins with the potential to win 12 or even 13.

    Last season, the 49ers went 5-1 against their division. The Cardinals and Seahawks will be better, no doubt, but the 49ers are still boasting a championship roster. It’s very possible that San Francisco only has three different playoff teams to get through on the schedule (Eagles, Seahawks, Saints). No one knows exactly what to expect from the Patriots, Packers, or Cowboys. So, while the schedule may appear scary, it isn’t so bad.

    This will be coach Kyle Shanahan’s fourth seasons with the club. He has built a championship roster and has fully implemented his ways into the organization. Last season was Jimmy Garoppolo’s first full season with the offensive guru, so expect some growth from the quarterback in 2020. All signs point to the 49ers going over 10.5 wins. This feels like a bet worth making.

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