• NFL Week 3: Dolphins vs Jets Picks

    Written by Rohit Ghosh
    Follow @rohitghosh on Twitter

    NFL Sunday - Jets @ Dolphins - 4* Hot Trend Alert

    The New York Jets host the Miami Dolphins Sunday as 6-point road underdogs, with the total listed at 43. The Jets are in a crucial part of their schedule -- actually having a chance against teams like the Dolphins, Jaguars and Browns in the coming weeks. Let's see what the simulation data says about stopping the likes of Jay Ajayi and Jarvis Landry.

    Jets vs Dolphins - NFL Week 3 Pick

    Vegas Odds and AccuScore Sim Data

    AccuScore sim data and Vegas odds are on the same page on this matchup - projecting a convincing Dolphins victory. Miami is listed at -270 on the money line in Vegas, indicating a 72-to-72 percent chance of winning. They win 71 percent of the simulated matchups.

    There hasn't been a whole lot of movement on the line since it opened at -6.5 for Miami. The Dolphins cover the currently-listed 6-point spread about 53 percent of the time -- on par with the odds listed in Vegas. The Dolphins covering is a 4-star (out of four) AccuScore hot trend.

    AccuScore has player projections, picks against the spread, on the moneyline and totals for EVERY game...All of Week 3's NFL Picks

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    Betting on the Total

    It's tough to imagine this Jets roster to put up any more than 14-to-17 points on the scoreboard. They average 16 in the sims, with the total staying below 43 in close to 62 percent of simulations.

    • The UNDER is 5-0 in the Jets' last five games after allowing more than 30 points in their previous game. They gave up 45 to Oakland in Week 2.
    • The UNDER is 5-0 in the Jets' last five games after allowing more than 350 total yards in their previous game.

    What to Watch For

    The Jets quite possibly might have the worst defense in the league and Dolphins head coach Adam Gase knows how to take advantage of that. Especially with weapons like Landry and Ajayi. Ajayi finished last week with 122 yards on 4.4 yards per carry.

    Ajayi is projected to finished this game with 116 yards on 20 carries. He averages 0.9 TDs per sim, the highest average on both teams.

    FREE Week 3 Analyst's Pick

    MIA -6 and the UNDER. Lay the points and take the Dolphins; buying a half point to 5.5 wouldn't be a bad option here either.

    Review: AccuScore's Hot Trends: Week 3

  • NFL Week 3: Top Betting Trends

    Written by AccuScore Staff
    Follow @AccuScore on Twitter

    Top AccuScore NFL Betting Trends: Week 3

    • All NFL Picks Against the Spread: 18-12-1, 60% +480
    • All NFL Picks Over/Under: 19-9-3, 68% +910
    After 2 Weeks: AccuScore’s NFL Picks (Spreads & Totals) – 37-21-4, 64% +1390

    After two weeks of the NFL season, AccuScore's picks are positive across the board, and our computer is off to a fast start. Totals appear to be the best bet of the early season, but picks against the spread have also bee positive thus far. The trends listed above refer to EVERY game of this young NFL season, meaning if you'd blindly wagered on AccuScore's totals and spread picks for EVERY game through two weeks, you'd be up +1,390. This assumes a 110-unit wager on each pick, so a win returns 100 units of profit and a wrong pick results in a 110 unit loss.

    All of AccuScore's NFL Picks - Week 3

    In addition to all picks being profitable, there are a few trends we've picked out that have been remarkably positive across the board. In particular, AFC vs NFC cross conference games have been notably accurate across the board for Moneyline picks, Spread picks and Totals picks. In addition, a couple other areas based on differentials between AccuScore and the Vegas lines have stood out. Check our AccuSore's Week 3 Hot Trends Below:

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    NFL Hot Trends: Week 3

    AFC vs NFC Matchups:
    -ATS Picks: 6-0-1, 100% +600
    -Totals Picks: 4-2-1, 67% +180
    -Moneyline picks: 7-0, 100%

    Home Team Favored by 7 or More Points:
    -ATS Picks: 5-2-0, 71% +280
    -Totals Picks: 5-1-1, 83% +390
    -Moneyline picks: 6-1, 86%

    AccuScore Sim & Vegas PS line Diff 2.0-2.5 points:
    -ATS Picks: 6-0, 100% +600
    -Totals Picks: 5-0-1, 100% +500

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