Written by Rohit Ghosh
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NCAA Friday: Boise State vs BYU
Boise State heads to Provo for a matchup with BYU Friday night. Boise St. came out on top 28-27 in last year's meeting betwee the two sides. The visiting Broncos are 8-point favorites with the total set at 47.
The line opened with Boise St. as 7-point favorites, so there hasn't been much movement on that line. The total, however, has seen a bit of a shift since opening at just 44.
Much of the public money is expected to come in on Boise St., considering the home side is 0-5 against the spread (ATS).
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The ground game for BYU has been practically non-existent this year. Part of that comes down to going down early in games and not being able to run the ball consistently, but only two rushing TDs through five weeks of play is not going to get it done.
The top three backs for BYU -- Ula Tolutau, Kavika Fonua, Micah Simon -- are projected to finish with a combined 96 yards on about 22 carries.
Boise State's defense has been above-average this year, but it's been their run defense that's made more of an impact. Washington State -- the only other road opponent Boise St. has had this year so far -- put up under 5 yards per play.
The Broncos average about two forced turnovers per simulated matchup.
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