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  • Yankees vs Indians Analysis, Expert Pick

    Written by Rohit Ghosh
    Follow @rohitghosh on Twitter

    MLB Tuesday: Cleveland Indians vs New York Yankees Analysis

    Moneyline: Cleveland Indians -105, New York Yankees -105
    Total: Over 9.5 (+107), Under 9.5 (-117)

    Pitching Matchup

    Cleveland's Trevor Bauer is 13-8 with a 4.59 ERA and 1.44 WHIP in 25 starts and 26 games this season. He hasn’t recorded a loss since July 16, and got the win last time out against NY. Against the Yankees on August 4, Bauer pitched 7 innings and gave up a run, seven hits and two walks in a 7-2 victory.

    New York's Jaime Garcia is 5-8 with a 4.52 ERA and 1.40 WHIP on the season. Garcia doesn’t have a win on the season for NY yet, but two of his starts did finish as wins for the team. Against Cleveland on August 4, Garcia gave up 6 runs -- 5 of which were earned -- 5 hits, , and 4 walks in 4.2 innings pitched.

    All of Today’s MLB picks: AccuScore's Baseball Expert Picks

    Vegas vs AccuScore

    At the time of publication, the Yankees and Indians are both listed at -105 on the money line, indicating about a 51.2 percent chance of winning.

    AccuScore sims, however, have New York winning about 60 percent of simulated matchups, indicating a hot trend pick on the home side. The sim data would have listed New York at -155, making the -105 highly attractive.

    Analyst's Pick

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  • Yankees vs Rays: MLB Analysis

    Written by Rohit Ghosh
    Follow @rohitghosh on Twitter

    NY Yankees vs Tampa Bay Rays

    We've got a fun one on deck Thursday as Chris Archer and the Tampa Bay Rays head to Yankee Stadium to face CC Sabathia and the New York Yankees. New York's a slight home favorite to win the matchup (-105) with the total at 8.5.

    Pitching Matchup

    Archer's been fairly pedestrian this season, entering Thursday's matchup with an ERA of 3.77 and a 7-6 record. Good news for the Rays, though, is the fact that their bullpen is in the top third of the league with an overall ERA of 4.1. They've given up their fair share of bombs -- ranking No. 19 with 118 home runs -- to go along with an average of 8.4 hits per nine innings.

    Sabathia, with his 9-3 record and an ERA of 3.44, continues to shine when given the chance. He is 2-1 with a 3.29 ERA in his last three starts. Fun fact - Sabathia has allowed one run in 10 innings against the Rays this season. Teams are hitting just .208 against the Yankees bullpen. New York's bullpen is even better than Tampa Bay's, ranking No. 6 in the league in team ERA at 3.86.

    All of AccuScore Expert Baseball Picks

    Comparing the Numbers

    Tampa Bay is 24-26 on the road, with 26 of the 50 games going OVER the total, 22 staying UNDER, and two pushes. The Rays -- on average -- score 4.6 runs per game and give up 4.1.

    New York is 27-17 at home this season, with 25 of the 44 games going OVER, 18 staying UNDER, and one push. The Yankees are averaging approximately 5.3 runs per game while giving up 3.9.

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    Vegas Odds vs AccuScore

    While Vegas has the Yankees as slight favorites, AccuScore data ups that winning probability up to 61 percent. AccuScore sim data would have actually listed New York at a -155 on the money line, making the -105 they opened at fairly attractive.

    At the time of publication, New York is hovering between -115 and -120 on the money line in most books in Vegas.