Follow @AccuScore on Twitter

Mitsubishi Motors Las Vegas Bowl 2018: Arizona State versus Fresno State

College Football bowl season is here! 41 games, including the playoffs and the CFP National Championship start on Saturday. Accuscore has predictions for ALL bowl games, and we’ll start with Fresno State (11-2) against Arizona State (7-5) at Mitsubishi Motors Las Vegas Bowl.

Las Vegas Bowl 2018

Fresno State is the only ranked team (No. 25) playing on opening day of the bowl season. They are a solid favorite with a 69% chance to beat Arizona State according to AccuScore.

All of AccuScore's College Football Bowl Picks

Fresno State’s sophomore RB Ronnie Rivers is projected for 53 rushing yards and a 48% chance of having at least 1 rushing TD. He has earned the number one running back role during the second part of the season and has recorder around 500 yards in his last 7 starts. In particular, Fresno State has relied heavily on their passing attack. QB Marcus McMariyon has completed 3,453 yards with 25 TDs and only 3 interceptions. Simulations project close to 250 passing yards for McMariyon on Saturday.

Not a member? Membership includes ALL Sports!
First time members get a free 7-day trial of AccuScore’s full site when you register for a monthly membership.
Join AccuScore Today!*

*use code Holidays for 20% off an annual or monthly membership - Limited Time Special

In the 31% of simulations where Arizona State wins, their QB Manny Wilkins averages 1.57 TD passes vs 0.3 interceptions, while in losses he has a ratio of 0.79 TDs to 0.49 interceptions. He hasn’t been able to put similar numbers as McMariyon or even replicate last season's statistics. The last two games, especially, against Oregon and Arizona haven’t been very good for him as the completion % dropped to 47% and 58% respectively.

In 12 games of the season Arizona State RB Eno Benjamin has been able to gather over 1,500 rushing yards, but he may need to surpass his average per game so far for a win as simulations predict averages 125 rushing yards and 1.16 rushing TDs when Arizona State wins and 115 yards and 0.68 TDs in losses.

Fresno State has a 26% chance of forcing more turnovers than they commit. Positive turnover margin helps them win 81% of the time. Based on Accuscore simulations Fresno State has 58% probability to cover -4 line set up by Vegas.

NCAAF Picks

Check back soon for upcoming game lines
NCAAF
NCAAF - Top Free Betting Trends

No data available

TREND RECORD UNITS
CONF USA NON-CONF Totals (Season) 27-10, 73% 1600
SEC NON-CONF Totals (Season) 25-13, 65.8% 1070
Total Betting Line 54 to 56.5 (Season) 59-44, 57.3% 1060
AAC NON-CONF Totals (Season) 20-12, 62.5% 680
MWC NON-CONF Totals (Season) 21-14, 60% 560
MAC NON-CONF Totals (Season) 22-15, 59.5% 550
Total Betting Line 65 or More (Season) 62-52, 54.4% 480
BIG 12 NON-CONF Totals (Season) 13-8, 61.9% 420
O/U: Sim vs Vegas Diff 3 to 3.5 (Season) 106-93, 53.3% 370
3 STAR O/U Past Month 21-16, 56.8% 340
O/U: Sim vs Vegas Diff 6 or More (Season) 43-36, 54.4% 340
BIG 10 NON-CONF Totals (Season) 22-17, 56.4% 330
SUN BELT NON-CONF Totals (Season) 17-13, 56.7% 270
O/U: Sim vs Vegas Diff 2 to 2.5 (Season) 30-25, 54.5% 250
ACC NON-CONF Totals (Past 2 Weeks) 2-0, 100% 200

No data available

TREND RECORD UNITS
PS: (Season) 380-309, 55.2% 4010
PS: Sim vs Vegas Diff 0.5 TO 1.5 (Season) 58-32, 64.4% 2280
BIG 10 NON-CONF PS (Season) 28-11, 71.8% 1590
MAC NON-CONF PS (Season) 25-12, 67.6% 1180
Home Favored by 10 to 13.5 (Season) 39-25, 60.9% 1150
PS: Sim vs Vegas Diff 4 to 4.5 (Season) 116-95, 55% 1150
Home Favored by 14 to 19.5 (Season) 41-28, 59.4% 1020
Spread of -4 to +4 (Season) 86-71, 54.8% 790
Home Favored by 7 to 9.5 (Season) 32-22, 59.3% 780
ACC NON-CONF PS (Season) 25-16, 61% 740
AAC NON-CONF PS (Season) 20-12, 62.5% 680
BIG 12 NON-CONF PS (Season) 14-7, 66.7% 630
CONF USA NON-CONF PS (Season) 23-16, 59% 540
2 STAR PS Past 2 Weeks 5-1, 83.3% 390
SEC NON-CONF PS (Season) 22-17, 56.4% 330
Home Favored by 4.5 to 6.5 (Past 2 Weeks) 2-0, 100% 200
PS: Sim vs Vegas Diff 3 to 3.5 (Past 2 Weeks) 3-1, 75% 190

Receive free picks

Articles

More Articles

Videos