Accuscore: The Global Leader in Sports Forecasting - Profitable betting since 2004.

Game Details

NCAAF
Southern Miss Golden Eagles
-6.5
Arkansas State Indians
+6.5

Accuscore Probability

6
7

Over/Under

47

Accuscore Probability

 
 
46.5
under
47.5
over
Money Line
SMIS  76.0%
Side Value
SMIS  5.59%
76.0%
23.9%
Game Projection
  • Southern Miss Golden Eagles
    32.1 Points
  • Arkansas State Indians
    21.4 Points
Big Win
  • SMISS
    51.9%
  • ARKST
    9.5%
Close Win
  • SMISS
    11.0%
  • ARKST
    7.6%

Game Prediction

NCAAF: Southern Miss Golden Eagles vs. Arkansas State Indians
Southern Miss is a heavy favorite winning 76% of simulations over Arkansas State. Billy Wiles is averaging 177 passing yards and 1.37 TDs per simulation and JQ Gray is projected for 108 rushing yards and a 64% chance of having at least 1 rushing TD. In the 24% of simulations where Arkansas State wins, J.T. Shrout averages 1.9 TD passes vs 0.97 interceptions, while in losses he has a ratio of 0.93 TDs to 1.36 interceptions. Ja\'Quez Cross averages 26 rushing yards and 0.31 rushing TDs when Arkansas State wins and 24 yards and 0.17 TDs in losses. Southern Miss has a 64% chance of forcing more turnovers than they commit. Positive turnover margin helps them win 81% of the time. SPREADS / TOTALS: Current Point Spread is ARKST +7 --- Over/Under line is 48.5
View More

Southern Miss Golden Eagles

PASSING COM YDS TD INT
Billy Wiles 14.4 177.0 1.4 0.3

RUSHING ATT YDS AVG TD
JQ Gray 16.6 107.9 6.5 1.1
Billy Wiles 10.9 40.8 3.7 0.8
Kenyon Clay 1.5 6.2 4.1 0.1

RECEIVING REC YDS AVG TD
Latreal Jones 4.6 55.0 12.0 0.4
Brandon Hayes 2.4 30.1 12.5 0.3
Zavian Hales 2.4 30.1 12.5 0.2
Cole Cavallo 2.3 28.7 12.5 0.3

DEFENSE SACK INT FUM TO
SMISS 0.9 1.3 0.0 1.3

PASSING

RUSHING

RECEIVING

DEFENSE

Arkansas State Indians

PASSING COM YDS TD INT
J.T. Shrout 17.2 204.6 1.2 1.3

RUSHING ATT YDS AVG TD
Ja'Quez Cross 6.5 24.6 3.8 0.2
Jeff Foreman 6.3 22.9 3.6 0.2
Brian Snead 6.6 22.8 3.5 0.2

RECEIVING REC YDS AVG TD
Corey Rucker 3.0 39.4 13.1 0.2
Courtney Jackson 3.0 38.1 12.7 0.2
Jeff Foreman 3.1 37.1 12.0 0.2
Emmanual Stevenson 3.1 32.4 10.5 0.2

DEFENSE SACK INT FUM TO
ARKST 0.4 0.3 0.0 0.3

PASSING

RUSHING

RECEIVING

DEFENSE

Trends

  • Southern Miss
  • Arkansas State
  • Southern Miss
  • Arkansas State
'CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 3 weeks of the season.
Southern Miss ATS RECORD Arkansas State ATS RECORD ATS EDGE
All Games 0-2-0 All Games 0-2-0 No Edge
Road & Neutral Field 0-1-0 Home Games 0-1-0 No Edge
When Favored 0-1-0 When Underdog 0-2-0 No Edge
Non-Conference Opp 0-2-0 Non-Conference Opp 0-2-0 No Edge
Opp Under .500 0-0-0 Opp Under .500 0-0-0 No Edge
LAST SEASON: We advise factoring for these trends for the first 3 to 6 weeks of the Current Season.
Southern Miss ATS RECORD Arkansas State ATS RECORD ATS EDGE
All Games 7/4/2000 All Games 5/5/2000 Southern Miss
Road & Neutral Field 4/1/2000 Home Games 1/3/2000 Southern Miss
When Favored 2/3/2000 When Underdog 4/3/2000 Arkansas State
Non-Conference Opp 6/4/2000 Non-Conference Opp 3/2/2000 No Edge
Opp Under .500 1/2/2000 Opp Under .500 3/3/2000 Arkansas State
OVER-UNDER TRENDS
Southern Miss O-U-P RECORD Arkansas State O-U-P RECORD O-U EDGE
All Totals (O-U-P) 2-0-0 All Totals (O-U-P) 1/1/2000 OVER
On Road 1-0-0 At Home 0-1-0 No Edge
All Totals Last Season 4/6/2000 All Totals Last Season 6/4/2000 No Edge
On Road Last Season 0-5-0 At Home Last Season 3/1/2000 UNDER
Joomla SEF URLs by Artio