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Game Details

MLB
Cleveland Guardians
0
New York Yankees
0

Accuscore Probability

-14
13
-0.5
0.5
Totals

Over/Under

N/A

Accuscore Probability

1
23
-0.5
under
0.5
over
OVER-UNDER RECORD (Current Season) - Cleveland Guardians Road Games: 43-32, 57% + 780 New York Yankees Home Games: 36-40, 47% -800
OVER-UNDER RECORD (PAST 30 DAYS) - Cleveland Guardians Road Games: 3-3, 50% -30 New York Yankees Home Games: 5-4, 56% + 60
Money Line
NYY  61.6%
Side Value
CLE  1.5%
38.5%
61.6%
Game Projection
  • Cleveland Guardians
    3.0 Points
  • New York Yankees
    3.7 Points
Big Win
  • CLE
    9.6%
  • NYY
    17.8%
Close Win
  • CLE
    22.5%
  • NYY
    35.0%

Game Prediction

MLB: Cleveland Guardians vs. New York Yankees
The New York Yankees are 46-38 at home this season and are solid favorites to beat the Cleveland Guardians who are 43-41 on the road this season. The Yankees have a better than 55% chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Yankees starter Gerrit Cole is forecasted to have a better game than Guardians starter Tanner Bibee. Gerrit Cole has a 67% chance of having a Quality Start (QS) while Tanner Bibee has a 52% chance of a QS. If Gerrit Cole has a quality start the Yankees has a 74% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 5.2 and he has a 45% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Yankees win 65%. In Tanner Bibee quality starts the Guardians win 56%. He has a 25% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio and if he does his team wins 56% of simulations. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the New York Yankees is Aaron Judge who averaged 2.49 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 44% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Yankees have a 73% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the Cleveland Guardians is Jose Ramirez who averaged 1.9 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 29% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Guardians have a 57% chance of winning.
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Cleveland Guardians

Batting AB R H RBI BB K HR
Steven Kwan 4.1 0.5 1.1 0.3 0.4 0.7 0.09
Kyle Manzardo 4.1 0.4 0.8 0.4 0.2 1.8 0.13
Jose Ramirez 3.8 0.5 1.1 0.5 0.4 0.8 0.15
Josh Naylor 3.9 0.4 0.8 0.5 0.3 1.1 0.17
Lane Thomas 3.8 0.3 0.8 0.4 0.3 1.6 0.11
Andres Gimenez 3.8 0.2 0.9 0.3 0.1 1.1 0.07
Will Brennan 3.6 0.3 0.8 0.3 0.2 0.9 0.07
Bo Naylor 3.4 0.2 0.5 0.3 0.2 1.8 0.10
Brayan Rocchio 3.2 0.2 0.5 0.2 0.3 1.2 0.04

Pitching IP R H ER BB K HR W L
Tanner Bibee 6.0 2.8 5.6 2.7 2.5 9.0 1.03 0.35 0.56
Relievers 2.1 0.9 1.9 0.9 0.9 3.3 0.29 0.03 0.06

Batting

Pitching

New York Yankees

Batting AB R H RBI BB K HR
Gleyber Torres 4.0 0.5 0.9 0.3 0.4 1.4 0.12
Juan Soto 3.6 0.6 0.9 0.5 0.7 1.2 0.20
Aaron Judge 3.4 0.6 1.0 0.7 0.8 1.6 0.34
Austin Wells 3.7 0.3 0.7 0.4 0.4 1.4 0.11
Giancarlo Stanton 3.7 0.4 0.8 0.5 0.3 1.9 0.23
Jazz Chisholm Jr. 3.6 0.4 0.8 0.4 0.3 1.5 0.14
Anthony Volpe 3.6 0.3 0.8 0.3 0.2 1.4 0.05
Oswaldo Cabrera 3.4 0.3 0.8 0.3 0.2 1.2 0.08
Alex Verdugo 3.3 0.3 0.8 0.3 0.2 0.8 0.05

Pitching IP R H ER BB K HR W L
Gerrit Cole 6.7 2.2 5.5 2.2 1.6 8.4 0.74 0.55 0.32
Relievers 1.9 0.8 1.8 0.8 0.6 2.5 0.20 0.07 0.06

Batting

Pitching

Trends

  • Cleveland Guardians
  • New York Yankees
  • Cleveland Guardians
  • New York Yankees
CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 6 to 8 weeks of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Cleveland Guardians
Cleveland Guardians RECORD New York Yankees RECORD UNITS EDGE
Record on the Road 43-41, 51% -34 Record at Home 46-38, 55% -1117 Cleveland Guardians
VS New York Yankees 2-5, 29% -256 VS Cleveland Guardians 5-2, 71% 113 New York Yankees
vs Team .500 or Better 55-51, 52% 130 vs Team .500 or Better 62-39, 61% 983 New York Yankees
Record As Road Underdog 24-25, 49% 239 Record As Home Favorite 45-35, 56% -923 Cleveland Guardians
When Tanner Bibee Starts 23-9, 72% 996 When Gerrit Cole Starts 14-7, 67% 218 Cleveland Guardians
PAST 30 DAYS: We advise incorporating these trends along with the current Season after the first 6 to 8 weeks. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: New York Yankees
Cleveland Guardians RECORD New York Yankees RECORD UNITS EDGE
Record on the Road 2-4, 33% -225 Record at Home 5-5, 50% -213 New York Yankees
VS New York Yankees 0-1, 0% -100 VS Cleveland Guardians 1-0, 100% 62 New York Yankees
vs Team .500 or Better 5-7, 42% -274 vs Team .500 or Better 3-1, 75% 132 New York Yankees
Record As Road Underdog 1-2, 33% -105 Record As Home Favorite 5-5, 50% -213 Cleveland Guardians
When Tanner Bibee Starts 4-0, 100% 291 When Gerrit Cole Starts 4-0, 100% 227 Cleveland Guardians
OVER-UNDER TRENDS
Cleveland Guardians RECORD New York Yankees RECORD O-U EDGE
OVER-UNDER ON ROAD 30-49, 38% Over OVER-UNDER AT HOME 44-37, 54% Over UNDER
ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS 2-4, 33% Over ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS 5-5, 50% Over UNDER
ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON 41-38, 52% Over ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON 37-43, 46% Over OVER
OVER-UNDER IN Tanner Bibee STARTS 12-16, 43% Over OVER-UNDER IN Gerrit Cole STARTS 10-11, 48% Over N/A
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