September 19, 2023 6:55 AM CDT

Southern Miss vs Arkansas State 9/23/2023 Game Forecast Preview  
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Southern Miss is a heavy favorite winning 76% of simulations over Arkansas State. Billy Wiles is averaging 177 passing yards and 1.37 TDs per simulation and JQ Gray is projected for 108 rushing yards and a 64% chance of having at least 1 rushing TD. In the 24% of simulations where Arkansas State wins, J.T. Shrout averages 1.9 TD passes vs 0.97 interceptions, while in losses he has a ratio of 0.93 TDs to 1.36 interceptions. Ja\'Quez Cross averages 26 rushing yards and 0.31 rushing TDs when Arkansas State wins and 24 yards and 0.17 TDs in losses. Southern Miss has a 64% chance of forcing more turnovers than they commit. Positive turnover margin helps them win 81% of the time. SPREADS / TOTALS: Current Point Spread is ARKST +7 --- Over/Under line is 48.5

'CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 3 weeks of the season.

All Games0-2-0All Games0-2-0No Edge
Road & Neutral Field0-1-0Home Games0-1-0No Edge
When Favored0-1-0When Underdog0-2-0No Edge
Non-Conference Opp0-2-0Non-Conference Opp0-2-0No Edge
Opp Under .5000-0-0Opp Under .5000-0-0No Edge

LAST SEASON: We advise factoring for these trends for the first 3 to 6 weeks of the Current Season.

All Games7/4/2000All Games5/5/2000Southern Miss
Road & Neutral Field4/1/2000Home Games1/3/2000Southern Miss
When Favored2/3/2000When Underdog4/3/2000Arkansas State
Non-Conference Opp6/4/2000Non-Conference Opp3/2/2000No Edge
Opp Under .5001/2/2000Opp Under .5003/3/2000Arkansas State


Southern MissO-U-P RECORDArkansas StateO-U-P RECORDO-U EDGE
All Totals (O-U-P)2-0-0All Totals (O-U-P)1/1/2000OVER
On Road1-0-0At Home0-1-0No Edge
All Totals Last Season4/6/2000All Totals Last Season6/4/2000No Edge
On Road Last Season0-5-0At Home Last Season3/1/2000UNDER

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