Southern Miss is a heavy favorite winning 76% of simulations over Arkansas State. Billy Wiles is averaging 177 passing yards and 1.37 TDs per simulation and JQ Gray is projected for 108 rushing yards and a 64% chance of having at least 1 rushing TD. In the 24% of simulations where Arkansas State wins, J.T. Shrout averages 1.9 TD passes vs 0.97 interceptions, while in losses he has a ratio of 0.93 TDs to 1.36 interceptions. Ja\'Quez Cross averages 26 rushing yards and 0.31 rushing TDs when Arkansas State wins and 24 yards and 0.17 TDs in losses. Southern Miss has a 64% chance of forcing more turnovers than they commit. Positive turnover margin helps them win 81% of the time. SPREADS / TOTALS: Current Point Spread is ARKST +7 --- Over/Under line is 48.5
'CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 3 weeks of the season.
| Southern Miss | ATS RECORD | Arkansas State | ATS RECORD | ATS EDGE |
|---|
| All Games | 0-2-0 | All Games | 0-2-0 | No Edge |
| Road & Neutral Field | 0-1-0 | Home Games | 0-1-0 | No Edge |
| When Favored | 0-1-0 | When Underdog | 0-2-0 | No Edge |
| Non-Conference Opp | 0-2-0 | Non-Conference Opp | 0-2-0 | No Edge |
| Opp Under .500 | 0-0-0 | Opp Under .500 | 0-0-0 | No Edge |
LAST SEASON: We advise factoring for these trends for the first 3 to 6 weeks of the Current Season.
| Southern Miss | ATS RECORD | Arkansas State | ATS RECORD | ATS EDGE |
|---|
| All Games | 7/4/2000 | All Games | 5/5/2000 | Southern Miss |
| Road & Neutral Field | 4/1/2000 | Home Games | 1/3/2000 | Southern Miss |
| When Favored | 2/3/2000 | When Underdog | 4/3/2000 | Arkansas State |
| Non-Conference Opp | 6/4/2000 | Non-Conference Opp | 3/2/2000 | No Edge |
| Opp Under .500 | 1/2/2000 | Opp Under .500 | 3/3/2000 | Arkansas State |
OVER-UNDER TRENDS
| Southern Miss | O-U-P RECORD | Arkansas State | O-U-P RECORD | O-U EDGE |
|---|
| All Totals (O-U-P) | 2-0-0 | All Totals (O-U-P) | 1/1/2000 | OVER |
| On Road | 1-0-0 | At Home | 0-1-0 | No Edge |
| All Totals Last Season | 4/6/2000 | All Totals Last Season | 6/4/2000 | No Edge |
| On Road Last Season | 0-5-0 | At Home Last Season | 3/1/2000 | UNDER |
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