Written by Rohit Ghosh
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NFL Monday Night Picks: Falcons vs Bucs

Week 15 in the NFL wraps up Monday night in Tampa Bay as the Buccaneers host the Atlanta Falcons in a matchup that's projecting to be fairly high-scoring, with only one other game on the week's slate having a higher total listed in Vegas (Patriots-Steelers with a total set at 54.5).

Vegas Odds

The Falcons opened up at 4-point favorites before some heavy public action pushed it up to -6.5 in most books; the total creeped up from 47.5 to 49.

Betting Line: Atlanta Falcons -6.5
Total: 49

At the time of publication, 65 percent of the public were laying the points and taking the Falcons.

63-plus percent of the action on the total has been on the OVER.

Betting Trends

- The Falcons are 4-1 against the spread (ATS) in their last five games.
The Falcons are 6-2 straight up (SU) in their last eight road games.
-The total has gone OVER in six of the Falcons' last nine games vs the Bucs.

What to Watch For

NFC South: The fate of the NFC South is yet to be decided with three teams still having a chance at the playoffs. The Falcons, heading into the matchup having won four of their last five, will treat this as a must-win. Tevin Coleman suffered a concussion last week and he's the only big-name player that'll be potentially out Monday night. QB Matt Ryan finished with 221 yards, 1 TD and 3 INTs in last week's 20-17 win over New Orleans.

Ryan is projected to finish this week's matchup with 284 yards, 2 TDs and 1 INT.

Struggling Buccaneers: Tampa Bay has dropped three straight heading into this matchup. They've been a major disappointment this year after a nine-win season last year. In Jameis Winston's 42 career games, he has turned the ball over 53 times – second-most in the league since his 2015 rookie season.

Winston is projected to finish with 267 passing yards, 2 TDs and 1 INT.

Analyst's Pick
Members: Log in at the top right now to reveal AccuScore’s Analyst Pick

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