• Friday College Football Analyst Pick: Boise State vs BYU

    Written by Rohit Ghosh
    Follow @rohitghosh on Twitter

    NCAA Friday: Boise State vs BYU

    Boise State heads to Provo for a matchup with BYU Friday night. Boise St. came out on top 28-27 in last year's meeting betwee the two sides. The visiting Broncos are 8-point favorites with the total set at 47.

    Vegas Odds

    The line opened with Boise St. as 7-point favorites, so there hasn't been much movement on that line. The total, however, has seen a bit of a shift since opening at just 44.

    Much of the public money is expected to come in on Boise St., considering the home side is 0-5 against the spread (ATS).

    All of AccuScore’s Week 6College Football Picks

    What to Watch For

    The ground game for BYU has been practically non-existent this year. Part of that comes down to going down early in games and not being able to run the ball consistently, but only two rushing TDs through five weeks of play is not going to get it done.

    The top three backs for BYU -- Ula Tolutau, Kavika Fonua, Micah Simon -- are projected to finish with a combined 96 yards on about 22 carries.

    Boise State's defense has been above-average this year, but it's been their run defense that's made more of an impact. Washington State -- the only other road opponent Boise St. has had this year so far -- put up under 5 yards per play.

    The Broncos average about two forced turnovers per simulated matchup.

    Analyst's Pick

    *New NFL Special: Use code NFLseason and you'll get an all-sports membership valid until the end of the NFL season, i.e. through the playoffs and until the day after the Super Bowl on Feb. 4, 2018. Obviously, this covers you for College Football Bowl Season and the remainder of the NCAA Football season (along with the MLB Playoffs & 2/3 of the NHL and NBA season).
    Simply register for an annual membership using the code and we’ll convert your membership into a 5-month football membership: Join Now!

  • Las Vegas Bowl Preview: Fresno State Vs. Arizona State

    Follow @AccuScore on Twitter

    Mitsubishi Motors Las Vegas Bowl 2018: Arizona State versus Fresno State

    College Football bowl season is here! 41 games, including the playoffs and the CFP National Championship start on Saturday. Accuscore has predictions for ALL bowl games, and we’ll start with Fresno State (11-2) against Arizona State (7-5) at Mitsubishi Motors Las Vegas Bowl.

    Las Vegas Bowl 2018

    Fresno State is the only ranked team (No. 25) playing on opening day of the bowl season. They are a solid favorite with a 69% chance to beat Arizona State according to AccuScore.

    All of AccuScore's College Football Bowl Picks

    Fresno State’s sophomore RB Ronnie Rivers is projected for 53 rushing yards and a 48% chance of having at least 1 rushing TD. He has earned the number one running back role during the second part of the season and has recorder around 500 yards in his last 7 starts. In particular, Fresno State has relied heavily on their passing attack. QB Marcus McMariyon has completed 3,453 yards with 25 TDs and only 3 interceptions. Simulations project close to 250 passing yards for McMariyon on Saturday.

    Not a member? Membership includes ALL Sports!
    First time members get a free 7-day trial of AccuScore’s full site when you register for a monthly membership.
    Join AccuScore Today!*

    *use code Holidays for 20% off an annual or monthly membership - Limited Time Special

    In the 31% of simulations where Arizona State wins, their QB Manny Wilkins averages 1.57 TD passes vs 0.3 interceptions, while in losses he has a ratio of 0.79 TDs to 0.49 interceptions. He hasn’t been able to put similar numbers as McMariyon or even replicate last season's statistics. The last two games, especially, against Oregon and Arizona haven’t been very good for him as the completion % dropped to 47% and 58% respectively.

    In 12 games of the season Arizona State RB Eno Benjamin has been able to gather over 1,500 rushing yards, but he may need to surpass his average per game so far for a win as simulations predict averages 125 rushing yards and 1.16 rushing TDs when Arizona State wins and 115 yards and 0.68 TDs in losses.

    Fresno State has a 26% chance of forcing more turnovers than they commit. Positive turnover margin helps them win 81% of the time. Based on Accuscore simulations Fresno State has 58% probability to cover -4 line set up by Vegas.

Joomla SEF URLs by Artio